All United States articles – Page 4
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White papers
Super Tuesday points to a super-charged battle
“A Trump-Biden rematch looks likely in November. As we move closer to the elections, market uncertainty will rise given the candidates’ divergent approach to foreign policy and geopolitics.”
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Podcast
Pulse Check on U.S. Interest Rates
The U.S. economy has defied predictions of recession amid post-pandemic interest rate volatility.
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White papers
Self-storage: creating its own market
With retail and more recently offices falling out of favour with many investors, all eyes are on alternative property types. Among the most popular is self-storage, though as with any opportunity, a key consideration should be to separate the hype from the substance – or at least cyclical from structural drivers.
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White papers
The case for U.S. & EU industrial real estate
The industrial sector has become a global favorite amongst institutional investors as large structural shifts already underway accelerated during the pandemic.
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White papers
U.S. Economic and Property Market Outlook - Q4 2023
The U.S. economy continues to surprise to the upside, posting annualized fourth-quarter real GDP growth of 3.3% (3.1% year over year) on top of the nearly 5% annualized growth in the third quarter.
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White papers
Can the US sustain a rising debt burden?
The United States is approaching an unprecedented level of debt, exceeding historical highs experienced post-World War II. This situation indicates that fiscal adjustment is unavoidable, as the country cannot simply outgrow its debt dilemma. Despite high domestic and external demand for US debt, relying on this demand amid such significant debt increases is risky.
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White papers
The time for the US renewables market is now
The US renewables market appears to be primed for growth due to the cost effectiveness of electricity produced from renewable energy technologies, a steady demand for power, and the strong voluntary and regulatory support framework in place backing the energy transition, making it an attractive investment opportunity despite common political misconceptions.
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White papers
Fed in no rush after strong US data
”Stronger-than-expected economic data means that there is no rush for the Fed to start cutting interest rates. We expect the first Fed cut to occur in June.”
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White papers
Investors prep for June rate cuts
Stronger-than-expected US data this year has led markets to reprice rate expectations, with the first full cut from the ECB and the Fed now forecast for June 2024.
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White papers
Is US job creation as strong as it looks?
The latest US inflation report showed signs of inflation falling at a slower pace than expected. Inflation data have disappointed twice in a row and are seemingly consistent with firm US employment and wage growth. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we consider what constitutes a strong employment report and how expectations are coloured by what many market participants consider to be normal.
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White papers
Earnings Remain Key in a Confusing Macro Picture
Macro uncertainty is high, but the earnings season has been solid—and not only in the U.S.
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White papers
A Second Trump Presidency? Potential Economic Effects
President Trump could win the 2024 presidential election. When the incumbent presidential party presides over an improvement in the unemployment rate, it is likely to be returned to power. With unemployment at historic lows, unemployment is likely to get worse, creating headwinds for a Biden re-election.
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White papers
The key drivers of 10-year US Treasury yields
Deconstructing 10-year UST drivers and the direction they could take in 2024
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White papers
Gauging the Fed’s QT Runway as Liquidity Recedes & Collateral Swells
Amid the shrinking pool of cash, the financial system’s ability to circulate excess liquidity to those who need it most will determine the length of the Fed’s quantitative tightening runway.
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White papers
U.S. Real Estate: Positioned for Recovery
When considering the substantial correction in real estate prices and profound pull back in liquidity to this point, an inflection point in U.S. real estate appears closer than before. The Barings Real Estate team discusses how this backdrop is shaping opportunities across the asset class.
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White papers
Opportunities in preferred and capital securities remain attractive
Main takeaways: the Federal Reserve (Fed) should be done raising rates; the U.S. Treasury market term premium should persist; discounted fixed-to-refixed hybrids foster an advantage of indifference to the direction of longer-term treasury rates; and relative values are attractive.
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White papers
The solar coaster: The twists and turns of an evolving investment opportunity set
Significant growth in electrification is required in the United States to meet decarbonization goals. According to the Department of Energy, the capacity of the existing U.S. grid will need to increase 57% by 2035.
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White papers
Life Sciences beyond borders
High interest rates, cooling venture capital and an oversupplied market – will the UK follow the path of the US Life Sciences real estate market
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White papers
Bonds are Back - Where to Look, What to Do in 2024
From a risk/reward perspective fixed income is probably the most attractive asset class this year. What makes sense to invest in now? What should you hold off on?
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White papers
Are Healthcare Stocks a Risky Prescription in a US Election Year?
Despite conventional wisdom, political uncertainty doesn’t necessarily pose acute risks to the healthcare sector.