Confidence up for May but what comes next?

US consumer confidence index rose sharply, and above expectations, in May to 98.0, mainly due to a temporary trade truce between the US and China on tariffs. Expectations about the near future also improved.

“US consumer confidence increased due to a temporary easing of trade tensions with China, but the global competition between these two will persist. Hence, investors should consider additional sources of portfolio stability and returns.”

  • Confidence rose in May, but it is still below the levels seen at the beginning of the year. 
  • Despite this short-term rapprochement between the US and China, tariffs on Chinese exports are still high.  
  • We think more clarity is needed on tariffs and US relations with trading partners. The recent US court ruling only raises uncertainty in this regard.

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