All Multi-Asset articles – Page 5
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White papers
Can We Refocus on Fundamentals Now?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papers
“Investing at a Crossroads” Revisited
Nine months ago, we set out a playbook for the transition to the new investing environment—here’s why it still applies as the rates cycle peaks and inflation eases.
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White papers
What to Expect When Expecting A Recession: A CIO’s Guide to Interpreting the Probability of Recession (PGIM IAS, June 2023)
Recessions are a regularity of the economic landscape. While each recession has its own unique set of characteristics, recessions share common attributes with implications for portfolio construction and asset allocation decisions.
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Video
The Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 2: Commercial Real Estate
(9:15) In this short video experts from our public and private markets teams consider the outlook for commercial real estate.
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White papers
Tactics and Strategy
We tend to think about diversifying across asset classes, sectors and regions, but diversifying across investment timeframes can add value, too.
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White papers
Is the Fed rate-hike pause still likely?
2023 was to be a relatively well telegraphed year, as opposed to 2022 which took investors by surprise. The idea was simple: in 2022, central banks had raised a wall of interest rates to protect our economies from a wave of inflation not seen since the 1970s. These rate hikes were to cause a slowdown in economic growth during 2023 without plunging the world into a deep recession – the ‘soft landing’ scenario.
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White papers
Resolving the Puzzle
To make sense of today’s market conundrum, remember that things could have been worse than they are, and that investors are more defensive than they appear.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: All eyes on the debt ceiling
Washington remains firmly in the spotlight this month as the US debt ceiling negotiations remain at a deadlock. While a deal is expected sooner or later, what damage will be done in the meantime, especially as the economy in the United States had already been expected to slow?
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Podcast
Canaries in the Liquidity Coal Mine
Trevor Lavin and Kevin Kneafsey discuss how liquidity stress is playing out in the markets and how it can have profound impacts on all of your investments.
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White papers
In a soft landing we trust – right?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we explore the scenarios underlying different markets, as well as their one commonality: the anticipation of a soft landing. What are the implications for portfolios?
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White papers
Building bridges to India’s future investment opportunities
India’s strong demographics and role in the geopolitical arena make it a long-term opportunity for global investors.
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White papers
Connecting the Disinflation Dots in Multi-Asset Strategies
The Federal Reserve’s latest 0.25% interest-rate hike has likely capped one of its most aggressive policy-tightening cycles in 40 years. And the cumulative 5% policy rate increase in just over a year is now starting to have an effect on rate-sensitive sectors and inflation.
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White papers
What ‘Data-Dependent’ Feels Like
As central banks become more “data-dependent,” will monetary policy become less predictable and markets potentially more volatile?
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White papers
CIO views: positioned for a credit crunch?
One fallout from the banking crisis is less credit flowing to the economy amid general risk aversion. What ramifications could tighter lending conditions have on growth and companies? Our CIOs consider how to best position for a potential credit crunch and what attractive options exist other than reducing exposure to risk assets.
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White papers
When can we look beyond the recession?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we look to history to try to gauge when we can start preparing for a post-recession rebound.
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White papers
Do volatility forecasts benefit from range-based measures?
MARS, our Multi-Asset Research Series, focuses on complex topics in the realm of multi asset to bring quantitative investment research back to Earth. In this second issue, we continue to explore range-based volatility measures and consider their advantages to improve volatility forecasts versus other estimators.
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White papers
Asset Allocation Committee Outlook: 2Q 2023
Despite equities holding up well so far in 2023, the Asset Allocation Committee remains cautious, anticipating volatility as we approach peaks in rates and inflation and troughs in economic growth and earnings.
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White papers
Another One and Done?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: No time to change course
The turmoil of March may be behind us, but market signals are conflicted about what comes next. A disconnect has appeared as bond markets look to price in a recession in the US, whilst on the equity side earnings expectations still appear overly optimistic. Against this back-drop, investors are wise to keep plotting a cautious course.
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White papers
Dividend Investing: Broader Is Better for Multi-Asset Strategies
Investing in dividend-paying stocks has proved to be a helpful strategy, outperforming global markets over the long term. But their returns can fluctuate, with outcomes influenced heavily by market conditions and stages of the business cycle.