All United States articles – Page 8
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe Artificial Intelligence revolution: sector perspectives
We believe that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could have over the long-term a positive impact on productivity and GDP growth. However, the impact will not be linear across sectors, especially in the early phases. Those companies that are already investing heavily in AI technologies are the most likely to see benefits to revenues and/or profitability, but disappointments will happen given increased and new competitive pressure as well as the emergence of questionable business cases in light of the involved costs.
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White papersBiden’s exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Biden exit from the race: Current US President Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Senior members of the Democratic party have expressed their support for Kamala Harris. Donations for the campaign have begun to rise after Biden’s decision.
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White papersMaking sense of infrastructure debt
The capital expenditure required to support anticipated growth in power demand while also reducing carbon emissions will necessitate significant amounts of debt financing going forward. Don Dimitrievich, Portfolio Manager for Nuveen Energy Infrastructure Credit, explains the evolving infrastructure debt opportunity set and the EIC team’s approach to thematic investing in IPE’s recent July/August 2024 report.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2024
We are not expecting a U.S. recession in 2024. We are looking for credit spreads to remain rangebound in the near future, and we prefer high carry while considering downside risks. Consumers and housing fundamentals continued to be solid, while CLOs fundamentals weakened further. Commercial real estate fundamentals are stable, but performance divergences are wide. We are neutral for both corporate equity and cash investments.
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White papersMultifamily Gap Capital
Dags Chen and Lincoln Janes discuss that while the cooling of the Sunbelt multifamily property market is creating cracks in the capital stacks of owners, it is also presenting potential opportunities for investors.Many recent buyers and developers of Sunbelt multifamily properties are overleveraged and need capital to bridge the gap between their debt balances and the significantly depreciated equity value of their holdings. The current pall over the asset class, however, obscures its long-term attractiveness for patient investors.
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White papersAre We There Yet? The Road to Recovery for CRE
Stickier than expected inflation and robust economic activity have delayed and diminished expectations for rate cuts in 2024.
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White papersTo Understand the Macro, Study the Micro
Right now, second-quarter earnings reports may be a better guide to the economic outlook than official statistics.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 3Q 2024
Financial headlines suggest that vigorous debate has returned to equity markets. In our 3Q Equity Market Outlook, we highlight key aspects of this shift and discuss what they might portend for markets over the next six to 12 months.
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White papersU.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
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White papersReal estate déjà vu - Has life sciences real estate become the next logistics sector?
A bit more than a decade ago, in 2011, a (at the time) somewhat obscure real estate sector was in the initial stage of its S-shaped growth trajectory. Its share in global real estate investment portfolios was less than 10% and concentrated in the US. This was the industrial (logistics) sector.
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White papersReal Estate Debt: Navigating the New Frontier
The Fed’s campaign against inflation, changes in bank regulations and stress in the office sector have collectively created an attractive investment environment for real estate debt investors, in our view. Commercial mortgages are offering yields not seen since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). While capital market conditions are operating effectively for low-risk mortgages, they remain mostly dislocated for higher-risk mortgages, thereby presenting compelling investment opportunities.
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White papersThe potential power of income to deliver long-term returns
After years in the wilderness, equity income is now arguably competing on a much more level playing field than it was in the past decade.
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White papersMid-year investment update – Navigating political turmoil
The US economy is still on a soft landing path, even if the speed and timing of the touchdown vary after each economic release. The most recent US inflation data show price rises slowing more quickly than in the first part of the year. The eurozone, by contrast, continues to see persistently higher inflation
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White papersWhich matters more, top-down or bottom-up?
As an active credit manager, bottom-up analysis is always going to be a core part of our investment process – we add alpha for our clients through careful security selection. But given today’s macro environment has diverged so much from historical norms and is on the verge of shifting again as monetary loosening gathers momentum, what role does a top-down view play and is it more important than bottom-up calls?
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White papersUS high yield: Broader financing options soften impact of higher rates
Heading into 2023, the consensus narrative appeared set. The Federal Reserve had embarked on an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle to combat spiralling inflation. A US recession was expected to follow, as household excess savings built up during the pandemic were exhausted and corporate borrowing conditions tightened dramatically after the benign post-global financial crisis era of low interest rates.
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White papersUS cements itself as the global centre of tech innovation
The US technology sector’s vigour is showing no signs of abating given 2023’s superior performance has firmly spilled into 2024. Last year the Nasdaq delivered a total return of 45% and 2024 quickly witnessed the tech-heavy index hit new highs bolstered by excitement around the tech sector, while the wider S&P 500 also reached a fresh peak.
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White papersPrivate credit: Europe versus the US
Estimates suggest the private credit market will double in value over the next 5-years. It’s attractions remain as strong as ever: potential inflation protection, diversification, potentially attractive risk-adjusted returns, and volatility reduction. With Europe and the US dominating almost 90% of the market, what are the key differences between these regions and where should investors set their focus?
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White papersThe Role of Cold Storage in the Supply Chain
Food, one of life’s basic necessities, relies on cold storage for its safe, efficient and effective distribution to U.S. and global populations.
