All United States articles – Page 6
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White papersThe Fed’s pause highlights value of diversification
The U.S. Federal Reserve paused rate cuts after three consecutive reductions, citing stronger labor data and consumer spending. With an upgraded 2.0% growth forecast for 2026, elevated market valuations, and a slower pace of Fed rate cuts, investors may benefit from portfolio diversification. Our latest analysis explores potential opportunities across dividend-growing equities, senior loans, and alternative assets like farmland as investors seek to balance risk and return objectives in this evolving environment. Read the full analysis.
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White papersInstitutional ownership of single-family rentals (SFR): Investor FAQ
Single-family rentals continue to attract institutional capital as affordability pressures persist, offering diversification benefits, stable cash flows, and exposure to long-term demographic trends.
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White papersHow US midterm elections affect the markets
With everything happening in the world — from the US push to annex Greenland, to new tariffs against Europe, to military intervention in Venezuela — investors may not be focused on the US midterm elections just yet. But this pivotal contest is just 10 months away, and the campaign starts in earnest next month when President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union Address.
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White papersU.S. Fixed Income: Policy-Driven Opportunities Emerge
Amid the administration’s flurry of affordability-targeted policy initiatives, bond investment opportunities are emerging.
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White papersA new flashpoint in U.S/Europe trade relations
Rising trade tensions between the U.S. and Europe introduce fresh risks for global growth and supply chains.
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White papersUS inflation down, but still above target
US CPI was up 2.7% YoY in December, unchanged from the previous month, meeting market expectations and significantly down from levels seen in early 2024. Core inflation — which excludes food and energy — rose 2.6%, slightly below expectations. It was weighed down by declines in used cars and trucks and by IT‑related goods.
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White papersTreasury yields reflect a curious equilibrium to start the year
As we begin the new year, actual and implied volatilities in the US Treasury market have fallen to four-year lows, returning to levels that were common before the pandemic. Of course, the last four years included a number of disruptors: the inflation surge to multi-decade highs; the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rapid tightening to suppress inflation; the Silicon Valley Bank crisis; President Donald Trump’s tariffs announcement; and the eventual Fed easing in response to weakening job creation.
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White papersDecember CPI report: Unlikely to alter the Fed’s course
Inflation data supports a steady Fed stance, reinforcing expectations for gradual policy easing.
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White papersDecember jobs report: Conflicting dynamics
Strong headline employment masks softer underlying labor trends and slowing wage growth.
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White papersImplications of the US move on Venezuela
Following a targeted US military operation, Nicolás Maduro and his wife were exfiltrated from the country and transferred to New York to face long-standing narco-terrorism charges. The capture itself reportedly did not involve extensive firefights, having been carefully planned to enable the safe insertion and extraction of US Delta Force and other units.
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White papersMore growth, less heat: January macro and asset class views
Consensus growth forecasts for the US and other advanced economies have been repeatedly revised higher since Liberation Day for both 2025 and 2026. We still think a 2% US GDP forecast for 2026 is too low.
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White papersMacro brief: Powering AI — Energy crunch sparks investment surge
If there is one element that underpins the development of artificial intelligence and reindustrialisation of America, it might be electric power.
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White papersAssessing Venezuela Oil Supply Risks
The dramatic U.S. intervention in Venezuela has raised expectations of a rapid supply boost, but we anticipate a slower, more complex recovery in exports given operational constraints, legal frictions, and years of underinvestment in the sector.
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White papers2025 recap: Strong performance despite tariffs and AI concerns
Markets delivered solid returns in 2025, overcoming geopolitical pressures and valuation worries around AI.
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White papersFed cuts, keeps a balanced tone
The Federal Reserve (Fed) reduced its target federal funds rate by 25bp at its December policy meeting. Chair Powell acknowledged that risks to both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate — inflation and labour markets — remain. However, we believe some signals from the Fed suggest labour markets are weaker than current data indicates.
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White papersFor Utilities, AI Poses Questions of Capacity and Affordability
The data center buildout is helping drive electricity demand, utility capex and issuance, but it is also fomenting risks tied to regulation and stranded generation capacity.
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White papersU.S. Rates: How Low Can They Go?
A more dovish rate cut than anticipated by the U.S. Federal Reserve has created an interesting setup for fixed income markets next year. The focus on its independence adds another dimension.
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White papersFederal Reserve: A data storm reinforces the need for additional rate cuts
Mixed economic signals increase pressure on the Fed to continue easing monetary policy.
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White papersPrediction Markets Are Upending U.S. Gambling: What It Could Mean for Non-Investment Grade Credit
A 2024 court ruling allowed prediction markets to operate as federally regulated event contract exchanges. With nationwide reach, these products are pressuring state regulated sports books, lotteries and casinos—raising new considerations for non-investment grade issuers and investors.
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White papersIPOs aren’t dead, they’re just napping…
It would be a massive understatement to say that the IPO market has seen fluctuations over the past five years. Only four short years ago, US markets experienced a record-breaking 1,035 IPOs, driven largely by the near-zero interest-rate market environment.
