All United States articles – Page 5
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White papers
US Healthcare: Attractive Valuation for a Structural Growth Opportunity
US healthcare offers an attractively valued entry point for a strategic overweight allocation. This is despite considerable short-term uncertainty about the evolution of US policy. The sector is trading near historical lows globally; in the US, it is now trading at the deepest discount to the broader market in nearly 40 years based on relative forward price-earnings (PE) multiples. Its share of the broader market is at its lowest in 15 years.
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White papers
Testing US exceptionalism? What markets have learned from Trump’s first 100 days
What were markets and investors anticipating from the first 100 days of US President Donald Trump’s leadership – and what’s been the reality? Click the link to read views from Fabiana Fedeli, CIO for Equities, Multi Asset and Sustainability.
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Bonds do their job during the first 100 days of uncertainty
Many crosscurrents are affecting US rates.
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Let Powell drive the bus
Trump’s attacks make it harder for the Fed Chair to steer the economy through the storm.
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Video
Investing in a post ‘Liberation Day’ era
One month on from the introduction of US President Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs, investors are weighing the real impact on markets. In this video, Saker Nusseibeh, CBE – CEO of Federated Hermes Limited, shares his view on what it means looking forward.
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Preserving central bank credibility: Addressing threats to the Fed’s independence
Rising geopolitical tensions and inflation are testing investor confidence in 2025, challenging central bank independence and market stability. U.S. Treasurys remain a key safe haven, but their dominance is increasingly under scrutiny amid global uncertainty.
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White papers
Keep calm and carry on: Infrastructure and the first 100 days of Trump
In our 2025 infrastructure outlook, we argued that the macro backdrop is positive for private infrastructure, and that the 2025 edition of our report is the most bullish one we have written in the last three years. That positive sentiment may feel off the mark after the first few months of 2025, especially with volatility across the global markets due to uncertain policies under the new Trump presidency.
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The End of American Exceptionalism?
The rest of the world is due some cyclical catch-up with the U.S., but talk of a structural change in the global economic ecosystem is premature.
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Taxable municipal bonds: silver linings
The fallout from the U.S. administration’s tariff regime continues to send shockwaves through markets. Uncertainty around policy will likely continue to drive market and geopolitical volatility, and has complicated the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cutting path. While uncertainty and volatility impact several asset classes, we see opportunities in taxable municipal bonds to play an important role in diversified portfolios.
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White papers
Short Duration Q1 Recap, Portfolio Actions & Outlook
Our quarterly update examines the market turbulence of Q1 and how short duration strategies navigated the challenges—and opportunities—of heightened macro uncertainty.
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2025 Mid-Year European Outlook: Still On Track, Despite Tariffs
The prime European real estate recovery is expected to stay on track. Regardless of the fast-changing news on tariffs and its related macroeconomic uncertainties, current income and projected rental growth are expected to mitigate the tariff’s impact on European prime returns.
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White papers
Tariff Impacts and Infrastructure Debt’s Resilience
Infrastructure debt provides investors with access to a defensive asset class with lower correlation to economic cycles than general corporate debt given the essential nature of infrastructure assets. Nevertheless, tariffs will have both direct and indirect effects on certain infrastructure investments. Economic infrastructure assets and projects under construction, where there is exposure to supply chain issues or increased costs, will feel the greatest effect of tariffs. Defensive assets such as contracted-power generation, regulated transmission and utility assets, and availability-based public private partnerships will largely be unaffected by the additional tariffs.
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White papers
Trump has constraints – May macro and asset class views
April has been a month of extremes, but it is in extreme scenarios that we are learning what limitations Trump faces in his bid to reshape the US domestically, and in its relationship with the rest of the world. We think these constraints provide the market with some reassurance that the most negative tail-scenarios can be avoided, even though the economic outlook is set to deteriorate in coming months.
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Video
Investment outlook – Waiting for the moment
With the waters in financial markets stirred and the amplitude of the ripples still unclear, a cautious attitude to asset allocation looks to be smart. Questions abound: will US import tariffs sap business models and profit margins? What do they mean for inflation and growth? Are the effects the same in the US and Europe?
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White papers
Default Not in Our Stars
We don’t think tariffs will cause a major spike in high-yield and loan defaults, and that means current spreads and yields look attractive.
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The curious case of rising US Treasury yields
A number of factors are likely prompting the move.
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Money Markets: Staying steady
The stability of the money markets is shining amid the greater financial turbulence.
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Globalisation isn’t dead. It’s changing.
The latest round of tariffs launched by the US government in early April prompted a wave of criticism from world leaders, including some who say globalisation is now dead. As a global investor for over four decades, I respectfully disagree. Globalisation isn’t dead. It is, however, changing in a significant way.
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White papers
Deglobalization. What’s Next?
We believe the Post-World War II, U.S.-dominated world order of globalization is quickly coming to an end. Between the possibilities of diversification, division, and disengagement that we discussed in our piece on globalization several years ago, the Trump Administration appears to be pursuing a disengagement strategy. Everyone— domestic players in the U.S. included—is now working to accommodate a less globally engaged U.S.