All Fixed Income articles – Page 7
-
White papersQ4 2024 Emerging Markets Review and Outlook
Our current Emerging Markets Review and Outlook recaps Q4 in emerging market debt and looks ahead to 2025, with the Federal Reserve’s path forward unclear and markets bracing for the uncertainty of Trump administration policy changes.
-
White papers4Q24 Investment Grade Corporate Market Review and Outlook
Our “Q4 Investment Grade Corporate Market Review & Outlook” examines how Treasury yields and corporate spreads reacted to a busy quarter of market-moving events, highlighted by President Trump’s election. We chart portfolio attribution for Q4 and 2024, then look ahead to catalysts that could push credit spreads wider in 2025.
-
White papersPensions find new sources of long-term cash flows
An upside of higher rates for pension schemes is a reduction in the value of future liabilities. Many defined benefit (DB) pensions in Europe are taking advantage of this to derisk portfolios by locking-in higher-yielding, public investment grade fixed income assets, according to Nuveen’s 2024 EQuilibrium survey. This is freeing them up to explore more private investments and, in some instances, these investments are also playing into schemes’ environmental and social objectives.
-
White papersFed and ECB cut rates, BoJ and BOE on hold
“The Fed’s hawkish tone signals that the Central Bank is incorporating a more uncertain outlook. This calls for keeping a tactical approach to bond investing.”
-
White papersFed 2025 outlook: A fragile balancing act
The Federal Reserve’s cautious policy stance reflects a challenging economic backdrop heading into 2025. Sticky inflation, resilient growth, and uncertainty around the incoming administration’s policies have constrained the Fed’s ability to ease aggressively. While our forecast anticipates three rate cuts next year, the path forward will depend heavily on inflation progress and labor market conditions.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2024
Topic of the Month: The German economy has been lagging behind other Eurozone countries due to structural changes in its economic model and global trade. A huge investment effort would be needed to relaunch it. Economists recommend making up the lost ground within ten years by making massive infrastructure investments.
-
White papersKey Investment Themes 2025
The global economy avoided recession for a second year. Inflation began to cool and the major central banks embarked on a new cycle of interest rate cuts. However, geopolitical risk rose against the backdrop of a particularly busy election calendar around the world.
-
White papers2025 Perspectives: Optimism through the obstacles
2025 arrives on the heels of remarkable resilience in global markets. However, investors face a world still shaped by uncertainty—from deglobalization and slowing growth in developed economies to resilient U.S. equities, elevated policy risks under the incoming Trump administration’s tariff threats, and persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. In 2025 Perspectives, our leading investment experts highlight the themes that will impact portfolios and drive market performance in the year ahead.
-
White papersReviving European Securitisation: Translating Ambition into Reality
This paper reflects the views within our submission to the European Commission’s targeted consultation on the functioning of the EU securitisation framework.
-
White papersFixed income outlook: resilient US provides an anchor
The enduring resilience of the US economy will be a key driver of financial markets in 2025 and beyond. Having avoided recession, the US is returning to mid-cycle, according to economic data, while inflation has continued to ease back towards the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, enabling the central bank to begin cutting rates. We believe the Fed views monetary policy as restrictive and will likely continue lowering rates, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected.
-
PodcastHigh Voltage: Exploring Developments Across the U.S. Electric Grid
This episode explores the complexities surrounding the demand for power generation driven in part by AI advancements and data centers.
-
White papersECB: We’re not a “Jack of all Trades”
The ECB delivered another 25 bps cut at its December 2024 meeting, bringing the policy rate to 3.0% as inflation continues tracking to their 2% target, down from near 10% just over two years ago.
-
White papersFiscal to the Fore
How the budget battles in France, Germany and even South Korea fit with our fiscally focused investment themes for the year ahead.
-
White papers2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
-
White papersA Barometer to Gauge Credit Market Valuations
Through simple market barometers comparing credit spreads with a variety of macro, corporate fundamental, and technical drivers, we can better assess the credit market.
-
White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2024
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
-
White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
-
White papersEuropean bonds shine ahead of ECB meeting
European bonds have performed strongly over the second half of the year and remain appealing heading into 2025 thanks to projected ECB rate cuts.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2024
A resilient US economy, the anticipation and eventual victory of Donald Trump and his recent appointments along with risks around inflation have been driving nominal and real yields over the past months. But US equities and the dollar rose amid a belief that the US economy would benefit from Trump’s policies at the expense of the rest of the world, i.e., Europe and some Asian countries.
-
White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
