All United States articles
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White papersUS inflation less than expected
“US CPI has been slowing. However, uncertainty on US tariffs and rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which could keep oil prices high, may make central banks job more difficult.”
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PodcastGlobal Investment Views - Tracking the U-turns amid rising yields
Join our host, Swaha Pattanaik, as she sits down for her regular catch-up with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to give our perspective on the markets, analyse the trends and share our investment views for the weeks ahead.
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White papersPolicy divergences on display
“Policy decisions by global central banks are getting more nuanced, with the ECB staying on its rate cut path, the Fed in a wait-and-see mode, and the BoJ being the only major outlier.”
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White papersMidyear equity outlook: Staying selective amid volatility
A year that began with a rosy outlook for equities was soon jolted by tariff announcements, sending markets reeling. Looking out for the remainder of 2025, we remain constructive in our outlook on equities. Tariff tumult and a challenging macroeconomic environment remain acute in many regions.
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White papersFed may do little in this push-me-pull-you market
Bond investors had plenty to consider during May as momentum shifted.
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White papersHas Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating impacted money market funds?
This is one of those instances when it is best to be direct. As soon as the news hit about Moody’s recent downgrade of the US credit rating, we knew cash managers would be fielding questions about its impact on US money market funds. There are no ramifications: the rating agency has affirmed its Aaa-mf assessment of money funds is unaffected by the “demotion”.
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White papersTrump’s tariff rollout hits roadblock
US court ruled this week that president has overstepped his authority by invoking an emergency law to justify tariff policy.
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White papersInvestment Perspectives H2 2025 Outlook: Steady sailing in choppy waters
The investment landscape is shifting. Economic, political and financial uncertainty has risen and investors are responding. What lies ahead for investors? In our mid-year edition of Investment Perspectives, CIOs from our Equities, Fixed Income and Private Market teams reveal how they plan to navigate these choppy waters and continue to uncover compelling investment opportunities.
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White papersAdapting to shifts in a dynamic market
Private credit: Investment opportunities and US consumer credit
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White papersConfidence up for May but what comes next?
US consumer confidence index rose sharply, and above expectations, in May to 98.0, mainly due to a temporary trade truce between the US and China on tariffs. Expectations about the near future also improved.
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White papersThe Consumer Hangs In
Amid changing policy dynamics, fluctuating markets and swings in sentiment, the U.S. consumer has, so far, remained surprisingly resilient.
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White papersConfusing Correlations: What’s Really Behind Them?
In recent weeks we’ve witnessed extreme (and at times, puzzling) correlations among asset classes. In this paper, we break down the potentially misunderstood drivers of these strange dynamics and their implications for investors.
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White papersMacro Monthly: The ‘Sell America’ trade and its limitations
Market narratives change fast. Entering 2025, most investors were all-in on US exceptionalism. President Trump’s tax cuts and de-regulatory agenda were expected to boost the US growth and earnings outlook, while tariffs would be disproportionately negative for the rest of the world. Investors came into the year overweight US stocks and the US dollar.
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White papersEmerging Markets hold steady amid softening US dollar, tariff uncertainty
In April, the volatility in global financial markets seen in March continued to ramp up. Notably, this included US financial markets, which exhibited a general pattern of a softening US dollar and rising bond yields. While some analysts have described this as a “classic emerging market crisis,” as veterans of actual emerging crises dating back to 1994, we consider this a wildly overstated perspective.
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White papersBRICS+ and contested global leadership: implications for investment management
The second study of the Pictet Research Institute explores the rise of the BRICS+ coalition as a counterweight to the G7 amid shifting economic dynamics. It examines how BRICS+ challenges the Western-led international system and the implications for investment strategies in a polarised world.
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White papersThe critical role of US debt sustainability in the world financial architecture
This first paper delves into the complexities of the US debt-to-GDP ratio, exploring its sustainability in the context of the United States’ unique position in the global financial architecture and geopolitical order. This research provides critical insights into how the US can maintain its economic stability and what the potential risks are if current trends continue. This publication is issued by the Pictet Research Institute.
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White papersIs EM Local Debt Benefiting From ‘America First’?
Emerging markets local debt is regaining momentum, fueled by shifting U.S. policy.
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White papersPrivate equity: The Red Thread – Private Markets – Edition May 2025
Private equity investors have had a busy 1H. The US administration’s 2 April tariff announcement took investors by surprise, leading to a global equity markets selloff as trade war fears intensified. The subsequent rollback of the tariff announcement also surprised equity markets, which rallied significantly on news of a pause. As with the 2022 tech-led selloff, private equity tends to lag the public markets, but is not immune from a turbulent market.
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White papersHouse Budget Bill Signals Higher US Deficit Trajectory
Proposed tax-cut extensions and higher debt costs could amplify fiscal concern.
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White papersUS rating slides, spending rises
“As US debt and fiscal deficits rise, leading to higher volatility in government bonds, investors should favour a global approach and explore opportunities in European bonds.”
