Content (1099)
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Podcast
Outerblue RI – How is Shareholder Stewardship shaping the future of corporate sustainability?
Stewardship activities, like engagement and voting, are increasingly seen as effective tools for promoting corporate accountability, enhancing long-term value, and driving sustainability.
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White papers
Inflation trend is falling
“With ongoing inflation swings, central banks will be increasingly data-dependent.”
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White papers
Investor Concerns and the Pricing of Physical Climate Risk
We study how global equity markets price the physical climate risk associated with tropical cyclones. To assess firms’ exposure to this risk, we use a bottom-up, forward-looking measure of firms’ expected losses to their geolocalized physical assets based on simulated cyclone tracks under different climate scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 6.0).
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White papers
Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investments: Experimental Evidence
The empirical finance literature documents a puzzling phenomenon: investors tend to adjust their portfolios insufficiently in response to changes in their own forecasts of asset returns. This paper proposes an investment experiment with information treatments to better understand the mechanisms behind this puzzle.
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White papers
Bond yields in Trump 2.0
“The Federal Reserve is continuing its cut-rate path, but it will be increasingly vigilant towards any inflation risks. We expect volatility in bond markets to persist.”
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White papers
Trump Victory: Key implications for investors
Donald Trump is returning to the White House as the 47th President of the United States. The Senate has also swung to the Republicans, gaining 52 seats vs the Democrat’s 42 seats, at the time of writing. The votes for the House of Representatives are still being counted, but if Republicans maintain their current lead, a “red sweep” – control of both chambers – will give them significant leeway for their policy agenda.
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White papers
US soft landing on track
“Robust consumption and government spending have supported US economic activity recently, but we see a mild deceleration in growth amid a rebalancing in US labour markets.”
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White papers
Global Investment Views - November 2024
“We are slightly constructive on risks towards segments where fundamentals are strong, and ignore areas where upside potential looks limited.”
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Perspectives on the US elections
After many months of build-up and speculation, the 2024 US election is almost here. Over the past few weeks, financial markets have become increasingly focused on the candidate’s platforms and what these might imply for the economy and markets. How could markets react to Trump and Harris’ different proposals on taxation, trade and immigration?
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White papers
Equities in elections time
“With equity markets at record highs and election uncertainty looming, a balanced approach in equity with a focus on fundamentals is key.”
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White papers
2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment perspectives
As the US elections approach, markets are increasingly focusing on the candidates’ platforms and their implications for the economy and markets. Taxation, foreign trade, immigration and fiscal policy are at the forefront of the candidates’ agendas. Harris advocates for higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy to fund social initiatives and green policies, while Trump promotes tax cuts, deregulation and an increase in oil production.
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Webinar
The countdown starts: US election results and market implications
As the US election results begin to unfold, they could have a major impact on markets and the economy.