All Strategies articles
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PodcastWhat Do Tariffs Mean for Private Equity?
As the world navigates evolving trade policies under a new administration, markets are adjusting to the implications of sweeping tariffs on growth, inflation, and investments. But how will these developments impact the Private Equity asset class? What unique viewpoint does Private Equity offer in this environment? And how can investors leverage these dynamics to uncover opportunities amidst disruption?
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White papersPrivate Credit – current dynamics shaping markets
Recent LP discussions reveal concerns about crowding and concentration in private credit, leading to a revaluation of exposure and portfolio metrics. In response, we aim to delve deeper into our diversification approach this quarter.
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White papersFixed Income prepares for a shiny new year
Bonds finished 2024 with positive returns, and we believe fixed income assets can continue to shine. Solid economic growth, sticky inflation and a slow pace of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts should keep shorter-term yields elevated. And relatively stable longer term rates mean higher yields can help build portfolio income and return potential. In this environment, we like well-diversified multisector and core plus bond strategies in particular.
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VideoYour Questions Answered: Asia ex-Japan
In this video, Jonathan Pines shares his insights on the Asia ex-Japan region, focusing on South Korea’s political crisis, the obstacles to reform, and his current view on China. It’s a must-watch for those looking to understand the region’s investment potential.
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White papersLDI market review and outlook – February 2025, political risks clash with bond vigilantism
Political and monetary policy uncertainty weighed upon markets in the fourth quarter of 2024, with multiple ‘live’ central bank meetings creating binary risk and political regime change for France, Germany, and vitally, the US.
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White papersNo Need to Stress About Less Distressed
Following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008, the distressed credit landscape has been substantially reshaped by regulatory changes, shifts in economic cycles and the growing influence of alternative investment strategies. This article explains why the economic and market trends of the past 15 years mean outright distress has become rarer and asks, are there other areas of the credit markets where insurers can look for a similar return profile?
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White papersScenarios, risks and macroeconomic forecasts
Main and alternative scenarios, and Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 January
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PodcastOuterblue RI – Driving Climate Action through Shareholder Engagement
In the second episode of our five-part series on Shareholder Stewardship, Aaron McDougall, Head of Climate & Ciaran Callaghan, Head of European Equity Research engage in a dynamic conversation on shareholder engagement on climate - linking climate engagements to responsible investors financial considerations.
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White papers2025 Emerging market debt outlook: Stick to income and relative value in a disruptive year
As 2024 is now behind us, we are reflecting on a year of political and geopolitical upheaval which culminated in the election of Donald Trump in the U.S., whose disruptive agenda hangs over emerging market (EM) investors’ heads. In this outlook, we flesh out our current view of the world, as seen from an EM lens, and highlight a few key investment themes.
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White papersStrategy Outlook: Unified Global Alternatives - Hedge Funds First Quarter 2025
Unified Global Alternatives Hedge Funds (UGA HF) Broad Based Diversified (BBD) and Broad Based Neutral (BBN) portfolios generated positive results in Q4, experiencing profits across our four main strategies (Equity Hedged, Trading, Credit / Income, and Relative Value).
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White papersWhen Does the Cutting Cycle Become an Easing Cycle?
Over the past years, the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking cycle has been unique, marked by looser financial conditions, termed “the hiking cycle that was not a tightening”. Currently, we are witnessing “a cutting cycle that is not an easing“ with financial conditions tightening despite rate cuts, affecting future growth outlooks and posing risks for investors.
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White papersArtificial intelligence – Still positive after the sell-off
In the week ending 24 January, a previously unknown Chinese start-up presented an artificial intelligence large language model apparently showing a performance comparable to that of the leading US models. The unexpected development could disrupt the paradigm of a quasi-monopolistic position for leading US chip manufacturer. This concern led to a major fall in valuations of some prominent tech companies. Markets have since recovered most of their poise. Here we give our view on these developments.
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White papersA Choppy Start to a Year of Uncertainties
The first two weeks of 2025 perfectly illustrate why we see a wide dispersion of potential outcomes for the year, and advocate staying nimble and diversified.
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White papersPrivate Equity and Rates, Part I: The Theoretical Framework
Why we think declining rates should raise private equity valuations, and help unblock deal activity and fund distributions.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook, 1Q 2025 - A Delicate Balance
“Overall, we anticipate a supportive backdrop for risk assets, as reflected in our broad asset-class views… The balance is delicate, however, and the risks are piled up on both sides.”
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White papersBrightening Capex: A Value Tailwind?
Global industrial activity appears to be gathering steam, potentially spurring capital expenditures, which could favor value stocks and small caps.
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White papersHow Chinese companies craft their own future
Excerpts from the “China outlook 2025” session at the Greater China Conference 2025
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White papersHedge Fund Outlook H1 2025
HF to lure more interest after a strong 2024 vintage for alpha
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White papersTrump’s first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025
With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on his promises. Wasting no time, Trump has unleashed a whirlwind of executive actions across a variety of policy focus areas, though many are likely to be challenged in court.
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White papersA racing certainty – can big tech beat the odds again?
My Grandad was into horse racing, it was his passion. If you named a horse, he could tell you who its sire and dam were and when he bet it was always “on the nose”. There were no ‘each way’ bets for him! As a youngster I didn’t understand how the same horse didn’t win all the time – surely if it was the fastest once then it would nearly always be the fastest. That was when he explained the handicap system to me – every time a horse won it would carry a heavier weight in its next race. This is what made it interesting, uncertain, unpredictable and his passion in life.
