All Fixed Income articles
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White papersGlobal Investment Grade Corporates: Let the Good Times Roll!
Major central banks easing policy, solid economic growth and moderating inflation should bode well for global investment grade corporate credit. So, is global investment grade corporate the current sweet spot in fixed income? We think it might just be.
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White papers2025 Global Fixed Income Outlook
The results of the U.S. presidential election are on many investors’ minds heading into 2025. What are the potential implications for global fixed income markets?
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White papersThe Dollar and the Euro: On a Path to Parity?
Why we think it could take longer than expected, with better entry points still to come.
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PodcastDisruptive Forces Election Special: Trump’s Cabinet
President-Elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20, 2025, after a whirlwind election season. But how could this term differ from his first? How will Trump’s cabinet be shaped, and what directions could this take the markets?
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White papersQT or Not QT?
Against the aggressive expansion of the balance sheet in response to the COVID pandemic, the Federal Reserve expanded its balance sheet from $4.1 trillion, or 18.8% of GDP, to a peak of $9.0 trillion, or 35.6% of GDP, in Q1 2022. This is nearly double the pre-COVID level, which was already elevated relative to the balance sheet seen in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis.
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White papersInvestment Grade Spreads: Tighter for Longer?
Spreads on IG bonds have been tight for most of the past year. Are we finally going to see a widening out of spreads? Even though spreads have been unusually tight for a long time, we expect that spreads will remain tight until markets become convinced about either a recession or a soft landing before we see material and persistent spread widening.
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White papersStalling car auction sales suggest broader consumer weakness
The popularity of online car auctions has created a unique two-way market dataset that is liquid and representative of all the US. Alongside wider income and expenditure data, we can see consumer pressures rising up the wealth ladder.
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White papersThe extraordinary US cycle is becoming more balanced
“Progressively softer labour market conditions and positive inflation developments support gradual rate cuts, allowing the Fed to bring policy rates closer to neutral levels.”
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White papersInflation trend is falling
“With ongoing inflation swings, central banks will be increasingly data-dependent.”
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White papersSpotting opportunities in a reconfigured world
Halfway through the decade, new forces are reconfiguring the post-pandemic global economy. The big shocks that hit labour markets, supply chains, and energy prices in the past five years have largely worked their way through the system. But geopolitics and national policy choices are creating a more fragmented world that may bring new surprises.
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White papers2025 Fixed Income Outlook: A year of opportunity amid economic uncertainty?
With inflation cooling and the US Federal Reserve transitioning from rate hikes to a cycle of rate cuts, bonds are poised to perform well in 2025.
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White papersBond yields in Trump 2.0
“The Federal Reserve is continuing its cut-rate path, but it will be increasingly vigilant towards any inflation risks. We expect volatility in bond markets to persist.”
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White papersStrategic Value Dividend: Why now, why always
Dividends offer stability in times of uncertainty, but, as Dan Peris, Head of Income and Value Group, argues, the returns they generate make them a smart choice in any market.
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White papersAn Investor’s Election Survival Guide
Brace for this week’s uncertainties rather than trying to trade them, and stay focused on the better-known headwinds and tailwinds in the longer-term outlook.
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White papersInsurance Fixed Income at the Top of the Cycle
How a fixed income portfolio split between core government bonds and high quality private assets can both augment yield and build strength for an economic slowdown.
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White papersAhead of the Curve: What US resilience means for bond investors
Our latest Ahead of the Curve paper examines opportunities for fixed income investors in what is likely to remain a positive environment for the asset class.
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White papersTrump’s victory signals major policy shifts ahead
The magnitude of US President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on Tuesday brings the strong likelihood he will have a mandate for his economic, market and foreign policy agenda. Winning the Electoral College and popular vote, as well as gaining Republican control of the Senate, means Trump’s key policy issues, such as tax cuts, higher tariffs and immigration curbs may come faster than expected — potentially in the early months of 2025.
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White papersThe Fed’s normalising of rates is not easing
Given that the US economy is healthy, we believe the market is overestimating what the Fed will do.
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White papersUS presidential elections 2024 - The view from here
Donald Trump has officially been elected as the 47th president of the United States (US). Importantly for the markets, it looks like the Republican Party will gain control of the Senate, while also maintaining its hold on the House of Representatives. This significantly increases the potential for President-elect Trump to implement his policies beyond trade and immigration.
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White papersTrends and opportunities in impact credit
The fast-growing market for impact credit offers investors a rich source of opportunity and diversification. Nuveen portfolio managers Stephen Liberatore, CFA® and Jessica Zarzycki, CFA® discuss the trends and opportunities, from global issuance and innovative transactions to defining impact and balancing competing objectives.
