All Fixed Income articles – Page 11
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White papersThe Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papersWhat could the new cycle hold for real estate debt investors?
Real estate debt is attracting increasing attention from investors globally, as well as new market entrants, with the potential for equity-like returns for credit investing like never seen before. As we move into a new cycle, we look at the opportunities for non-bank lenders.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papers2025 Fixed Income Default Study
An examination of our bottom-up default outlook and total return forecasts for 2025
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White papersFixed income perspectives 1Q 2025: Finding opportunities in a dynamic global environment
Fixed income markets are navigating diverging central bank approaches, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors. With elevated yields, robust credit fundamentals, and selective opportunities across asset classes, fixed income offers an attractive landscape heading into the new year.
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White papersHigh yield: Historically attractive starting yield levels
High yield credit offers compelling income opportunities, with starting yields in the 7–8% range historically associated with strong forward returns. Strong fundamentals, including low default expectations and solid credit metrics, provide resilience against the modest spread widening expected in 2025. Elevated issuance and a higher-quality index composition further support high yield’s ability to balance risk and reward in a dynamic market environment.
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White papersDiverging fortunes: Global Market Perspectives, 1Q 2025
Despite elevated policy uncertainty, a solid economic backdrop implies this is still a risk-on investing opportunity. Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2025
With inflation continuing to improve, the downward path of central bank rates remains on track, if uneven geographically given U.S. economic strength. Now, amid political turbulence, attention is shifting toward fiscal issues— spending and tax policy—that could affect issuance patterns and yields, particularly at the longer end of the curve. We are constructive on fixed income for 2025, seeing potential in shorter durations and in optimizing carry amid narrow credit spreads. At the same time, the unpredictability of political cycles could make for an eventful year that requires vigilance in guarding against risk.
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White papersVolatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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White papersWhy invest in trade finance?
The demand for trade finance continues to increase, despite a global shortage of financing to facilitate the deals. As we outline in this paper, this shortfall has created an array of potentially high-yielding investment opportunities for providers with the right resources, analytical teams and banking connections.
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White papersThe ‘why and how’ of integrating biodiversity into fixed income strategies
One of the fundamental features of biodiversity is that it reaches into every part of our lives – and that means the impacts of biodiversity loss are also felt across investment strategies. Looking specifically at fixed income, we see important reasons why investors should integrate biodiversity into their decision making.
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White papersInvestment Outlook – Finding opportunities and tackling volatility
Already early into the new year, it is becoming clear that ‘looking for opportunities as markets shift’ and ‘dealing with volatility’ are the standout themes for 2025, as we had signalled in our Investment Outlook Opportunities in a volatile world.
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White papersEuropean leveraged loans outlook 2025: The recovery continues
As we enter 2025, optimism surrounding the European leveraged loans market builds despite the geopolitical backdrop remaining unpredictable. This outlook reviews the factors that defined the European loans market in 2024 and discusses the key drivers likely to impact it over the next 12 months.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for Bond Markets
Why we think 2025 presents a favorable backdrop for fixed income investors, despite the potential for rising volatility.
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White papersBond Markets and the tricky balancing act
With UK government borrowing costs soaring, is the Chancellor on wobbly footing? Read the latest Fixed on Bonds blog from Premier Miton which highlights how important it is not to forget how much has changed since the GFC and pandemic.
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Expanding the Universe
The journey from niche asset to core allocation looks set to continue.
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WebinarTrump-starting the global economy
Concerns over US policy and China’s stalling economy will be key to the 2025’s global economic outlook. But while there are numerous uncertainties, we believe the picture remains favourable for both bonds and equities.
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White papersBuying bonds: January macro and asset class views
2024 marked the fourth consecutive year of rising US yields, for the first time since the early 80’s. We have been patient in recent years going overweight duration in our multi-asset portfolios as we have persistently viewed the risks to US nominal growth relative to consensus expectations as skewed to the upside.
