Cross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2025

President Trump’s tariff announcements have rattled the previously dominant US financial markets, putting pressure on Treasury yields amid fears of slower growth and rising inflation. Recently, the difference in yield that investors expect for holding Treasuries compared to swaps has increased significantly, signalling a perceived higher risk of holding Treasuries.

US and China: balancing the decoupling

  • China: pressure before parley

Strategy Views

What to expect for the US Treasury market?
President Trump’s tariff announcements have rattled the previously dominant US financial markets, putting pressure on Treasury yields amid fears of slower growth and rising inflation. Recently, the difference in yield that investors expect for holding Treasuries compared to swaps has increased significantly, signalling a perceived higher risk of holding Treasuries.

Summary

You can now read the full whitepaper at the link below