All United States articles – Page 2
-
White papers
Can the US sustain a rising debt burden?
The United States is approaching an unprecedented level of debt, exceeding historical highs experienced post-World War II. This situation indicates that fiscal adjustment is unavoidable, as the country cannot simply outgrow its debt dilemma. Despite high domestic and external demand for US debt, relying on this demand amid such significant debt increases is risky.
-
White papers
Fed in no rush after strong US data
”Stronger-than-expected economic data means that there is no rush for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. We expect the first Fed cut to occur in June.”
-
White papers
Investors prep for June rate cuts
Stronger-than-expected US data this year has led markets to reprice rate expectations, with the first full cut from the ECB and the Fed now forecast for June 2024.
-
White papers
Is US job creation as strong as it looks?
The latest US inflation report showed signs of inflation falling at a slower pace than expected. Inflation data have disappointed twice in a row and are seemingly consistent with firm US employment and wage growth. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we consider what constitutes a strong employment report and how expectations are coloured by what many market participants consider to be normal.
-
White papers
Earnings Remain Key in a Confusing Macro Picture
Macro uncertainty is high, but the earnings season has been solid—and not only in the U.S.
-
White papers
A Second Trump Presidency? Potential Economic Effects
President Trump could win the 2024 presidential election. When the incumbent presidential party presides over an improvement in the unemployment rate, it is likely to be returned to power. With unemployment at historic lows, unemployment is likely to get worse, creating headwinds for a Biden re-election.
-
White papers
The key drivers of 10-year US Treasury yields
Deconstructing 10-year UST drivers and the direction they could take in 2024
-
White papers
Gauging the Fed’s QT Runway as Liquidity Recedes & Collateral Swells
Amid the shrinking pool of cash, the financial system’s ability to circulate excess liquidity to those who need it most will determine the length of the Fed’s quantitative tightening runway.
-
White papers
U.S. Real Estate: Positioned for Recovery
When considering the substantial correction in real estate prices and profound pull back in liquidity to this point, an inflection point in U.S. real estate appears closer than before. The Barings Real Estate team discusses how this backdrop is shaping opportunities across the asset class.
-
White papers
Opportunities in preferred and capital securities remain attractive
Main takeaways: the Federal Reserve (Fed) should be done raising rates; the U.S. Treasury market term premium should persist; discounted fixed-to-refixed hybrids foster an advantage of indifference to the direction of longer-term treasury rates; and relative values are attractive.
-
White papers
The solar coaster: The twists and turns of an evolving investment opportunity set
Significant growth in electrification is required in the United States to meet decarbonization goals. According to the Department of Energy, the capacity of the existing U.S. grid will need to increase 57% by 2035.
-
White papers
Life Sciences beyond borders
High interest rates, cooling venture capital and an oversupplied market – will the UK follow the path of the US Life Sciences real estate market
-
White papers
Bonds are Back - Where to Look, What to Do in 2024
From a risk/reward perspective fixed income is probably the most attractive asset class this year. What makes sense to invest in now? What should you hold off on?
-
White papers
Are Healthcare Stocks a Risky Prescription in a US Election Year?
Despite conventional wisdom, political uncertainty doesn’t necessarily pose acute risks to the healthcare sector.
-
White papers
Inflation and Consumer Sentiment
U.S. consumer sentiment has defied predictions of excess savings running dry, but do hotter inflation data pose a risk?
-
White papers
Dare to diversify
‘Don’t put all your eggs in one basket’, or at least not too many eggs, is a widely known maxim. These days, however, a benchmarked global equity portfolio has a very high share of US ‘eggs’. The market capitalisation of the MSCI World and MSCI All Country World indices represented by the US is at all time highs. The large weight partly reflects highly valued mega-tech and artificial intelligence companies.
-
White papers
The bulls are in control
As equity markets continue to rally, our investment team explains why investors should be looking beyond the headline-making names for greater returns.
-
White papers
Sun setting on the tightening cycle
The Fed has removed its tightening bias, opening the door to rate cuts.
-
White papers
US Inflation surprise on the Fed radar
The January inflation data in the US is not totally reassuring for the Fed. While goods prices continue to slow down, core services inflation is picking up, notably in Shelters, Medical care, and Education & Communication.
-
Asset Manager News
Ivanhoé Cambridge and Hines execute 75,000 square feet of new leases at 10 & 120 South Riverside Plaza in Chicago
With the addition of Pinterest, Attorneys’ Liability Assurance Society and Syska Hennessy Group, 156,000 square feet of leases have been signed over the last 12 months as the property advances $75 million redevelopment