All Fixed Income articles – Page 2
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White papersIG Credit: Idiosyncratic Opportunities in a Favorable Environment
Given the combination of still-elevated yields, solid fundamentals and technicals, and a resilient U.S. economy, IG corporate credit looks well-positioned for the months ahead.
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PodcastThe Blurring Lines Between Public & Private Credit Markets
Barings’ David Mihalick and Martin Horne discuss the blurring lines between public and private credit markets and the implications for asset managers, borrowers and investors.
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White papersHigh Yield: Resilience Amid a Shifting Backdrop
With the favorable fundamental and technical backdrop firmly in place, and attractive income opportunities remaining in both bonds and loans, the case for high yield continues to be compelling.
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White papersA Sector for All Cycles
In this Infrastructure Investor roundtable, Orhan Sarayli discusses what’s driving the growth in appetite for infrastructure debt, how today’s macroeconomic backdrop is creating opportunities, and why the asset class is appealing throughout the cycle.
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PodcastPrivate Debt: The Appeal, The Fears & The Facts
In an ever-evolving financial landscape, Private Debt has emerged as a resilient and adaptable asset class, capturing the interest of investors seeking stability and growth. Despite negative media coverage, what makes this asset class appealing to investors? What are the implications of lower interest rates on Private Debt? And how does it fit into today’s overall investment climate?
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2024
With the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut, we anticipate broad easing by central banks over the next year across the developed world. However, some caution may be warranted on duration, as markets may be overly optimistic about the initial pace of reductions. Meanwhile still sturdy, if softening, economic conditions along with strong investor demand have contributed to narrow corporate credit spreads, reinforcing the value of a quality emphasis and drawing on yield and price opportunities wherever they emerge.
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White papersEmerging Divergence
While central banks are all cutting, rate trajectories for the US, Europe and the UK seem contrary to underlying economic conditions. Correlations are high between Treasuries and European government bonds, but intra-European opportunities are emerging.
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White papersEuropean high yield: default rate coming down
Our par-weighted default rate forecast for European High Yield (EHY) is 3.8% for the forward 12-month period and 7.2% for the forward 24-month period. Excluding hybrid issuers, the default rate increases to 4.5% over 12 months and 8.5% over 24 months. This compares to a LTM (last 12 months) default rate for Europe, to April 2024, of 4.1%1, and a recent peak through the Covid-19 pandemic of 6.9%.
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White papersQ4 2024 Outlooks: Implications of Rate Cuts, Geopolitics, and Economic Uncertainty
In delivering on expectations for a policy pivot as the summer came to a close, the Federal Reserve joined its global peers in kicking off a new rate-cut cycle at a time when global economies are experiencing uneven growth and an uncertain path ahead. Meanwhile, anxieties have seemingly intensified with US elections in the fall, war in the Middle East, and persistent tensions between global powers, all of which place geopolitics right in the middle of the investment outlook.
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White papersNo Autumn chills for Global Investment Grade Corporate fundamentals
Investment grade (IG) indices remain close to recent tights. Similarly, corporate fundamentals are in an extremely strong position. Our credit work looks to identify where there is a mismatch between the fundamental expectations and valuations of issuers, on a name-by-name basis. We also aggregate the single name expectations each quarter to give a view of the market as a whole.
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White papersUS election positioning – we could get fireworks!
Everyone’s favourite question at the moment, how do you position into the US election? Here’s what we think for fixed income.
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BlogThe ECB Cuts as all Indicators Point Down
The ECB’s Governing Council remained true to its mantra of “data dependence” at its October policy meeting, choosing to cut the main policy rate by 25 bps to 3.25%.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papersEuropean utilities: prepared for the spending storm
Despite huge growth in demand, costs squeezes and supply constraints around raw materials and capacity are limiting expected returns in renewables development
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White papersPositioning EMD ahead of the US election
If Kamala Harris wins November’s vote, the status quo is unlikely to change significantly, but should Donald Trump triumph the implications for foreign policy are likely to be far-reaching.
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White papersThe three things every engager should know
What three lessons have the SDG Engagement High Yield Credit team learned in the half decade since inception?
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White papersAll eyes on inflation
“We believe the Federal Reserve will weigh the inflation numbers in the context of the weakening labour markets. We expect the Fed to continue to ease monetary policy.”
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White papersSDG Engagement High Yield Credit: 2024 H1 Report
Five years since the launch of our SDG Engagement High Yield Credit strategy, the investment team provide a full rundown of how their interactions with portfolio companies have created change.
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White papersA local approach to European private debt
European private debt is a diverse and growing market. Local expertise is essential to making the most of the opportunities on offer, particularly in the often overlooked lower-mid-market segment.
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White papersPrivate credit’s role in mid-market opportunities
Upper middle-market corporate credit dynamics bring both challenges and opportunities. Expert insights reveal how the convergence of private credit and public markets is influencing investment strategies.
