All Fixed Income articles
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2024
Topic of the Month: The German economy has been lagging behind other Eurozone countries due to structural changes in its economic model and global trade. A huge investment effort would be needed to relaunch it. Economists recommend making up the lost ground within ten years by making massive infrastructure investments.
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White papersKey Investment Themes 2025
The global economy avoided recession for a second year. Inflation began to cool and the major central banks embarked on a new cycle of interest rate cuts. However, geopolitical risk rose against the backdrop of a particularly busy election calendar around the world.
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White papersFixed income outlook: resilient US provides an anchor
The enduring resilience of the US economy will be a key driver of financial markets in 2025 and beyond. Having avoided recession, the US is returning to mid-cycle, according to economic data, while inflation has continued to ease back towards the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, enabling the central bank to begin cutting rates. We believe the Fed views monetary policy as restrictive and will likely continue lowering rates, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected.
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White papersFiscal to the Fore
How the budget battles in France, Germany and even South Korea fit with our fiscally focused investment themes for the year ahead.
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White papers2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2024
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
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White papersEuropean bonds shine ahead of ECB meeting
European bonds have performed strongly over the second half of the year and remain appealing heading into 2025 thanks to projected ECB rate cuts.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2024
A resilient US economy, the anticipation and eventual victory of Donald Trump and his recent appointments along with risks around inflation have been driving nominal and real yields over the past months. But US equities and the dollar rose amid a belief that the US economy would benefit from Trump’s policies at the expense of the rest of the world, i.e., Europe and some Asian countries.
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White papersFixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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White papersWhat’s next for France
The French fiscal situation deteriorated post-Covid. Public debt as a percentage of GDP now surpasses levels in the Euro Area, including Germany and Spain, even if it remains lower than the ratio in the US (which exceeds 120%).
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White papersThe Head of Macro Research view: Trump-starting the global economy
Two major policy uncertainties lie at the heart of the global outlook for 2025 and 2026. The first is the extent that US President-elect Donald Trump translates campaign promises into policy. Our view is that he will not fully deliver what he suggested on tariff increases, migrant deportations or fiscal loosening. However, we anticipate enough delivery to materially impact US growth as these policies bite into 2026.
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White papersIs the case building for Contingent Convertibles?
Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income at Premier Miton, argues that the case for Contingent Convertibles has never been stronger.
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White papersGlobal Investment Grade Corporates: Let the Good Times Roll!
Major central banks easing policy, solid economic growth and moderating inflation should bode well for global investment grade corporate credit. So, is global investment grade corporate the current sweet spot in fixed income? We think it might just be.
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White papers2025 Global Fixed Income Outlook
The results of the U.S. presidential election are on many investors’ minds heading into 2025. What are the potential implications for global fixed income markets?
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White papers2025 Outlook: Global Fixed Income Roundtable
Against a shifting macro, political and geopolitical backdrop, our fixed income portfolio managers explore the future prospects for high yield, emerging markets debt, and investment grade credit.
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White papersDeveloped APAC: Capitalizing on a Compelling Growth Story
The developed APAC direct lending market is relatively nascent compared to the U.S. and Europe but offers similar risk and return characteristics—with the added benefit of diversification and access to a compelling global growth opportunity.
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White papersRise of the Residential Whole Loan
Given the potential for yield and capital efficiency, residential whole loan mortgages have been the fastest growing asset class in life insurers’ investment allocations in recent years. Partnering with a manager that has the experience and resources to navigate this dynamic market is key.
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White papersStanding Out in IG Credit
Current yields and total return prospects are presenting an attractive case for IG credit—but a global and flexible approach is key to capturing the diverse range of potential opportunities to generate alpha.
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White papersMaking sense of corporate bond spreads
Pension scheme funding ratios have improved significantly, due to a rise in yields since the start of 2022, and continued growth asset performance. This has resulted in many taking the next steps towards their chosen endgame by topping up liability hedge ratios and simultaneously increasing allocations to corporate bonds.
