All United States articles – Page 6
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White papers
Now may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
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White papers
Jobs and inflation on market’s radar
Like in 2023, inflation figures will remain, in 2024, an important driver of market’s expectations regarding Fed rates decisions. Inflation has come down by a lot, but it is still above 2% and the latest reading shows a slowdown in the disinflationary trend.
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White papers
Plus ça change… The outlook for infrastructure debt in 2024
Infrastructure demonstrated characteristic resilience in 2023 in the face of significant macroeconomic headwinds. Darryl Murphy from our infrastructure team explains why he expects current themes to persist in 2024.
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White papers
The eagle has landed: Art installation creates a buzz in Potsdam
As part of PATRIZIA’s mission to ‘build communities and sustainable futures’, the company seeks to enhance the quality of life for future generations and transform cities into vibrant, community-focused spaces.
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White papers
EMD outlook 2024: Navigating a bifurcated universe
In this outlook, we outline the global backdrop that emerging markets (EMs) can expect in 2024, including a more dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed), a more supportive backdrop for EM currencies and weak global growth.
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White papers
U.S. Commercial Real Estate Debt: Discovering beneficial routes of exposure
Investors are increasingly viewing Commercial Real Estate (CRE) debt as a benefit to the CRE market, which was already the case prior to elevated interest rates. Global AUM of debt funds has been increased 22% per year since 2019 and 62% of global institutional CRE investors were looking to increase their allocation to CRE debt in 2023
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White papers
Resilient private credit fills a growing need across U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and European private credit markets have been a significant success story of asset management for the last decade.
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White papers
Rate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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White papers
An Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papers
Dovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.
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White papers
Powell pivots policy: moving closer to rate cuts
The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its December meeting, as expected, and updated projections signal even more rate cuts in 2024 than previously expected.
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White papers
Allview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2023
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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Podcast
Addressing the Affordable Housing Crisis
Daron Tubian, Head of Affordable Housing Investments at Barings, sits down with Rich Roberts of Red Stone Equity Partners to discuss the housing affordability crisis in the U.S., and how investors can play a role in the solution while also earning potentially attractive returns.
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White papers
FOMC on Hold — Rate Cuts by May 2024?
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, unchanged at 5.25%–5.50%.
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White papers
2024 Outlook: Global Real Estate
Against a hazy backdrop, our real estate debt and equity experts bring today’s biggest challenges into focus—while also weighing in on where opportunities are emerging across the U.S., Europe, and Australia.
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Assessing the U.S. Economy’s Evolving Sensitivity to Interest Rates
Our research series reveals that a varied adjustment process across certain sectors lowered the broader economy’s sensitivity to interest rates.
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White papers
What has driven the stock-market rally – and can it continue?
Equity markets delivered positive returns for four consecutive weeks in November. The S&P 500 index rose about 9% last month, marking its strongest monthly performance since July 2022. There was no obvious reason for this rally, unless a slight miss of 0.1% in the October US Consumer Prices Index (CPI) report counts. But if not, what prompted this surge? In this weekly edition of Simply put, we investigate the forces behind the rally and what this means for its staying power.
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White papers
Resilient private credit fills a growing need across U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and European private credit markets have been a significant success- story of asset management for the last decade. Having begun life as a source of financing for mid-market companies that could not raise funds elsewhere, private credit has grown into a serious and credible competitor to both traditional bank debt and the liquid markets (i.e., the leveraged loans and high yield bonds), something that would have seemed fanciful just a few years ago. Now, private credit players are regularly financing the entirety of multi-billion-dollar debt structures.
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White papers
Office Space: The CRE Effects On Major U.S. Cities
Rising office vacancy rates, declining property valuations, and the respective impact on tax revenues and city budgets are a source of growing concern for municipal bond investors.
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White papers
2024 US real estate market outlook: Healthy commercial real estate fundamentals
Clarion Partners believes the US economy will remain resilient in 2024, despite tightening monetary conditions and heightened geopolitical uncertainties.