All United States articles – Page 2
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White papers
The evolving Israel-Iran conflict
Over the weekend, the United States launched airstrikes on three key Iranian nuclear sites, Iran responded on Monday by launching missiles at the US’s Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. The missiles were shot down and resulted in no casualties – Trump thanked Iran ‘for giving us early notice’. Following these developments, on Monday, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran was announced, but as of now, it remains unclear if it will hold. The weakened Iranian regime faces growing pressure.
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White papers
2025 Mid-year update: Inside Real Estate outlook
Commercial real estate is steadily recovering in mid-2025, supported by stronger debt markets and rising income returns. Key opportunities lie in sectors like data centers, residential, and healthcare, where fundamentals remain solid.
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White papers
Nil, Baby, Nil: Stagnating Oil Production Growth in the U.S.
Commodities Spotlight | June 2025
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White papers
US enters Israel-Iran conflict
Over the weekend, the United States launched airstrikes on three key Iranian nuclear sites, escalating tensions in the Middle East. While the full extent of the damage remains unclear, we expect Iran to retaliate, though likely in a manner aimed at avoiding deeper US involvement.
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White papers
Middle East Conflict: From Diplomacy to Disruption
U.S. strikes in Iran have escalated the conflict. What should investors watch for next?
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The Beige Book Goes into the Red as U.S. Growth Stalls
We remain cautious about the economic outlook. Consumer spending and the labor market remain stable in aggregate, but both qualitative and quantitative indicators related to business output and business uncertainty give us pause. Indices from the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) show weakening activity with rapidly increasing input ...
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White papers
What Lies Ahead in the Next 100 Days?
Amid global trade tensions and new questions about how economies will interact going forward, the path ahead lacks clarity. For now, uncertainty may play a lead role in how global economies and markets perform-until the fog begins to clear.
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The winners and losers of the bifurcated housing market
U.S. housing markets are becoming increasingly polarized: regions with abundant inventory face sluggish demand and price normalization, while commercial real estate benefits from attractive income-driven returns under improved financing conditions.
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White papers
The Fed’s strategic pause: the calm before the cuts
In its June meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained current interest rates, pointing to ongoing tariff-related uncertainties. Nevertheless, the Fed indicated that two rate reductions remain probable before year-end.
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White papers
U.S. Policy Implicates Rebuilding Costs
Elevated tariffs and tighter immigration are a key focus for today’s insurance modelers.
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White papers
Europe: A strategic overweight?
After a long period of US equity outperformance relative to Europe, the short-term picture has changed. Evan Brown, Nicole Goldberger and Marco Bischoff look at whether this is a temporary anomaly or indicative of a longer-term trend.
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White papers
A bitter pill: what tariffs could mean for pharmaceutical firms and the wider healthcare industry
The US government’s proposal to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical imports has ignited a complex debate, intertwining economic, healthcare, and geopolitical considerations. While the initiative aims to bolster domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains, it also raises concerns about drug affordability and availability, and has broader implications for the healthcare system.
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White papers
Ride the policy noise and shifts
A rewiring of the global economy is forcing investors and policymakers to proceed with caution. Such prudence is justified. There may be superficial parallels with the trade shock delivered by the pandemic, but limited lessons can be drawn from the temporary disruptions that occurred at the start of the decade. Today, the US administration’s approach to commerce, security and international relations is ushering in structural changes that will outlast its tenure.
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White papers
US inflation less than expected
“US CPI has been slowing. However, uncertainty on US tariffs and rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which could keep oil prices high, may make central banks job more difficult.”
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White papers
Will the Current Economic Stalemate End in a Boom or a Bust?
U.S. consumers remain resilient, but business sentiment holds the key for the trajectory of future economic growth.
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White papers
Industrial realignment: Trade, ports, and market shifts
The U.S. industrial real estate sector is undergoing a supply-chain-driven realignment: demand remains strong in modern, urban infill warehouses and for strategic manufacturing facilities (like semiconductors and EVs), while older and coastal port-linked assets face headwinds amid trade uncertainty. Skilled, location-specific asset selection is now key to capturing upside in this evolving landscape.
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White papers
Japan at the Crossroads: Navigating Trump 2.0 and tariff risks
The Trump administration’s second term has been marked by a renewed emphasis on bilateral trade deals, economic nationalism, and strategic use of tariffs as a tool of leverage. While the administration has signalled a desire for “quick wins” with key partners such as Japan, the underlying uncertainty surrounding the permanence and scope of tariffs remains a central concern.
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Podcast
Global Investment Views - Tracking the U-turns amid rising yields
Join our host, Swaha Pattanaik, as she sits down for her regular catch-up with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, to give our perspective on the markets, analyse the trends and share our investment views for the weeks ahead.
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White papers
Policy divergences on display
“Policy decisions by global central banks are getting more nuanced, with the ECB staying on its rate cut path, the Fed in a wait-and-see mode, and the BoJ being the only major outlier.”
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White papers
Midyear equity outlook: Staying selective amid volatility
A year that began with a rosy outlook for equities was soon jolted by tariff announcements, sending markets reeling. Looking out for the remainder of 2025, we remain constructive in our outlook on equities. Tariff tumult and a challenging macroeconomic environment remain acute in many regions.