Content (1144)
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White papersHedge Fund Outlook H1 2025
HF to lure more interest after a strong 2024 vintage for alpha
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White papersESG Thema #19 - Measuring Scope 3 Emissions: implications & challenges for investors
“For many companies, the greatest climate-related risks and opportunities lie within their supply chains, which means addressing Scope 3 emissions is essential.” Mark Carney, Former Governor of the Bank of England said in 2020
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White papersTail risks to watch
We see geopolitical risks persisting as a base-case scenario for 2025. Below we share the main upside and downside risks to our base case that investors should take into consideration.
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White papersOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Goldilocks ahead of new Trump presidency
2025 got off to a dramatic start with an unexpected jump in bond yields. What has been driving this move and do we expect it to continue? Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, explain what’s been happening in the US and UK and explore what these mean for our growth and interest rate forecasts.
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White papersThe Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papersFocus on China
Investors learned the hard way that, without belief in fundamentals, one can still make money in China. Over the summer of 2024, the prevailing sentiment was ‘ABC’ (Anything But China) – a full-blown existential crisis framing China as an uninvestable asset class. In late September, China equities rallied an average of 25% on the back of official talk, triggering a widespread ‘buy everything’ sentiment, as the fear of missing out spread across the market.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersAfter two strong years, what will 2025 bring?
“2025 will continue to offer opportunities and investors will need to assess the impact of Trump’s policies.”
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White papersBond yields on the rise
Bond yields started the year with strong upward moves, and reached close to the highs seen in April last year. This latest upward trend, which has been evident from September amid Trump’s election campaign and his eventual victory, has been partly driven by resilience in the US economy.
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White papersThe Patchwork of Eurozone Pension Systems and Budget Constraints
The issue of pension systems in Eurozone countries is significant because pension outlays represent a substantial portion of GDP. And an ageing population increases financing needs. At the same time, country deficits – and consequently debt – have deepened during the Covid period, including through higher interest rates.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - January 2025
A semblance of a goldilocks ahead of Trump’s inauguration
