Content (1452)
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White papersIndia’s great transformation continues
India’s economy and financial markets continue to evolve. Government incentives and strategic investment are expanding domestic manufacturing, while rising incomes are shifting spending “from essentials to extras” and “from basic to premium”. Meanwhile, easier access for foreign investors and growing domestic participation are supporting the development of India’s financial markets.
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White papersMarkets weigh rising yields and AI exuberance
Market volatility has increased in recent weeks, particularly in bond markets. The MOVE index, a measure of expected volatility in US Treasuries, has been rising significantly, decoupling from the VIX equity volatility indicator in an unusual move. This is significantly different from the March volatility spike that affected both markets at the start of the Iran war.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2026
In September, global bond markets came under pressure amid inflation concerns and hawkish shifts by central banks, while equity markets remained relatively calm, supported by strong economic data and earnings, alongside renewed optimism around AI.
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White papersLatin America rising as a diversifier
“In a market shaped by AI, energy price uncertainty and re-routing, Latin American equities can offer diversification supported by attractive valuations and improving policy dynamics”
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White papersThe USD bear case faces a monetary-policy test
We entered 2026 expecting expensive valuations and Fed easing, alongside an administration increasingly focused on limiting the cost of financing a deteriorating fiscal position. Together, these conditions were expected to gradually normalise the USD.
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White papersThe road ahead for central banks
In a low-trust world that is becoming increasingly predatory, investors should expect supply shocks to become a new norm and the distribution of economic gains to stay uneven. Another result of the global order fragmenting is the rise of fiercer competition between countries. However, this competition is no longer limited to trade, tech, industrial leadership or energy security; it is instead being shaped by a relentless search for capital at the public and private level.
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White papersGlobal yields surge
“We are in a regime of higher yields for longer across the globe. Bond volatility is likely to stay higher than in the past decade, but yields are becoming increasingly attractive.”
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White papersThe Fed raises policy rates
“The Fed’s September hike was primarily an insurance and credibility measure. Significant geopolitical uncertainty and scrutiny from bond markets could influence its actions going forward.”
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PodcastGoing the distance - Market perspectives into autumn - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
After an eventful summer for the markets and policymakers, particularly in the bond markets, our podcast series regulars reunite to recap the major movements in the markets over the past few weeks. Listen further to discover what these market events mean for investors and our own investment views.
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White papersThe ECB raises policy rates
“The ECB opens a period of central bank meetings. The balance is shifting further towards the risk that inflation proves more persistent than expected, given the recent rise in energy prices amid geopolitical tensions.”
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White papersBond yields on the rise again
“Bond markets are under pressure now, but as yields rise, opportunities for investors to benefit from higher income are opening.”
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White papersFrance’s fiscal policy in focus
We expect France’s GDP to grow by 0.6% in 2026 and around 1.0% in 2027, in line with Eurozone growth. While higher inflation and elevated policy uncertainty, both domestic and external, are likely to weigh on demand in 2026, the economy should retain some underlying resilience, helped by a gradual recovery in private domestic demand, particularly household consumption and business investment moving into 2027.
