All United States articles – Page 7
-
White papersIlliquidity premia in private debt: Q2 2025
In our latest private markets deep dive, our research team crunches the data to see how evolving macro conditions are reflected in private debt returns.
-
White papersThe Red Thread for alternatives – Edition July/August 2025: Our monthly insights into alternatives
The trade situation in the US has developed, with more trade deals being negotiated. The agreement between the US and the EU imposes a 15% tariff on most European imports to the US, which is lower than the 20% originally proposed on ‘liberation day’ in April. Moreover, the US economy has held up well so far, showing strong growth in 2Q25, more than reversing the decline in 1Q25, which had been driven by a jump in imports ahead of tariffs.
-
White papersRethinking emerging market debt: A changing risk landscape
Recent turbulence emanating from the US has demonstrated a change in attitudes. Despite evident volatility, the dollar weakened, contrary to what would typically be expected in times of stress. The perception of risk between emerging markets and developed markets are no longer black and white. So, are investors now rethinking emerging markets?
-
White papersTaxable municipal bonds: sunny side of the street
Market conditions present a compelling entry point for taxable municipal bonds. Yields remain historically attractive, driven by heavy issuance and federal policy uncertainty, while a steepening yield curve offers opportunistic duration extension. Looking ahead, reduced summer issuance, combined with strong reinvestment demand and robust fundamentals, should create favourable conditions, potentially offering a sunnier disposition heading into fall.
-
White papersFederal policy shifts reshape the municipal bond landscape
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act introduces sweeping changes to municipal credit across multiple sectors. Despite Medicaid reforms, education funding cuts and energy policy shifts, municipal issuers remain resilient with strong fundamentals, revenue growth and historically high reserves.
-
PodcastA World of Opportunity in the Space Economy
The space economy is quickly moving from science fiction to investable reality, reshaping industries far beyond rockets and satellites. But with hype and misconceptions clouding the landscape, how can investors separate signal from noise and identify the true drivers of value in this rapidly expanding market?
-
White papersInfrastructure inflows: trickles turn to torrents
A heightened pace has returned to unlisted infrastructure fundraising in the first half of 2025, following a subdued 10 quarters since the rate hiking cycle commenced in mid-2022. The latest indicators show the final closes of closed ended funds raised USD 116 in 1H25. This exceeds the total raised in all of 2024, as well as matching the surge of inflows seen in 1H22, when the asset class benefited from the anticipation of the US Inflation Reduction Act and earlier Infrastructure Investment and Job act. The fact that the fundraising market has managed to match this pace, despite a more challenging monetary and geopolitical backdrop, is testament to investors’ ambitions for greater exposure to the asset class.
-
White papersSteady returns, strong foundations: The case for commercial real estate debt
Commercial real estate debt delivers attractive, steady yields—powered by healthy pricing, rising lender market share, and strong loan maturities. Open-ended CRE debt funds offer about 7.4 % annualized returns with low volatility, providing solid income and diversification in today’s elevated rates environment.
-
PodcastGlobal Investment Views - Deal or no deal, expect twists and turns this summer
With summer well underway in Europe, many may be on holiday, but this hasn’t done anything to slow the newsflow. In particular, announcements from the US are keeping analysts busy. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, get together to work out what the latest developments mean for the markets and share their investment views for growth, inflation and asset valuations.
-
White papersMacro brief: Tariff clarity for Japan but political uncertainty remains
Japan watchers have seen the country strike a solid trade deal with the US in recent weeks, bringing much-needed certainty to a country still dependent on nascent reflation. At the same time, however, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)/Komeito coalition’s failure to secure a majority in Upper House elections has intensified calls for new political leadership.
-
White papersWhy real estate credit amid continued trade policy uncertainty and U.S. debt concerns?
Real estate credit offers resilient income amid U.S. trade policy uncertainty and rising debt concerns, supported by floating rates, faster amortization, and equity cushions. Strong fundamentals in sectors like multifamily and industrial further reinforce its stability for investors.
-
White papers“US(D) exceptionalism” is not going away
Although equity investors have been adjusting their regional allocations away from the US dollar in recent months, there is little sign this is happening in bond markets, where yields remain high and alternatives to the dollar are limited.
-
White papersWhy APAC real estate now?
The global investment landscape remains highly uncertain, shaped by rapidly evolving geopolitical tensions and economic developments. Our base case reflects a combination of escalation and de-escalation scenarios regarding the trajectory of US tariffs. While we cannot predict how US tariff levels are ultimately going to shake out or the timing of the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut, we remain focused on navigating this volatility with a balanced perspective.
-
White papersWill the Fed Stay in the Monetary Policy Driver’s Seat?
Efforts to reduce the central bank’s autonomy would likely disrupt markets.
-
White papersU.S. Real Estate: Appreciating Income in a Shifting Economy
CRE valuations held steady in the second quarter, though transaction activity was subdued amid economic uncertainty and periods of market volatility following “Liberation Day”.
-
White papersMid-year investment update – Through the rapids
Markets have faced no shortage of challenges over the last quarter, most notably the threat of US import tariffs after ‘Liberation Day’, but also the prospect of a surge in oil prices stemming from the conflict in the Middle East and a sell-off in US Treasury yields following an expansionary budget bill in the US.
-
White papersThe Fed navigates economic crosscurrents amid tariffs
The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its target policy rate at 4.25%-4.50% during its July meeting, acknowledging the dual challenges of slowing economic growth and tariff-related distortions. While headline GDP figures have oscillated dramatically, underlying growth continues its gradual deceleration during persistent uncertainty.
-
White papersConfounding returns: The mysterious case of the US dollar
The weakness of the US dollar this year has been unexpected as tariffs were widely expected to lead to the dollar strengthening. Tristan Hanson, Multi Asset Fund Manager, explores the factors that determine currency movements, from capital flows to interest rate differentials. While bearishness about the US dollar has increased, he suggests investors should be appropriately sceptical of the stories used to explain exchange rate movements.
-
White papersUS dollar slide pauses amid US-Japan deal
The dollar fell by around 10% this year, as on 22 July, mainly due to uncertainty over President Trump’s trade policies and concerns over US debt and fiscal deficit. Issues like the political pressure on the Fed to cut rates aggressively have also weighed on sentiment.
-
White papersPension funds themes for an era of geopolitical and policy shifts
Our short-term outlook for the second half of 2025 highlights significant shifts in the global rewiring of trade and financial markets, alongside historic changes in tariffs and fiscal policy. These developments carry important implications for long-term investors, particularly pension funds, for which we see three key investment themes.
