All Fixed Income articles – Page 7
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Evolution and Opportunity
Private credit has in a little more than a decade evolved from a niche asset class to a key component of a diversified investment portfolio. We think it will be even more important in 2024 as banks’ reluctance to lend widens the opportunity set for investors.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 1Q 2024
Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate reductions, we think it will be more effective to focus on the ultimate destination of rates and adapt portfolios accordingly.
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White papersThe case for bank credit/AT1s over equity
It’s been a really great couple of years for the banking sector – after a decade or more of zero interest policy when every year that went by bank margins fell, suddenly banks have lots of margin to play with as interest rates have risen to more normalised levels.
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White papersEMD outlook 2024: Navigating a bifurcated universe
In this outlook, we outline the global backdrop that emerging markets (EMs) can expect in 2024, including a more dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed), a more supportive backdrop for EM currencies and weak global growth.
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White papersOutlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2024: Bonds Roar Back
The tide has turned for bonds. Here’s what we think is in store for 2024.
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White papersThe what, why and how of the global fixed income and municipal markets
The evolving fixed income market environment - Key 2023 themes
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White papersTaxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook: Beyond headline events
According to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, the impact of global events on emerging market risk sentiment may continue to divert capital away from the asset class, especially when the risk-free rate offers a substantial yield. However, as we move further through the US Federal Reserve cycle over the next year, we should see capital return to the asset class.
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White papersLong-term Capital Market Expectations: Higher yields lift all boats
The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team’s capital market expectations (CME) is designed to provide annualized return expectations over a longer-term horizon, typically viewed as 10 years.
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PodcastAll the Credit, Ep. 47 - Holiday Indigestion: The Investment Implications of GLP-1s
Exploring the investment implications of GLP-1s across fixed income markets and industries.
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White papersThe Monroe Doctrine at 200: Its New Implications for LatAm Assets
We explore the potential evolution of the relationships between Latin American countries and the U.S.
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PodcastFixed on ESG, Ep. Ep. 20 – COP28: Dissecting Climate Progress and Pledges
A review of the takeaways from COP28, the United Nations Climate Change Conference, hosted in Dubai, UAE.
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White papersTime for credit – why we like investment grade
To better understand the impact of potential macroeconomic scenarios on the asset class, we have undertaken a sensitivity analysis of the global investment grade corporate bond market. This sensitivity analysis points to one clear implication: the importance of investing in fixed income despite ongoing uncertainty. We believe fixed income, in particular credit markets, have become a much more attractive proposition for investors.
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White papers‘Peak rates’ and opportunities for credit selection in 2024
After two years of declines, 2023 proved to be another tough year for bond investors. However, a powerful rebound towards year end helped the global bond index end the year in positive territory for the first time in three years. Below, Jim Leaviss, CIO Fixed Income at M&G Investments, shares his views on the prospects for bond markets in today’s ‘peak rates’ environment, while senior credit portfolio manager Richard Ryan looks at the opportunities presented by fundamental credit selection.
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White papersResilient private credit fills a growing need across U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and European private credit markets have been a significant success story of asset management for the last decade.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: What stands out amongst the Santa Rally?
In our last Convictions podcast of the year, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, sat down last week to discuss whether any of the recent policy comments or economic data publications might have impacted our main calls for 2024.
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White papersBond Portfolio Optimisation and Mixed Integer Programming
While portfolio optimisation is commonplace in equities, it is more complex in the fixed-income space, partly because of trading lot sizes. Implementing the portfolio composition by converting weights into holdings is easy for equities due to small lot sizes.
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White papersECB on hold supportive for Euro credit markets and govies
Key takeaways from the European Central Bank’s meeting
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White papersFed and ECB: towards rate cuts in 2024
”Markets expect Central Banks to cut rates in early 2024. This is too optimistic, but falling inflation is good news for investors.”
