All Multi-Asset articles
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White papersReturn Predictability, Expectations, and Investments: Experimental Evidence
The empirical finance literature documents a puzzling phenomenon: investors tend to adjust their portfolios insufficiently in response to changes in their own forecasts of asset returns. This paper proposes an investment experiment with information treatments to better understand the mechanisms behind this puzzle.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2024
“We are slightly constructive on risks towards segments where fundamentals are strong, and ignore areas where upside potential looks limited.”
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White papersUS elections risks and opportunities: Pricing in known unknowns
Over the past five years, global equity markets have risen despite some very obvious risks. Could it be that risks often turn out to be a source of opportunities? Stuart Canning, Fund Manager in the Global Macro Team, believes investors should look at what is priced-in, not what they think is going to happen. He examines the market’s expectations for the US election and asks whether rising market volatility is here to stay.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook 4Q 2024
“We do think the Fed will get the first 100 basis points done quickly, but we see the central bank aiming for a return to a neutral rate, rather than an accommodative one—and in a soft-landing environment that would justify a rate cut pause around mid-year 2025, in our view.”
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White papersQ4 2024 Outlooks: Implications of Rate Cuts, Geopolitics, and Economic Uncertainty
In delivering on expectations for a policy pivot as the summer came to a close, the Federal Reserve joined its global peers in kicking off a new rate-cut cycle at a time when global economies are experiencing uneven growth and an uncertain path ahead. Meanwhile, anxieties have seemingly intensified with US elections in the fall, war in the Middle East, and persistent tensions between global powers, all of which place geopolitics right in the middle of the investment outlook.
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White papersThe timeless nature of income investing
Capital gains took a precedence during the post-Global Financial Crisis era of ultra-low interest rates and quantitative easing measures implemented by central banks. Now we find ourselves in a very different environment, we believe income investing could be making a comeback. Alex Rolandi speaks with the investment teams to find out why this is important, and how investors can address the income challenge without sacrificing growth.
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White papersAmplified Volatility Leads to Muted Bets
To get through the current environment, we think it is important not to chase the markets, but to let them come to you.
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White papersRisk Factor, Risk Premium and Black-Litterman Model
Risk factor models are now widely used by fund managers to construct portfolios and assess both return and risk based on the behaviour of common risk factors to which the portfolios are exposed. However, fund managers often have subjective views on these risk factors that they may wish to incorporate into their asset allocation strategies.
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Asset Manager NewsOntario Teachers’ Pension Plan and Hines acquire Build-to-Rent portfolio in Australia
Transaction provides geographic diversification and exposure to a key and growing market for multi-family assets
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White papersHow emotional bias could drive exploitable market inefficiencies
The propensity for emotion and bias to influence decision making is a common individual experience. But do behavioural traits really drive markets too? Here, we analyse recent real world examples that suggests emotional responses are likely to be a factor behind market ‘episodes’.
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White papersThe Fed pivot arrives
“Inflation moving towards the Fed’s target is allowing the central bank to shift its focus to economic growth. This underscores the importance of bonds as a diversifier* in an overall agile stance.”
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White papersGold continues to shine
“Despite its historically high price, we believe that gold remains a safe haven and a good diversification tool at a time of high geopolitical tensions and excessive government debt.”
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White papersGenerating returns in uncertain regimes
As the last few years have aptly demonstrated, pandemics, wars and wildly fluctuating economic variables such as surging inflation and sweeping interest rate hikes have all contributed to heightened periods of uncertainty and volatility in financial markets, often at the expense of patient and unassuming long-term investors. Stuart Canning, Fund Manager in M&G’s Multi Asset Team, assesses the value of Dynamic Multi-Asset allocation in a world of shifting expectations.
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White papersDiversify with real and alternative assets
Hedge funds (HF) to benefit from abundant alpha opportunities
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White papersQ3 2024 Outlooks: Opportunities and Risks with the World at a Crossroad
The global economy has continued its momentum, retaining a level of resilience that has withstood a flurry of challenges ranging from tighter monetary policy and borrowing conditions to a rise in geopolitical tensions. The US has powered global growth amid divergent results around the world, and with inflation cooling, central banks have either cut interest rates or signaled their intention to loosen policy.
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White papersEquities at all-time highs
”We expect equity markets to take a breather after the recent all time highs. We look for opportunities beyond the mega caps and in emerging markets.”
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PodcastA Layer Cake: The Right Mix for a Multi-Asset Recipe
Is the 60/40 portfolio still relevant? Karen is joined by Defne Ozaltun, Portfolio Manager for AB’s Multi-Asset Solutions team, who says portfolio managers must find a precise mix of ingredients for multi-asset portfolios in evolving markets. Understanding how different income and return sources work together, she explains, is key to building a portfolio that’s more than just the sum of its parts.
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White papersFrench markets amid snap elections
“Political uncertainty can amplify short term market movements. However, markets tend to recover once the political situation clarifies and the focus comes back to corporate earnings.”
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White papersPrompting AI: Can Better Conversations Drive Better Investment Research?
A richer dialogue between human experts and large language models may improve outcomes.
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White papersInvestment Perspectives Mid-Year 2024 Outlook: Descent from the peak
Where could investors discover opportunities as we approach the descent from peak interest rates? At the mid-way point of 2024, our CIOs and investment teams across Equities and Multi-Asset, Fixed Income and Private Markets bring you their views on the current investment landscape, look beyond the ‘noise’ and map the potential routes for success amid heightened volatility.
