All United States articles – Page 3
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White papersFixed income outlook update: the market comes out swinging
The year started with some sharp moves in fixed income, with developments in terms of inflation trends and labour market conditions. So, how does this align with our broader fixed income outlook for the year?
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White papersTariffs take centre stage
“Diversification* and a balanced approach are now more important than ever, as the news on tariffs, negotiations, and retaliations will keep markets volatile”
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White papersTrump 2.0: Impact of tariffs on growth and inflation
The new Trump administration’s opening salvo in the trade war represents a significant shock to growth that could potentially plunge Mexico and Canada into a deep recession while exacerbating the malaise in China. If tariffs are implemented, U.S. growth would likely to be negatively impacted, and inflation could accelerate in the near-term. The greatest market risk likely lies in policy unpredictability, making diversification essential for managing portfolio risk and seizing investment opportunities.
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White papersA More Commodious Curve
By fundamentally changing incentives, a normalizing yield curve makes the bond market much more friendly to investors.This time last year, we were urging investors to “Make Your Money Move.” Too much cash was sitting in portfolios, in our view. The 5%-plus interest it was earning looked set to decline, making it less attractive than equities or bonds over anything longer than a six-month time horizon.
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White papersNavigating tariffs: February macro and asset class views
We reiterate our positive view on stocks and bonds. Earnings are coming in healthily, growth is solid, inflation is still trending lower, and global central banks continue to ease policy. We like to keep it simple.
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Asset Manager NewsSpace Exploration Boom Offers Real Estate Investment Opportunity
Acquisition of Titusville Logistics Center highlights opportunity in space exploration adjacent submarkets
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BlogCalifornia Utilities: Too Big to Fail?
The size of the potential liability from the January 2025 wildfires in California underscores the risks facing municipal utilities and the considerations facing active managers.
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White papersAn Early Look at the Implications of Tariffs and a Trade War
After the trade war’s opening salvoes, tensions seem set to last for some time.
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White papersTech sector in the spotlight
“DeepSeek, China’s new entrant in the field of artificial intelligence, has shaken the highly-valued US tech sector. Investors should continue to diversify* their equity exposures in search of more attractive opportunities at a global level.”
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White papersU.S. Housing Chartbook
The U.S. consumer remains strong on the back of a healthy labor market and inflation is moving back to target, albeit slowly.
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White papersNew sheriff in town
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s fiscal policies could be a Rorschach test for investors.
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White papersStrategy Outlook: Unified Global Alternatives - Hedge Funds First Quarter 2025
Unified Global Alternatives Hedge Funds (UGA HF) Broad Based Diversified (BBD) and Broad Based Neutral (BBN) portfolios generated positive results in Q4, experiencing profits across our four main strategies (Equity Hedged, Trading, Credit / Income, and Relative Value).
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White papersIs the Market too Concentrated? Exploring Opportunities Beyond the Top Stocks
There’s a lot of buzz about the market being too concentrated these days. But what exactly does that mean and what are the implications?
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White papersWhen Does the Cutting Cycle Become an Easing Cycle?
Over the past years, the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking cycle has been unique, marked by looser financial conditions, termed “the hiking cycle that was not a tightening”. Currently, we are witnessing “a cutting cycle that is not an easing“ with financial conditions tightening despite rate cuts, affecting future growth outlooks and posing risks for investors.
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White papersAre We Any Clearer About Trump 2.0?
Were 26 executive orders enough to convey the new administration’s direction and resolve the uncertainties in our outlook?
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PodcastFixed Income Moves in 2025
As the United States embarks on a new administration, markets eagerly prepare for what is to come regarding domestic policy, international policy, tariffs, and geopolitics. But how will the Fixed Income asset class move through these new pathways? What factors are at play regarding fiscal and monetary policy? And how can investors prepare for the year ahead?
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White papersArtificial intelligence – Still positive after the sell-off
In the week ending 24 January, a previously unknown Chinese start-up presented an artificial intelligence large language model apparently showing a performance comparable to that of the leading US models. The unexpected development could disrupt the paradigm of a quasi-monopolistic position for leading US chip manufacturer. This concern led to a major fall in valuations of some prominent tech companies. Markets have since recovered most of their poise. Here we give our view on these developments.
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White papersTop 10 questions on real estate markets for 2025
2024 was a year of recovery, with GDP rising across most countries and inflation moderating, albeit remaining volatile. Ultimately, the much hoped-for soft landing was achieved. Improved financial conditions and investor sentiment fed through to a slow pick-up in real estate investment activity. The easing of monetary policy in 2024 has resulted in the prolonged downturn coming to an end. However, we think that the conditions prevailing in the post-GFC era will not be mirrored, with interest rates set to remain elevated and above pre-pandemic levels. We think that 2025 will be a year of progress, as we turn the corner, but that economic and political uncertainties will remain.
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White papersWhat does Trump 2.0 mean for Paris-aligned investing?
US President Donald Trump’s signal to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement for a second time is disappointing. The US reached peak greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2007 and has been on a declining path since. While a second Trump administration could be viewed as – and is likely to be – a setback for the global decarbonisation effort, we should remember that this is a four-year election cycle, and the incumbent is now restricted to a single term in the White House.
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