All United States articles – Page 2
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White papersU.S. vs. China: Different AI Approaches, Common Choke Points
The two countries are taking different approaches to artificial intelligence, but common bottlenecks in memory chips and networking systems continue to create potentially attractive opportunities for investment in advanced semiconductor manufacturing and testing equipment.
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White papersThe ‘inverted pyramid’: winners from new US food guidelines
The US government’s move to shift the national diet provides tailwinds for companies in ‘real food’ supply chains and reformulation. Its revised guidelines emphasise high-quality proteins, dairy and fats, raise nutritional standards for school meals and reshape how ‘food stamps’ can be spent.1
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White papersSoftware Leads AI-Driven Tech Rout—What Next?
The breadth and ferocity of the sell-off in technology stocks is a fresh test of the AI story. Buckle up—more tests will come.
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VideoWhat’s the outlook for US high-yield bonds?
Growth forecasts for 2026 are generally being revised up for US companies as the benefits of deregulation and fiscal measures in the One Big Beautiful Bill start coming through, underpinning a still resilient setup for the high-yield fixed income market. Accordingly, default rates should remain in a manageable 1-3% range – well below long-term averages.
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White papersUnlocking nature-based solutions with mitigation banking
As ecological degradation increasingly affects economic systems, nature-based solutions are gaining attention as potential investment opportunities. Mitigation banking, a market-based framework for ecosystem restoration, offers investors a structured approach to participating in nature loss solutions. With nearly $4 billion in annual revenue and three decades of regulatory stability, U.S. ecosystem restoration markets may provide entry points for investors seeking portfolio diversification alongside environmental impact. Find out more.
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White papersCould US GDP growth hit 5% this year?
The resilience of the US economy never fails to amaze me. Despite all the turmoil in the world, the US economy somehow manages to look past it, power through it, and come out stronger on the other side.
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White papersPrivate real estate lending: Why it’s growing
Private lender activity in US commercial real estate (CRE) has rebounded more sharply than the overall market, nearly doubling its pre-pandemic share of loan originations.
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White papersA blockbuster, but skewed, tax refund season
Tax refunds are coming in strong, but unevenly distributed — shaping consumer spending patterns and near-term economic momentum.
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White papersBack to the Future (Again)
Dickens is likely the first and almost certainly the most famous commentator to employ the K-shape analogy to describe the world as he saw it—the best of times and the worst of times.
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White papersWinners and Losers at the All-K Corral
Economic growth through the third quarter of 2025 came in above expectations and will likely end the year on a strong note. At the same time, the K-shaped economy is more present than ever: even outside the consumer. Most of our recent productivity gains have been concentrated in the information sector while others remain stagnant. Services industries continue to grow, but manufacturing has been in contraction for 34 out of the last 36 months. Large firms are also seeing strong profits, but small firms continue to struggle.
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White papersEU risk retention rules – implications for US securitised credit investors
The European Union Securitisation Regulation (EUSR) took effect in 2019 (concurrently with an equivalent UKSR framework for UK investors). EUSR imposes compliance obligations on many EU-regulated entities, including UCITS (Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities) funds, which invest in securitised assets.
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White papersJanuary 2026 FOMC meeting: Policy rates on hold, nothing to see here
The Fed keeps rates unchanged, signaling patience as inflation cools and growth remains resilient.
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White papersThe Fed’s pause highlights value of diversification
The U.S. Federal Reserve paused rate cuts after three consecutive reductions, citing stronger labor data and consumer spending. With an upgraded 2.0% growth forecast for 2026, elevated market valuations, and a slower pace of Fed rate cuts, investors may benefit from portfolio diversification. Our latest analysis explores potential opportunities across dividend-growing equities, senior loans, and alternative assets like farmland as investors seek to balance risk and return objectives in this evolving environment. Read the full analysis.
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White papersInstitutional ownership of single-family rentals (SFR): Investor FAQ
Single-family rentals continue to attract institutional capital as affordability pressures persist, offering diversification benefits, stable cash flows, and exposure to long-term demographic trends.
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White papersHow US midterm elections affect the markets
With everything happening in the world — from the US push to annex Greenland, to new tariffs against Europe, to military intervention in Venezuela — investors may not be focused on the US midterm elections just yet. But this pivotal contest is just 10 months away, and the campaign starts in earnest next month when President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union Address.
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White papersU.S. Fixed Income: Policy-Driven Opportunities Emerge
Amid the administration’s flurry of affordability-targeted policy initiatives, bond investment opportunities are emerging.
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White papersA new flashpoint in U.S/Europe trade relations
Rising trade tensions between the U.S. and Europe introduce fresh risks for global growth and supply chains.
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White papersUS inflation down, but still above target
US CPI was up 2.7% YoY in December, unchanged from the previous month, meeting market expectations and significantly down from levels seen in early 2024. Core inflation — which excludes food and energy — rose 2.6%, slightly below expectations. It was weighed down by declines in used cars and trucks and by IT‑related goods.
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White papersTreasury yields reflect a curious equilibrium to start the year
As we begin the new year, actual and implied volatilities in the US Treasury market have fallen to four-year lows, returning to levels that were common before the pandemic. Of course, the last four years included a number of disruptors: the inflation surge to multi-decade highs; the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rapid tightening to suppress inflation; the Silicon Valley Bank crisis; President Donald Trump’s tariffs announcement; and the eventual Fed easing in response to weakening job creation.
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White papersDecember CPI report: Unlikely to alter the Fed’s course
Inflation data supports a steady Fed stance, reinforcing expectations for gradual policy easing.
