All Strategies articles
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White papersIn the Balance
We think easing inflation and a pro-business policy environment will support above-trend growth in 2025, but the balance is delicate with risks piled up on both sides.
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White papersVolatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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White papers2025 investment landscape: Q&A with our CIOs
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papersDecember CPI: Keeping rate cut hopes alive
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papersLDI 2025: A roadmap for European asset owners
The evolving market dynamics of 2025 are set to redefine the landscape for insurance portfolios, with diverging monetary policies, rising geopolitical risks, and the increasing importance of energy transition risk at the forefront. In this outlook, Generali Asset Management’s LDI investment team explores strategic approaches to address these challenges, from optimizing duration and spread management under Solvency II to leveraging private assets for enhanced yields and stability.
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White papersBuilding value in a ‘brave new world’
Financial markets are adjusting to a new era defined by macroeconomic volatility and elevated uncertainty. We call it the ‘brave new world’. In this new regime, investors can no longer solely rely on high levels of real growth or low interest rates to drive returns. For private markets, this shift emphasizes the importance of value creation through asset transformation and identifying investment themes supported by long-term secular trends. In this paper, we examine the factors influencing our perspective on the evolving macroeconomic landscape and individual asset classes, which inform our relative value investment strategy in this ‘brave new world’.
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White papersDC and Bonds: The End of the Affair…and a New Beginning
Bonds’ traditional role in pension allocations is over. But they have a new purpose in a lifetime income strategy.
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White papersU.S. equities: Climbing the valuation wall
Investors enter 2025 with cautious optimism following a stellar 2024 for equities, as stretched valuations and elevated bond yields pose near-term challenges. Despite these potential headwinds, strong earnings growth remains the driver of market performance—if earnings deliver as expected, equities are likely to remain biased higher.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: First Quarter 2025
We expect all major economies to continue to expand, with the US out front again, as well as positive momentum for business investment. The question for investors will be to what degree US outperformance will extend to the financial markets. Global headwinds are likely, especially in the trade channel in light of proposed tariffs and immigration policies, but our outlook remains generally positive.
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White papersThe investment landscape in 2025
Pictet Asset Management’s annual outlook provides detail on the defining themes of 2025. We share critical insights into the challenges and opportunities that financial institutions may face.
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White papers2024 recap: Resilient despite risks
Markets defied challenges in 2024, delivering strong gains across equities and bonds, supported by investor optimism and resilient economic fundamentals. Entering 2025, a mix of policy clarity and elevated equity valuations suggests a cautious but optimistic outlook for U.S. growth. Key risks—including trade policy and the Federal Reserve’s evolving ...
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White papersPrivate markets poised to benefit from new strategic landscape
Asset managers are facing growing demand from institutional investors to develop sophisticated private market strategies that balance high long-term risk-adjusted target returns, added diversification benefits, and fundamental value creation.
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White papersArtificial intelligence for sustainable finance: why it may help
Developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning have led to the creation of a new type of ESG data that do not necessarily rely on information provided by companies.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2024
Topic of the Month: The German economy has been lagging behind other Eurozone countries due to structural changes in its economic model and global trade. A huge investment effort would be needed to relaunch it. Economists recommend making up the lost ground within ten years by making massive infrastructure investments.
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2024
Inflation is coming down much faster than the ECB expected only last September, with the headline measure (2.2%) now inching very close to its target. The latest 25bp cut and its revised forecast on 12 December, suggest that the ECB should get to its target by mid-2025.
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White papersOutlook 2025: Trumponometer
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year
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White papersPrivate Funds CFO Roundtable: The Strategic CFO
In a roundtable discussion conducted by Private Funds CFO, Barry Giarraputo discusses the role of the CFO in driving strategic direction while ensuring that scalable infrastructure is in place to deliver sustainable growth.
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White papersESG goals, risk and returns – A new framework to optimise equity portfolios
A new paper from BNP Paribas Asset Management, “Impact of ESG Objectives on a Portfolio”, recently published in The Journal of Portfolio Management, details a framework for adding environmental, social, and governance objectives to passively and actively managed equity portfolios so that the impact of the ESG criteria on risk and return is minimised.
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White papersInsurance investment outlook 2025: Navigating evolving markets and regulations
A strong US economy and market, alongside benign economic conditions in Europe and other developed markets have helped insurers strengthen their balance sheets and boost their investment earnings while restoring liquidity buffers.
