All Fixed Income articles – Page 5
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White papers
The Tale of Tariffs Round Two for the US Economy
How might the recently announced US trade measures translate into economic reality?
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What do tariffs mean for emerging market debt?
At this point, it is challenging to determine the precise impact of tariffs on EM economic activity as there are too many moving parts, including the possibility of negotiated reductions, retaliatory actions by US trading partners, and fluctuations in the currencies of affected economies. That said, we can look at the current level of tariffs and exports to the US to give us an idea about the portion of EM GDP that is at risk.
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Trump’s Tariffs: The Impact on Fixed Income
New tariffs could hamper U.S. economic growth and change market dynamics for the long term.
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How are investors responding to the latest wave of tariffs from Donald Trump?
“The news flow is constant and ever changing,” says Premier Miton’s CIO and lead manager of the Diversified fund range Neil Birrell.
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Fixed on Bonds: who are the potential winners and losers from Trump tariffs?
In the Premier Miton Fixed Income team’s latest Fixed on Bonds blog post, Premier Miton credit analyst Joe Macland considers some possible impacts on consumer brands and asks fund manager Simon Prior to sum up what this has to do with fixed income investing.
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White papers
Fixed income at the crossroads of trade and trust
Trade tensions and shifting alliances are shaking investor confidence in 2025. This article explores how fixed income markets are navigating the dual challenges of inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, with a focus on the evolving role of U.S. Treasurys as a global safe haven.
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Tariffs explained: Assessing global economic impact
The much-anticipated “Liberation Day” on 2 April has provided investors with more details on the direction of US trade policy under the Trump administration. Despite hopes of a more moderate approach, the tariffs were much more substantial than expected, raising the prospect of lower economic growth, higher inflation and interest rate cuts.
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Trump tariffs roil markets. What’s next?
If investors were looking for a reason to sell US stocks, they found it in President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs. Following several weeks of volatility sparked by on-again off-again tariffs, Trump’s 2 April announcement of higher-than-expected levies against virtually every US trading partner sent shockwaves through global financial markets.
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Tariffs and credit markets
In the US, the Trump administration’s imposition of tariffs on imports from trading partners across the world has seen markets plunge. Here is what we are thinking as a credit desk and how we are approaching portfolios
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Expert perspectives: ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs unpacked
‘Liberation Day’ tariffs have intensified stagflation fears, driving risk-off sentiment across markets. Investors are shifting toward quality, selectivity, and liquidity, while real estate shows relative resilience amid broader uncertainty.
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How artificial intelligence is reshaping financial services
AI is helping enhance efficiency, reduce costs and improve decision-making
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The macro fallout from ‘Liberation Day’
The sweeping tariff hikes announced on “Liberation Day” have escalated fears of stagflation, pushing recession odds higher and rattling markets. With inflation likely to rise and GDP growth projected to drop by up to 2.4%, the economic strain could be the most significant since the 1930s. Still, investor sentiment may recover as attention shifts toward pro-growth policies like tax cuts and deregulation.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions- Global Investment Views - Europe rallies behind historic German spending bill
In this month’s review of the latest developments on the global economy and in financial markets, we focus on the seismic shifts that have been happening in Europe in the past few weeks, in particular, the historic spending package approved by the German parliament. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, catch-up to discuss the remarkable change in policy, and its implications for Germany and the wider Eurozone.
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M&A Renaissance. Exploring Fixed Income Opportunities
M&A activity, which is growing among IG and HY issuers, is driven by expectations of lower funding costs and a weak macroeconomic environment. This trend, which is set to strengthen, generates investment opportunities in new bond issues, often priced at a discount, to be evaluated with rigorous analysis to select the most promising opportunities.
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Podcast
Talking Heads – Thinking about diversification? Try asset-backed securities
European securitised assets, backed by loans, mortgages and other categories of (consumer) credit as collateral, offer investors a source of diversification from other forms of credit such as corporate debt.
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Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2025
Uncertainty is the watchword for the global economy. Dramatic policy shifts—tariffs in particular—by the Trump administration 2.0 have so far surprised financial markets and softened consumer sentiment. But we see a global economy well positioned to absorb potential shocks in the months ahead.
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Making diversification great again: April macro and asset class views
President Trump has designated April 2 for unveiling a series of tariffs on trade partners, referring to it as America’s ‘Liberation Day.’ But businesses and investors won’t be liberated from trade policy uncertainty.
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White papers
Has US high yield been impacted by recent market volatility?
The US High Yield (‘HY’) market has so far demonstrated resilience throughout the current period of recent market volatility. For the HY asset class, a low, positive GDP environment can potentially offer a constructive environment. Short duration approaches should offer a nice balance of potential outcomes.
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White papers
Five factors for long-term investors considering high yield
Since Covid-19 disrupted markets in early 2020, high yield has been one of the best-performing fixed income sectors. In fact, it has significantly outpaced the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index (and Global Aggregate Index), US corporate bonds, emerging markets bonds and securitised credit — and by a wide margin.
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White papers
Europe in focus amidst fiscal boost
“President Trump’s approach to trade and global alliances may be a wake up call for Europe. The region is signalling a clear and a historical shift, which will require target measures to boost growth efficiently.”