All United States articles – Page 6
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Ivanhoé Cambridge Establishes Business Presence in New York City, Reinforcing the Firm’s Performance Focus
Adding an office presence in the U.S. represents a decisive step in the firm’s quest to create further value within its existing portfolio
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Quarterly fixed income perspectives 4Q 2023: Recession takeoff delayed but not canceled
While the timing of a recession remains uncertain, unique opportunities exist for fixed income investors as we head into the final quarter of 2023.
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Why are interest rates rising?
The interest-rate environment in the US could not be worse, due to both the country’s fiscal situation and hawkish monetary policy. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we analyse these two factors and their impact on rates.
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Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since July has brought the topic back to light. We find that it would take a material rise in energy prices and a combination of negative factors for households before there is a visible toll on overall spending. We’re not there yet and anticipate only a marginal impact on consumption at this stage
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2023
Topic of the Month: Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
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Credit Roundtable: What Comes Next for Corporate Credit?
Do liquidity walls pose a danger to credit markets? While both investment grade and high yield defaults have remained mild, are these numbers expected to stay low? Katie Klingensmith, Bill Zox and Andrew Bogle (Brandywine Global) discuss the outlook for corporate credit.
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Is more monetary tightening really needed?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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Asset Manager News
Lendlease and Ivanhoé Cambridge Top Out FORUM Life Science Development in Boston
$545 million project is one of the first purpose-built life science developments in Boston Landing
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Using economic state models to assess the U.S. office outlook
Economic state models can be a valuable tool for investors seeking a framework to methodically analyze dynamics between macroeconomic indicators and local market trends, as well as anticipate changes in real estate cycles and formulate better-informed strategies.
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Stress testing the foundations: Analyzing the vulnerability of US banks to falling commercial real estate values
The commercial real estate sector’s continued challenges could potentially impact US banks. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Shawn Lyons discusses the ongoing commercial real estate crisis and how US banks are safeguarding themselves against these issues.
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Multi asset: what do macro and market signals tell us?
We may be in a late phase of the economic cycle and the investment backdrop remains in flux. As many children globally head ‘back-to-school’ in September, our multi-asset team drills into what the data mean and which asset classes are showing more positive signals.
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In this late-cycle phase, how high could commodity prices fly?
We are probably at the end of an economic cycle. Several quarters before some form of ’landing’, a number of market mechanisms typically activate, including the relative outperformance of emerging-market assets, a rise in long-term interest rates and an increase in commodity prices. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we focus on the future growth potential of commodity prices.
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Political Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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Fed Meeting Impact: Is It More Than You Realize?
This paper discusses how Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings have a significant impact on options pricing, creating risks and opportunities for investors employing options-based strategies.
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Fed Holds Rates—Is This It?
At its September meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), as expected, left its federal funds target rate unchanged, at 5.25%–5.50%.
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The Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra is OK for Bonds
The Federal Reserve indicated that policy rates will likely remain elevated for some time and that neutral policy may indeed be higher than previously projected at its September 20, 2023 meeting.
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Community solar: unlocking access to clean energy in the US
We believe community solar projects are vital to expand the US renewable energy system while supporting inclusive access to clean energy and managing unintended impacts of renewables on vital ecosystems. This represents a potentially impactful and attractive opportunity for private markets investors, in our view.
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What will pull the dollar back?
The dollar normally pulls back in these end-of-cycle phases, but not this time. The US currency has recently enjoyed eight consecutive weeks of gains. In this weekly installment of Simply put, we look at the curious trend of relative rates.
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Opportunity in Investment-Grade Credit
Investment-grade credit is currently offering impressive yields, with relatively less risk than other fixed income sectors, according to Josh Lohmeier of Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. He makes a case for investing in the space today.