All Fixed Income articles – Page 10
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Podcast
Fixed Income Moves in 2025
As the United States embarks on a new administration, markets eagerly prepare for what is to come regarding domestic policy, international policy, tariffs, and geopolitics. But how will the Fixed Income asset class move through these new pathways? What factors are at play regarding fiscal and monetary policy? And how can investors prepare for the year ahead?
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White papers
Asset Allocation Committee Outlook, 1Q 2025 - A Delicate Balance
“Overall, we anticipate a supportive backdrop for risk assets, as reflected in our broad asset-class views… The balance is delicate, however, and the risks are piled up on both sides.”
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White papers
Thematic Engagement: 2024 Scope 3 Emissions
Scope 3 emissions are becoming increasingly important as issuers face growing pressure to report and reduce these emissions. In our latest report, we examine how issuers across public fixed-income and private credit sectors are tackling Scope 3 data challenges and setting decarbonization targets.
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White papers
Fixed Income Outlook – Come what may
Once gain the US bond market will lead global fixed income markets in 2025, with a strong US economy but uncertainty over the new administration’s policies setting the tone. We expect the US economy, over time, to pivot towards structurally slower growth and stickier core inflation. This more ‘stagflationary’ trajectory may result in the Federal Reserve taking a more cautious approach towards further rate cuts.
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White papers
Will US bond markets outperform Europe and China in 2025?
This quarter’s summary of what to look out for in fixed income
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Video
Talking Markets – The Case for Coco’s
In this edition of Talking Markets, Head of Fixed Income, Lloyd Harris and Fund Manager, Simon Prior discuss all things contingent capital; sharing what coco’s are, their capital structure and how the team use them to their advantage, gaining access to sought after areas of the fixed income space, including financials, banks and insurance companies.
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Video
Portfolio Finance: Private Markets’ Next Great Asset Class?
In the latest episode of Streaming Income, Head of Portfolio Finance, Dadong Yan helps to define and de-mystify the growing opportunity in Portfolio Finance.
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White papers
High Yield: Shelter From the (Rate) Storm?
High yield bonds and loans have proven their ability to weather uncertainty and look well-suited for an environment in which rates, and potential rate volatility, may remain front-and-center.
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White papers
FX reserves and the 10-10-10 proposition
Over the next 10 years the US dollar will likely surrender another 10% share of global foreign exchange reserves – but there will be no single beneficiary, with 10 different currencies all growing their allocations
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White papers
Trump’s first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025
With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on his promises. Wasting no time, Trump has unleashed a whirlwind of executive actions across a variety of policy focus areas, though many are likely to be challenged in court.
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White papers
The Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papers
What could the new cycle hold for real estate debt investors?
Real estate debt is attracting increasing attention from investors globally, as well as new market entrants, with the potential for equity-like returns for credit investing like never seen before. As we move into a new cycle, we look at the opportunities for non-bank lenders.
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White papers
Inflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papers
Fixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papers
2025 Fixed Income Default Study
An examination of our bottom-up default outlook and total return forecasts for 2025
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White papers
Fixed income perspectives 1Q 2025: Finding opportunities in a dynamic global environment
Fixed income markets are navigating diverging central bank approaches, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors. With elevated yields, robust credit fundamentals, and selective opportunities across asset classes, fixed income offers an attractive landscape heading into the new year.
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White papers
High yield: Historically attractive starting yield levels
High yield credit offers compelling income opportunities, with starting yields in the 7–8% range historically associated with strong forward returns. Strong fundamentals, including low default expectations and solid credit metrics, provide resilience against the modest spread widening expected in 2025. Elevated issuance and a higher-quality index composition further support high yield’s ability to balance risk and reward in a dynamic market environment.
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White papers
Diverging fortunes: Global Market Perspectives, 1Q 2025
Despite elevated policy uncertainty, a solid economic backdrop implies this is still a risk-on investing opportunity. Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papers
Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2025
With inflation continuing to improve, the downward path of central bank rates remains on track, if uneven geographically given U.S. economic strength. Now, amid political turbulence, attention is shifting toward fiscal issues— spending and tax policy—that could affect issuance patterns and yields, particularly at the longer end of the curve. We are constructive on fixed income for 2025, seeing potential in shorter durations and in optimizing carry amid narrow credit spreads. At the same time, the unpredictability of political cycles could make for an eventful year that requires vigilance in guarding against risk.