All Strategies articles
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White papers
Hedge Fund Outlook H1 2025
HF to lure more interest after a strong 2024 vintage for alpha
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White papers
A racing certainty – can big tech beat the odds again?
My Grandad was into horse racing, it was his passion. If you named a horse, he could tell you who its sire and dam were and when he bet it was always “on the nose”. There were no ‘each way’ bets for him! As a youngster I didn’t understand how the same horse didn’t win all the time – surely if it was the fastest once then it would nearly always be the fastest. That was when he explained the handicap system to me – every time a horse won it would carry a heavier weight in its next race. This is what made it interesting, uncertain, unpredictable and his passion in life.
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White papers
In the Balance
We think easing inflation and a pro-business policy environment will support above-trend growth in 2025, but the balance is delicate with risks piled up on both sides.
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White papers
Volatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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White papers
2025 investment landscape: Q&A with our CIOs
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papers
December CPI: Keeping rate cut hopes alive
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papers
LDI 2025: A roadmap for European asset owners
The evolving market dynamics of 2025 are set to redefine the landscape for insurance portfolios, with diverging monetary policies, rising geopolitical risks, and the increasing importance of energy transition risk at the forefront. In this outlook, Generali Asset Management’s LDI investment team explores strategic approaches to address these challenges, from optimizing duration and spread management under Solvency II to leveraging private assets for enhanced yields and stability.
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Video
Alpha, an active approach and fundamental research – how we invest in credit
Two things differentiate Columbia Threadneedle from our investment grade competitors: a bottom-up approach to constructing portfolios, and a real focus on downside risk management.
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White papers
Building value in a ‘brave new world’
Financial markets are adjusting to a new era defined by macroeconomic volatility and elevated uncertainty. We call it the ‘brave new world’. In this new regime, investors can no longer solely rely on high levels of real growth or low interest rates to drive returns. For private markets, this shift emphasizes the importance of value creation through asset transformation and identifying investment themes supported by long-term secular trends. In this paper, we examine the factors influencing our perspective on the evolving macroeconomic landscape and individual asset classes, which inform our relative value investment strategy in this ‘brave new world’.
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White papers
What will Trump’s Presidency mean for European mid-caps?
With Donald Trump taking office on 20 January, Premier Miton fund managers Carlos Moreno and Thomas Brown consider the potential impact on European firms.
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White papers
DC and Bonds: The End of the Affair…and a New Beginning
Bonds’ traditional role in pension allocations is over. But they have a new purpose in a lifetime income strategy.
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White papers
U.S. equities: Climbing the valuation wall
Investors enter 2025 with cautious optimism following a stellar 2024 for equities, as stretched valuations and elevated bond yields pose near-term challenges. Despite these potential headwinds, strong earnings growth remains the driver of market performance—if earnings deliver as expected, equities are likely to remain biased higher.
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White papers
Global Macro Outlook: First Quarter 2025
We expect all major economies to continue to expand, with the US out front again, as well as positive momentum for business investment. The question for investors will be to what degree US outperformance will extend to the financial markets. Global headwinds are likely, especially in the trade channel in light of proposed tariffs and immigration policies, but our outlook remains generally positive.
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White papers
The investment landscape in 2025
Pictet Asset Management’s annual outlook provides detail on the defining themes of 2025. We share critical insights into the challenges and opportunities that financial institutions may face.
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White papers
2024 recap: Resilient despite risks
Markets defied challenges in 2024, delivering strong gains across equities and bonds, supported by investor optimism and resilient economic fundamentals. Entering 2025, a mix of policy clarity and elevated equity valuations suggests a cautious but optimistic outlook for U.S. growth. Key risks—including trade policy and the Federal Reserve’s evolving ...
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White papers
Volatility and Opportunity
We expect the playbook for emerging markets to be one of volatility at the start of the year, transitioning to growth and opportunity as U.S. trade policies and China stimulus plans become clearer.
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White papers
Private markets poised to benefit from new strategic landscape
Asset managers are facing growing demand from institutional investors to develop sophisticated private market strategies that balance high long-term risk-adjusted target returns, added diversification benefits, and fundamental value creation.
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White papers
Artificial intelligence for sustainable finance: why it may help
Developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning have led to the creation of a new type of ESG data that do not necessarily rely on information provided by companies.
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2024
Topic of the Month: The German economy has been lagging behind other Eurozone countries due to structural changes in its economic model and global trade. A huge investment effort would be needed to relaunch it. Economists recommend making up the lost ground within ten years by making massive infrastructure investments.