All Fixed Income articles
-
PodcastTracking the trends in a time of rupture - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
After a flurry of headlines and announcements from the annual World Economic Forum in Davos in January, one key message is likely to survive after most of the speeches have been long-forgotten; The world is facing a rupture in the international order.
-
White papersThe future of fixed income
Fixed income has been transformed by advances in market structure, trading technology, and portfolio design-and the pace of change continues to accelerate. These developments are expanding what the asset class can deliver for institutional investors.
-
White papersEmerging market debt: strength and selectivity amid global shifts
Emerging market fundamentals remain robust, but broader global macroeconomic developments are leading us to a more selective approach to positioning portfolios.
-
White papersEmerging market local-currency bonds continue to look bright in 2026
Despite our reduced conviction in a weaker USD for 2026, we believe emerging market (EM) local-currency bonds remain well-positioned. Ongoing disinflation in EM economies not only supports EM currencies but should also enable some EM central banks to cut interest rates in 2026. We believe EM FX can perform well even with a sideways USD given the healthy state of external accounts in most EM countries.
-
White papersDynamic Global Bonds — investing across the cycle
Despite geopolitical strains, elevated borrowing, and shifting policy dynamics, the global economy has shown notable resilience over the past 12 months. Valuations across major asset classes (including equities, gold and high yield credit) remain elevated, even as several macroeconomic indicators point to potential softening beneath the surface. We believe these tensions highlight the importance of a flexible and globally diversified fixed income approach, one that can adapt to rapidly evolving conditions across markets, sectors, and currencies.
-
White papersBuilding resilience with flexible fixed income opportunities
The global economy enters 2026 with resilience. Growth forecasts have been revised upward – the International Monetary Fund now projects a global expansion of 3.2% in 2025, buoyed by a rebound in activity, despite ongoing trade frictions. Across regions, diverging paths mark the outlook:
-
White papersFixed Income Investing: Living in the now
If the future keeps bond investors awake at night, the present is complicated too.
-
VideoSpreads, value and our credit outlook
In a new video, our three heads of fixed income discuss credit spreads, dispersion, and the widening gap in quality and duration between high yield and investment grade – and what this all means for credit markets moving forward.
-
White papersEU risk retention rules – implications for US securitised credit investors
The European Union Securitisation Regulation (EUSR) took effect in 2019 (concurrently with an equivalent UKSR framework for UK investors). EUSR imposes compliance obligations on many EU-regulated entities, including UCITS (Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities) funds, which invest in securitised assets.
-
White papers2026 Fixed Income Default Study: Proprietary analysis conducted by our dedicated team of career credit analysts
We’ve just published our 2026 Fixed Income Default Study covering global high yield, Asia and emerging markets.
-
White papers2026 Investment Grade Private Credit: Annual Review and Outlook
Investment grade private credit enters 2026 with steady supply and healthy investor demand, creating a constructive yet selective outlook. Elevated rates and shifting sector dynamics underscore the need for disciplined underwriting and a focus on risk-adjusted opportunities.
-
White papers2026 Emerging Market Debt Outlook: Strengths Endure
For all the shifts in macroeconomic risk factors that swayed market sentiment last year, most credit markets delivered on expectations for carry-driven returns in 2025. Emerging market (EM) debt was an exception, recording strong excess returns in addition to carry driven by supportive market technicals along with fundamentals that have withstood macroeconomic risks.
-
PodcastHow the AI Debt Supercycle Is Reshaping Credit Markets
AI-related bond issuance is surging, reshaping the opportunity set for fixed-income investors. In addition to robust U.S. growth, constrained inflation, and an attractive opportunities beyond the U.S., investors must also navigate greater tail risks, more complex financing structures, and rising political uncertainty around AI and energy use.
-
White papersAbsolute return bonds for an uncertain world
In a world where economic uncertainty and unpredictable inflation mean visibility on central bank policies is poor, investors are searching for strategies that can deliver consistent returns while protecting capital. Enter the global absolute return bond strategy – a flexible, dynamic investment approach that’s suited to the current environment.
-
White papersIn Credit Weekly Snapshot – Enough is enough
The Japanese yen was in the spotlight this week, with the exchange rate prompting ‘verbal intervention’ by the US and speculation that physical intervention – from both the US and Japan – will follow. Read on for a breakdown of fixed income news across sectors and regions.
-
White papersGeopolitical swings in the spotlight in Davos
The global equilibrium is evolving, particularly amid significant geopolitical shifts that are causing increased volatility in financial markets. President Trump’s threat to impose additional tariffs on eight NATO members — unless the United States were allowed to purchase Greenland from Denmark (a threat that was withdrawn a few days later) — initially caused a short market sell‑off, followed by a relief rally last week. Meanwhile, the European Parliament voted to suspend ratification of the EU‑US trade deal, which would otherwise have come into force on 7 February. This does not mean the deal is dead, but that Europe is adopting a ‘wait‑and‑see’ approach.
-
White papersU.S. Fixed Income: Policy-Driven Opportunities Emerge
Amid the administration’s flurry of affordability-targeted policy initiatives, bond investment opportunities are emerging.
-
White papersFactors to watch in 2026: AI, geopolitics and credit stress
There are several factors in play which investors need to monitor closely this year. Geopolitics will likely dominate the discourse as will expectations over the potential of artificial intelligence and the continued stability of credit markets. Despite the uncertain backdrop, we believe the global economy and central bank policy will remain supportive for markets.
-
VideoGiven the uncertainty over inflation, protection matters
The economic outlook for 2026 appears to be in equilibrium. Inflation is close to the targets set by the main central banks, monetary policy normalising gradually, and economic growth supportive. But appearances can deceive. There is potential for higher inflation, particularly in the services sector.
-
White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2026
After a generally stellar year for fixed income, 2026 looks more demanding, with fewer rate tailwinds and tight spreads putting a premium on security selection and global diversification, particularly as tail risk rises.
