All Fixed Income articles – Page 3
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White papersGlobal High Yield – 2025 in Review and 2026 Outlook
GHY delivered a standout 2025, supported by resilient growth, low defaults and strong demand. What comes next? Our latest outlook explores whether today’s tight spreads can remain justified in 2026 and where opportunities still lie.
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White papers2026 credit thoughts – here comes the capex …
Competition for capital is heating up. Persistent government deficits combined with a long overdue acceleration in corporate capex means bond markets face a wave of new supply. Is this a risk or opportunity?
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White papersEmerging-Market Corporates: Renowned for Resilience
Emerging-market (EM) corporates have a track record of resilience across market cycles. For over a decade, EM corporate bonds have allowed for participation in rising markets, while exposing investors to less downside during market downdrafts. This is due to an especially pronounced inherent barbell structure that balances interest-rate risk with credit risk, providing independent sources of return that are negatively correlated to each other.
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White papersIlliquidity premia in private debt
Our private markets research team have crunched the Q4 2025 data. They explain how evolving macro conditions are reflected in private debt returns.
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White papersAI world of opportunities
Highlights how AI is reshaping global markets, creating investment opportunities across multiple sectors.
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White papersPrivate Debt: A Valuable Allocation for DC Pension Schemes
As UK DC schemes increase allocations to private markets, we believe the benefits of private debt in the accumulation and decumulation phases should make it a key consideration for investors.
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White papersUS high-yield: Embracing credit divergence, unlocking opportunities
The US high-yield bond market has moved up in quality. We believe healthy fundamental and technical factors in 2026 will continue to underpin it in 2026. Carry should again drive returns, but there is likely to be more variety in returns across sectors, credit ratings and bond issuers, writes Jack Stephenson, Investment Specialist for US High-Yield.
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White papersUnleashing the potential: Navigating local currency EMD with active management
EMD has become increasingly appealing to a broader investor base as the asset class has developed. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity.
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White papersHigh Yield: Investing in a transformed credit ecosystem
The structural evolution of the high yield market, driven by a transformed borrower universe, improved liquidity, stronger fundamentals, and a more diverse array of financing alternatives, has reshaped this asset class into something very different from its origins.
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White papersQ4 2025 Investment Grade Corporate Market Review and Outlook
The U.S. fixed income market demonstrated considerable resilience in the face of persistent economic uncertainty and a U.S. government shutdown. Fourth quarter returns within the investment grade credit space were mixed though, with excess returns modestly negative (-0.02% excess return) and total returns that were positive (0.87% total return) – supported by a dovish Federal Reserve policy stance, expectations for rate cuts and strong investor appetite for relatively attractive yields.
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White papersThe Ultimate ‘GPT’: Is AI Game-Changing for the Macro Picture?
We anticipate moderate impacts in the near term, but will look for more profound shifts—albeit with some delay—as the years unfold.
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White papersWhy choose euro fixed income?
Euro fixed income has a wide range of performance drivers that can enhance portfolio diversification. Credit spreads are tight, but there are still opportunities to capture historically absolute high yields. With eurozone inflation at target, growth resilient, and a positive fiscal profile relative to other developed economies, fundamentals are solid.
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White papersMacro brief: Five questions on the European Central Bank – will it really hike interest rates in 2026?
Given her view that inflation risks in the euro area are higher than expected, economist Beth Beckett suspects it will not be long before the European Central Bank adopts a hawkish bias and she has pencilled in a rate hike in late 2026.
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White papersA Validation Study of Catastrophe Bond Losses Over Time
We explore the relative historical performance of catastrophe bonds in relation to various trigger types.
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White papersRiding the multi-year waves of AI investment
The real story of artificial intelligence (AI) is the multi‑year progression of capital flows that will define which companies lead, when they lead and why.
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VideoWhat’s the outlook for US high-yield bonds?
Growth forecasts for 2026 are generally being revised up for US companies as the benefits of deregulation and fiscal measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill start coming through, underpinning a still resilient setup for the high-yield fixed income market. Accordingly, default rates should remain in a manageable 1-3% range – well below long-term averages.
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White papersDebts, deficits and disruptors: Revisiting the opportunity in government bonds
Focus over the past decade has been heavily concentrated on credit markets, however, we believe there is an often overlooked opportunity in the government bond market that may warrant further attention. As much as 2022 bruised investors, with the big correction seen in government bond markets as interest rates rose rapidly, we believe now may be a good time to revisit the asset class in both developed and emerging markets, particularly as credit markets become less exciting.
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White papersPositioning for growth: 2026 Outlook for Emerging Market Equities and Fixed Income
Emerging markets (EM) include countries that span the whole gamut of policy quality, growth dynamics and political cycles, leading to a diverse and dynamic investment universe. Many EM countries currently have stronger monetary credibility, healthier balance sheets and better inflation control than some developed markets. EM investment opportunities span multiple return drivers from domestic consumption and digitalization to sovereign credit reforms and local interest rate cycles.
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White papers2026 inflation outlook: Navigating uncertainty
The year ahead looks set for a more balanced, although not necessarily benign, inflationary backdrop, even as the full impact of the US trade tariffs has yet to materialise in prices. For investors returns are more likely to come from income carry and specific exposure to inflation risk.
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White papersAI Meets EMD: Short-Term Match, Longer-Term Friction?
Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to provide a tailwind for commodity and manufacturing exporters in emerging markets. That said, the emerging market (EM) service sector’s lower contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as well as a lack of research and development, and the presence of infrastructure and AI private investment bottlenecks, could cap productivity gains over time versus developed markets. We explore the dynamics in this article.
