All Multi-Asset articles – Page 4
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Inflation stabilises, but policy dilemma continues
Autumn made a hasty arrival to Europe in mid-September and it was accompanied by a multitude of monetary policy meetings. The current tightening cycle has seen plenty of interest rate hikes. But this new round of meetings show how central banks appear undecided on their next steps in light of the mixed signals coming from their economies. What will this cautious stance from central banks mean for the world’s economies?
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2023
“Markets have not priced in the risks related to the credit cycle, volatility in inflation figures (to the upside and downside), and any kind of landing for the US economy. We maintain our quality bias.”
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White papersMulti asset: what do macro and market signals tell us?
We may be in a late phase of the economic cycle and the investment backdrop remains in flux. As many children globally head ‘back-to-school’ in September, our multi-asset team drills into what the data mean and which asset classes are showing more positive signals.
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White papersThe Sprint to Year-End
As the September starting gun sounds, here’s what we are looking out for on the track ahead.
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White papersIs the economy in a late-cycle period?
Today’s unconventional economic context continues to confound investors. In this weekly installment of Simply put, we look to history as a guide for the markers defining a late cycle.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2023
”The current asymmetric risk/return profile doesn’t call for increasing risks. Instead, investors should stay balanced and search for signals regarding confirmation of the economic direction.”
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White papersIs the U.S. Economy Meaningfully Reaccelerating?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersCIO views: ideas for ‘back-to-school’ returns
As Q3 progresses and many children return to classrooms after the holidays, our CIOs present their ‘back-to-school’ investment outlooks. Even as long-term investment trends continue to play out – the environmental transition, higher-for-longer interest rates, a greater cost of capital and demographic change – there is client demand for performance in the shorter term. What tactical exposures can investors implement to improve returns in the next six months?
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White papersDiversifying + Defensive Equity Approaches
In times when downside risk may lie ahead, a combination of diversifying and defensive equity approaches can potentially improve the probability of achieving positive outcomes.
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White papersWhat’s happened to the cycle?
Conventional market wisdom dictates that a slowdown normally becomes a recession, and that investors should sell equities ahead of a downturn. Additionally, higher rates should eventually lead to lower inflation, at which point investors typically favour bonds. These phenomena tend to overlap more as the threat of a recession grows.
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White papersDo better volatility forecasts improve risk-based portfolios?
MARS, our Multi-Asset Research Series, focuses on complex topics in the realm of multi asset to bring quantitative investment research back to Earth. This third edition completes our previous research on range-based volatility measures – or models that account for intraday patterns – by asking if such measures could improve the return profile of a risk-based portfolio.
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White papersIs it time to be optimistic?
One of the key features of the summer rally has been the surprising resilience of the US economy. An easy way to assess this improvement involves looking at ‘surprise indices’ that measure the cumulative difference between published economic numbers and economists’ expectations.
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White papersNotes from the Road…or the Boarding Gate
This short note draws out common themes from our recent conversations and meetings with clients across the US, Canada, Europe and the Middle East. The questions we were asked ranged from monetary policy and inflation to strategic asset allocation, the impact of artificial intelligence and market liquidity.
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White papersSunshine in the U.S.—For Now
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersIs there a recession on the horizon?
This week’s edition of Simply put focuses on a quant conundrum related to our indicators: our US growth indicator remains firmly at low levels. Is it a false signal? Should we reconsider the indicator itself?
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Receding inflation doesn’t mean the battle is won
After months of rising rates, there could be good news for central banks as we start to see signs that inflation is finally cooling down.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2023
”We remain sceptical on inflated valuations because the uptrend in risk assets is due to the laggards catching up rather than any meaningful improvement to earnings outlooks.”
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PodcastOuterblue Talks Research - Geopolitical shifts shaping investments
Geopolitics has become an ever increasing concern for financial markets over the past few years. Fractures and shifts in alliances are transforming the global economy and trade relationships.
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White papersHow cost-conscious buy and maintain strategies seek to avoid pitfalls in credit investment
Buy and maintain (B&M) strategies can have the same characteristics and potential benefits of traditional credit portfolios. They can provide the yield, spread over government bonds, income and potential returns from the bonds held, as well as the potential to fulfil investors responsible investment objectives.
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White papersMulti asset: taming of the skew
The return distributions for risk assets have taken on a positive asymmetry of late. This quarterly edition of Simply put asks what could trigger the normalisation of return asymmetry and what would the consequences be for risk-based investors?
