All Fixed Income articles
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White papersThe Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersFixed income perspectives 1Q 2025: Finding opportunities in a dynamic global environment
Fixed income markets are navigating diverging central bank approaches, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors. With elevated yields, robust credit fundamentals, and selective opportunities across asset classes, fixed income offers an attractive landscape heading into the new year.
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White papersDiverging fortunes: Global Market Perspectives, 1Q 2025
Despite elevated policy uncertainty, a solid economic backdrop implies this is still a risk-on investing opportunity. Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2025
With inflation continuing to improve, the downward path of central bank rates remains on track, if uneven geographically given U.S. economic strength. Now, amid political turbulence, attention is shifting toward fiscal issues— spending and tax policy—that could affect issuance patterns and yields, particularly at the longer end of the curve. We are constructive on fixed income for 2025, seeing potential in shorter durations and in optimizing carry amid narrow credit spreads. At the same time, the unpredictability of political cycles could make for an eventful year that requires vigilance in guarding against risk.
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White papersVolatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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White papersWhy invest in trade finance?
The demand for trade finance continues to increase, despite a global shortage of financing to facilitate the deals. As we outline in this paper, this shortfall has created an array of potentially high-yielding investment opportunities for providers with the right resources, analytical teams and banking connections.
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White papersEuropean leveraged loans outlook 2025: The recovery continues
As we enter 2025, optimism surrounding the European leveraged loans market builds despite the geopolitical backdrop remaining unpredictable. This outlook reviews the factors that defined the European loans market in 2024 and discusses the key drivers likely to impact it over the next 12 months.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for Bond Markets
Why we think 2025 presents a favorable backdrop for fixed income investors, despite the potential for rising volatility.
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White papersBond Markets and the tricky balancing act
With UK government borrowing costs soaring, is the Chancellor on wobbly footing? Read the latest Fixed on Bonds blog from Premier Miton which highlights how important it is not to forget how much has changed since the GFC and pandemic.
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White papersPrivate Credit Outlook: Expanding the Universe
The journey from niche asset to core allocation looks set to continue.
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WebinarTrump-starting the global economy
Concerns over US policy and China’s stalling economy will be key to the 2025’s global economic outlook. But while there are numerous uncertainties, we believe the picture remains favourable for both bonds and equities.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: First Quarter 2025
We expect all major economies to continue to expand, with the US out front again, as well as positive momentum for business investment. The question for investors will be to what degree US outperformance will extend to the financial markets. Global headwinds are likely, especially in the trade channel in light of proposed tariffs and immigration policies, but our outlook remains generally positive.
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Video2025 Outlook for European Fixed Income: From Uncertainty to Opportunity
In 2024, we had a lot of election risk driving market volatility, and as we enter 2025, we still have a lot of political uncertainty in the form of French and German politics, as well as uncertainty from outside of Europe in the form of tariffs.
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White papersAfter two strong years, what will 2025 bring?
“2025 will continue to offer opportunities and investors will need to assess the impact of Trump’s policies.”
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White papersEuropean Fixed-Income Outlook 2025: Adversity, Uncertainty, Opportunity
European bond markets are climbing a mountain of worry. Despite the risks, history suggests a positive outcome.
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White papersBond yields on the rise
Bond yields started the year with strong upward moves, and reached close to the highs seen in April last year. This latest upward trend, which has been evident from September amid Trump’s election campaign and his eventual victory, has been partly driven by resilience in the US economy.
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White papersThe investment landscape in 2025
Pictet Asset Management’s annual outlook provides detail on the defining themes of 2025. We share critical insights into the challenges and opportunities that financial institutions may face.
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White papersFinancials: Poised for recovery
The positive economic outlook—highlighted by an increasingly likely soft landing—along with industry-specific green shoots, such as favorable credit conditions, improving loan growth, higher net margins and fee income, and a more accommodating regulatory environment, is poised to drive an inflection point in financial services earnings. These factors should help create a return to capital and a favorable earnings environment through 2026, helping extend positive investor sentiment within financial stocks.
