Content (1458)
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White papersDividends shine as tech cools
Markets are no longer convinced by AI spending alone. Investors now want evidence of cash flow and profitability. This is driving rotation into attractively priced, dividend-generating sectors that can also enhance diversification.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2026
Topic of the Month - US midterm elections: fiscal gridlock on the horizon?
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White papersWill markets remain resilient with yields above 5%?
Ten-year Treasury yields moved above 5% on 15 September, just ahead of the Fed hike, and have stayed there, reaching 5.3% on 5 October. That is the highest level in almost 25 years. Yet equity markets have remained resilient, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq setting new highs. So, the key question is not just where yields go next, but what is driving them and how they will impact markets.
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White papersUS midterm elections: fiscal gridlock on the horizon?
US midterm elections will determine control of the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate. All 435 House seats are up for election, along with 33 regular Senate seats.
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White papersLights and shadows from the IMF
In the US, AI is likely to have a sequential impact on inflation. Strong demand will push inflation higher first, while productivity gains should become more disinflationary over time. Together with geopolitical and energy pressures, this is likely to keep inflation above central bank target.
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White papersLong-term yields at high levels
Government bond yields across major developed economies have risen to levels not seen in years. The move has been accompanied by increased volatility, as markets have become more sensitive to macroeconomic data and policy expectations. US 10-year yields reached their highest level since 2002 before easing, as oil prices fell and following a well-received bond auction.
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White papersIndia’s great transformation continues
India’s economy and financial markets continue to evolve. Government incentives and strategic investment are expanding domestic manufacturing, while rising incomes are shifting spending “from essentials to extras” and “from basic to premium”. Meanwhile, easier access for foreign investors and growing domestic participation are supporting the development of India’s financial markets.
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White papersMarkets weigh rising yields and AI exuberance
Market volatility has increased in recent weeks, particularly in bond markets. The MOVE index, a measure of expected volatility in US Treasuries, has been rising significantly, decoupling from the VIX equity volatility indicator in an unusual move. This is significantly different from the March volatility spike that affected both markets at the start of the Iran war.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2026
In September, global bond markets came under pressure amid inflation concerns and hawkish shifts by central banks, while equity markets remained relatively calm, supported by strong economic data and earnings, alongside renewed optimism around AI.
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White papersLatin America rising as a diversifier
“In a market shaped by AI, energy price uncertainty and re-routing, Latin American equities can offer diversification supported by attractive valuations and improving policy dynamics”
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White papersThe USD bear case faces a monetary-policy test
We entered 2026 expecting expensive valuations and Fed easing, alongside an administration increasingly focused on limiting the cost of financing a deteriorating fiscal position. Together, these conditions were expected to gradually normalise the USD.
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White papersThe road ahead for central banks
In a low-trust world that is becoming increasingly predatory, investors should expect supply shocks to become a new norm and the distribution of economic gains to stay uneven. Another result of the global order fragmenting is the rise of fiercer competition between countries. However, this competition is no longer limited to trade, tech, industrial leadership or energy security; it is instead being shaped by a relentless search for capital at the public and private level.
