Content (1224)
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White papersConfidence up for May but what comes next?
US consumer confidence index rose sharply, and above expectations, in May to 98.0, mainly due to a temporary trade truce between the US and China on tariffs. Expectations about the near future also improved.
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White papersIndian assets have long-term allure as global rivalries intensify
Equity investors will have to cope with greater trade protectionism and regional rivalry, delayed climate transition, and technological transformation in the next decade. In our 2025 Capital Market Assumptions – which examine long-term return expectations for 40 global asset classes – we see shifting dynamics across equity markets, characterised by strong earnings growth in select regions, tempered by valuation challenges.
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White papersUS rating slides, spending rises
“As US debt and fiscal deficits rise, leading to higher volatility in government bonds, investors should favour a global approach and explore opportunities in European bonds.”
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions - Global Investment Views - Trade wars continue to complicate policy decisions
The spring meetings in Washington are a useful platform to gauge opinion of policymakers, economists, bankers and investors from around the world. In this latest edition of our monthly investment views podcast, Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, catches up with Swaha Pattanaik on her return from the US to share Amundi’s latest investment views and talk about the mood in Washington, and what this might mean for the markets.
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White papersChina in the race to technological leadership
With its rapid advancements in critical technologies, today, China is a formidable competitor to the developed West for global technology leadership. Innovation can take many forms, including process innovation – in which China excels – leveraging its large and dynamic manufacturing base. However, this is not enough.
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White papersUS-China truce reduces tariffs for now
“The US-China trade announcement is welcome news, but policy uncertainty remains. As we wait for developments after the 90-day pause, we see opportunities in the broader global equities space.”
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White papersESG Thema #20 - Blue Economy: Ready, Set, Sail!
It is hard to imagine that something covering 71% of the earth’s surface is often on the back burner of ESG materiality and management. However, this is the case when it comes to ocean protection.
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White papersUS and China: balancing the decoupling
“Impacts of the trade war are just about to unfold, and some are not erasable by whimsical policy changes. It is complacent to assume there will be no structural consequence.”
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White papersWhat to expect for the US Treasury market?
Until very recently, the US dollar (and US capital markets) seemed to reign supreme. The dollar has increasingly dominated as the currency of global transactions. Swift payments denominated in dollars rose from just over 30% of the total in early 2010 to an all-time high of 50.2% in January 2025.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2025
President Trump’s tariff announcements have rattled the previously dominant US financial markets, putting pressure on Treasury yields amid fears of slower growth and rising inflation. Recently, the difference in yield that investors expect for holding Treasuries compared to swaps has increased significantly, signalling a perceived higher risk of holding Treasuries.
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PodcastOuterblue Talks Research – Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Against a backdrop of extraordinary global uncertainty, Amundi’s 2025 capital market assumptions report explores the game changers that are shaping investment decisions and asset class return expectations. Join Giulio Lombardo as he speaks to Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, and John O’Toole, Head of Multi-Asset Investment Solutions, to discover this year’s main findings and what’s changed since last year.
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White papersFed’s policy dilemma
“The sequencing of tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation complicates the Fed’s mission and raises concerns about near-term inflation pressures. Nevertheless, we anticipate substantial rate cuts in the second half of the year as weaker growth emerges.”
