All United States articles – Page 4
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White papersUS dollar dominance: Playing Jenga with the global monetary system
Assumptions that underpin the US dollar’s status as the world’s primary reserve currency are eroding more quickly than expected. What happens if the tower starts to collapse?
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White papersFed may cut further, amid weaker employment
At its September meeting, the Fed cut the Fed Funds target range by 25bp to 4.00-4.25%, as expected. The Fed’s economic projections showed the median Fed Funds forecast shifting to a total of 75bp of cuts this year, implying a 25bp cut at each of the remaining two meetings. This is happening at a time when both the ECB and BoE left rates unchanged, thus providing opportunities for global fixed income investors to play central banks’ policy asynchrony.
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White papersInflation or employment? The Fed makes its choice
The scales have tipped in the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) long-running balancing act between taming inflation and promoting full employment. With September’s quarter-point interest rate cut, the first such move in nine months, Fed officials appear to have made the labour market a key concern.
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White papersFed delivers a cut, signals more as growth momentum fades
The Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut and updated projections signal a more accommodative monetary policy ahead, with policymakers now expecting twice as many rate cuts this year as previously anticipated. This shifting environment creates new investment opportunities across multiple asset classes, including shorter-duration fixed income, real estate, equities, and municipal bonds that investors should consider as the Fed continues its easing cycle.
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Asset Manager NewsFranklin Templeton forms strategic partnership with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, DigitalBridge, and Actis to expand infrastructure solutions for Private wealth
Franklin Templeton forms strategic partnership with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, DigitalBridge, and Actis to expand infrastructure solutions for Private wealth
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White papersThe Search for Goldilocks
Moving into the final quarter of the year, investors face a series of questions around key macroeconomic variables that will define the growth and risk asset outlook for 2026, and hope that the balance will get things “just right.”
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White papersLiquidity: Looking on the bright side
Trump’s pressure on the Fed notwithstanding, the money markets have much to celebrate.
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White papersAlternative realities: Behind the headlines of the private markets megatrend
Alternative investments have transitioned from peripheral allocations to central pillars of institutional and private wealth portfolios. Amid persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and global uncertainty, investors are questioning the viability of traditional 60/40 portfolios. The shift is driven by the need for diversification, durable yield, and reduced reliance on public markets. Structures like multimanager platforms, evergreen formats, and curated fund-of-funds are enabling broader access. Private market AuM reached USD 11.7 trillion in mid-2022, with private wealth expected to contribute up to USD 1.3 trillion by year-end. The focus is now on how best to allocate, not whether to do so.
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White papersStronger European and U.S. sentiment: Fundamentals lead the way
Investor sentiment in both Europe and the U.S. continues to improve, reflecting stronger leasing activity, moderating inflation, and greater confidence in the sector’s fundamental recovery.
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PodcastCalm waves mask shifting undercurrents - Global Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
While Europe headed to the beach, journalists were kept busy with the newsflow out of the US this summer, as central bank independence, new tariff announcements and foreign affairs negotiations continued to make headlines.
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White papersEquities Broaden Out, at Last
This quarter has seen a further broadening in the equities story that has unfolded since the start of the year. Future bouts of market volatility are expected, but this story is unlikely to fade.
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White papersUS electric utilities: Stability amid uncertainty
Amid the ongoing uncertainty of tariffs and geopolitics, one area of the corporate bond market that stands out as providing a stable and reliable source of income is the US electric utility sector.
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White papersWhat earnings season revealed about US consumers
As the US economy heads into the final months of a tumultuous year, all eyes are on American consumers. Can they continue to power through despite weaker job growth and slower wage increases? Or will they tighten the purse strings amid rising tariffs and higher inflation?
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White papersMIM U.S. Housing Chartbook September 2025
Housing supply is tight in the Midwest and Northeast; inventory is building up in the Sun Belt
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White papersWhat happens if US debt becomes unsustainable?
Is the US national debt growing out of control? Predicting when or if a tipping point may be reached is difficult (or impossible), but the country faces growing fiscal challenges as its soaring interest burden is heightening concerns about long-term debt sustainability.
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White papersFour charts on why the US economy is so resilient
The United States economy is at a crossroads. Cracks are forming and growth is slowing as tariff policies weigh on hiring and curb consumer spending. On the other hand, generative artificial intelligence (AI) is driving a surge in productivity. The question is: Can AI fill the cracks in the US economy?
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White papersCan AI continue to power U.S. exceptionalism?
As AI demand drives technology stocks to record highs, investors question whether extraordinary capital spending will deliver sustainable returns and if the Magnificent 7’s market dominance can continue. Discover why U.S. tech leadership may face new challenges, how market concentration creates both opportunities and risks, and what the competitive threat from emerging markets like China means for long-term investment strategy.
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White papersNothing Burger: The Drivers Behind US Cattle Herd Size Stagnation
Since the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) started publishing US cattle herd size data in 1973, a persistent downward trend has been present through time with only a few local peaks. In fact, as of the end of 2024, the US cattle herd size reached the lowest level on record and is more than thirty-percent smaller than the peak size it reached in 1974, and only four-fifths of the average size from 1973 to 2024 despite rising cattle prices over the same period. Cattle herd size is cyclical, with a typical cycle length of about ten years.
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White papersMacro Monthly The Fed: Now and Later
It’s not easy to be Chair Powell – or any Federal Open Market Committee member – right now. Tariffs and slower immigration have put the dual mandate in tension, forcing judgment calls about how to balance labor-market downside against inflation and inflation expectations upside. At the same time, intense pressure from the Trump administration to ease aggressively – including threats and actions to remove FOMC members – raises risks to individuals in the near term and, over time, to the institution’s independence and credibility.
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White papersHow far does the Fed’s influence extend?
Not all points of the yield curve respond equally to Federal Reserve rate cuts.
