All Fixed Income articles
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White papers
Biden’s exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Biden exit from the race: Current US President Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Senior members of the Democratic party have expressed their support for Kamala Harris. Donations for the campaign have begun to rise after Biden’s decision.
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Central banks—Will inflation stay, or will it go? Fixed Income Sector Views
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income believes an allocation to fixed income continues to make sense given the high yields and income provided by high-quality, short-maturity securities. Read more in the latest Sector Views.
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Evaluating risk and reward in an ever-changing world
Private markets have grown exponentially since the Global Financial Crisis, and the growth story is far from over. We explore the risks and rewards of this often complex world and why expertise is crucial in achieving tangible results.
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Video
Mid-year outlook video – Overweight equities; locking in today’s yields
Equities should see further good returns in the second half of 2024, justifying a continuation of our overweight stance, particularly in the US and for NASDAQ stocks. In Europe, small capitalisation stocks should benefit from the ongoing recovery fuelling consumer demand.
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Taking the fear out of high yield debt investment
Fixed income investors cautious about gaining exposure to high yield debt have little to fear as credit quality in the sector improves and attractive new pockets of opportunity open, says Insight Investment1portfolio manager and senior credit analyst, Cathy Braganza.
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Uncovering US muni bond opportunity
With inflationary pressures now easing, generationally high yield levels in the US municipal bond sector and the historic resilience of the asset class are proving increasingly attractive to both domestic and global investors, says Insight Investment1 senior portfolio manager Jeffrey Burger.
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The changing face of global interest rate movements
Rising yields, growing income opportunity and an increasingly supportive market environment make a compelling case for investment in global credit, according to Insight Investment1 portfolio manager Shaun Casey.
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The critical role of high-quality impact reporting in sustainable investing
The world of finance is constantly changing, and one of the prominent trends is the increasing attention to green, social and sustainable (GSS) investments. The issuance of GSS bonds has become a beacon for progress, signaling a commitment to environmental stewardship and social well-being.
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White papers
Five-year investment outlook
Our analysis shows the dispersion of returns across domestic equity and bond markets will decline over the next five years. This suggests investors should consider investing across sectoral lines and allocate more of their capital to corporate bonds.
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Dispelling the myths around emerging market debt
Things in emerging markets are not always what they seem. In December 2023, Argentina elected as president Javier Milei, a rabble-rousing populist fond of brandishing a chainsaw on the campaign trail. Milei had a radical agenda, including dollarising the economy and abolishing the central bank – just the kind of policies that alarm investors.
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The potential power of income to deliver long-term returns
After years in the wilderness, equity income is now arguably competing on a much more level playing field than it was in the past decade.
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EMEA Investment grade outlook, H2 2024
Inflation is finally coming down, central banks are poised to cut rates, and credit spreads have withstood volatility in government bonds. So where do we see things going from here?
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White papers
Why we’ve said ‘auf Wiedersehen’ to Deutsche Bank
A great German thinker once said: “We rarely find people who achieve great things without first going astray”
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Video
Investment grade: attractive yields with lower risk profile
The asset class is in a fundamentally good place, with the past few years seeing index yields rise to 5.5% – competing quite well with asset classes such as equities.
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White papers
Policy and Politics
The first-quarter inflation bump is behind us, but the risks of a monetary policy error and electoral shocks have risen. While we believe the fundamental economic outlook for the next 12 – 18 months remains positive for risky assets, the potential for monetary policy errors and election-related volatility overshadows the coming months. These risks prevent the AAC from taking a more overweight view on risky assets, and keep us focused on quality assets and portfolio balance.
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White papers
Which matters more, top-down or bottom-up?
As an active credit manager, bottom-up analysis is always going to be a core part of our investment process – we add alpha for our clients through careful security selection. But given today’s macro environment has diverged so much from historical norms and is on the verge of shifting again as monetary loosening gathers momentum, what role does a top-down view play and is it more important than bottom-up calls?
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White papers
US high yield: Broader financing options soften impact of higher rates
Heading into 2023, the consensus narrative appeared set. The Federal Reserve had embarked on an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle to combat spiralling inflation. A US recession was expected to follow, as household excess savings built up during the pandemic were exhausted and corporate borrowing conditions tightened dramatically after the benign post-global financial crisis era of low interest rates.
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White papers
The path to building an efficient private debt portfolio
The private debt market has grown significantly over the past decade and has become an increasingly important allocation for pension portfolios. This development has increased the complexity of portfolio construction. Klarphos, an alternative asset manager specialising in customised portfolio solutions for institutional clients, manages appx. €2.5 billion in total assets, of which more than half reside in private debt. In this interview, we examine how pension funds can strike a balance between maximising returns and effectively managing risk by using private debt as an all-weather solution.
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White papers
Global Macro Outlook: Third Quarter 2024
There’s more evidence that growth is slowing, but it appears manageable and unlikely to lead to recession. While rate cuts have begun outside the US, we expect the Fed to follow suit by December. Political developments, especially the election cycle, are now coming into frame.
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White papers
Income is in
For the first time in a long time, investors can earn attractive income in debt markets. This includes of course public fixed income, but also the spectrum of private debt/private credit, from traditional direct lending to crowded markets such as specialty finance or asset-based lending.