All United States articles – Page 12
-
White papersPreserving central bank credibility: Addressing threats to the Fed’s independence
Rising geopolitical tensions and inflation are testing investor confidence in 2025, challenging central bank independence and market stability. U.S. Treasurys remain a key safe haven, but their dominance is increasingly under scrutiny amid global uncertainty.
-
White papersKeep calm and carry on: Infrastructure and the first 100 days of Trump
In our 2025 infrastructure outlook, we argued that the macro backdrop is positive for private infrastructure, and that the 2025 edition of our report is the most bullish one we have written in the last three years. That positive sentiment may feel off the mark after the first few months of 2025, especially with volatility across the global markets due to uncertain policies under the new Trump presidency.
-
White papersThe End of American Exceptionalism?
The rest of the world is due some cyclical catch-up with the U.S., but talk of a structural change in the global economic ecosystem is premature.
-
White papersTaxable municipal bonds: silver linings
The fallout from the U.S. administration’s tariff regime continues to send shockwaves through markets. Uncertainty around policy will likely continue to drive market and geopolitical volatility, and has complicated the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cutting path. While uncertainty and volatility impact several asset classes, we see opportunities in taxable municipal bonds to play an important role in diversified portfolios.
-
White papersShort Duration Q1 Recap, Portfolio Actions & Outlook
Our quarterly update examines the market turbulence of Q1 and how short duration strategies navigated the challenges—and opportunities—of heightened macro uncertainty.
-
White papers2025 Mid-Year European Outlook: Still On Track, Despite Tariffs
The prime European real estate recovery is expected to stay on track. Regardless of the fast-changing news on tariffs and its related macroeconomic uncertainties, current income and projected rental growth are expected to mitigate the tariff’s impact on European prime returns.
-
-
White papersTariff Impacts and Infrastructure Debt’s Resilience
Infrastructure debt provides investors with access to a defensive asset class with lower correlation to economic cycles than general corporate debt given the essential nature of infrastructure assets. Nevertheless, tariffs will have both direct and indirect effects on certain infrastructure investments. Economic infrastructure assets and projects under construction, where there is exposure to supply chain issues or increased costs, will feel the greatest effect of tariffs. Defensive assets such as contracted-power generation, regulated transmission and utility assets, and availability-based public private partnerships will largely be unaffected by the additional tariffs.
-
White papersTrump has constraints – May macro and asset class views
April has been a month of extremes, but it is in extreme scenarios that we are learning what limitations Trump faces in his bid to reshape the US domestically, and in its relationship with the rest of the world. We think these constraints provide the market with some reassurance that the most negative tail-scenarios can be avoided, even though the economic outlook is set to deteriorate in coming months.
-
VideoInvestment outlook – Waiting for the moment
With the waters in financial markets stirred and the amplitude of the ripples still unclear, a cautious attitude to asset allocation looks to be smart. Questions abound: will US import tariffs sap business models and profit margins? What do they mean for inflation and growth? Are the effects the same in the US and Europe?
-
White papersDefault Not in Our Stars
We don’t think tariffs will cause a major spike in high-yield and loan defaults, and that means current spreads and yields look attractive.
-
White papersThe curious case of rising US Treasury yields
A number of factors are likely prompting the move.
-
White papersMoney Markets: Staying steady
The stability of the money markets is shining amid the greater financial turbulence.
-
White papersGlobalisation isn’t dead. It’s changing.
The latest round of tariffs launched by the US government in early April prompted a wave of criticism from world leaders, including some who say globalisation is now dead. As a global investor for over four decades, I respectfully disagree. Globalisation isn’t dead. It is, however, changing in a significant way.
-
White papersDeglobalization. What’s Next?
We believe the Post-World War II, U.S.-dominated world order of globalization is quickly coming to an end. Between the possibilities of diversification, division, and disengagement that we discussed in our piece on globalization several years ago, the Trump Administration appears to be pursuing a disengagement strategy. Everyone— domestic players in the U.S. included—is now working to accommodate a less globally engaged U.S.
-
White papersO’Connor Global Multi-Strategy Alpha Monthly Letter: Navigating policy shifts and market opportunities
Policy uncertainty is a greater feature of the new US Administration than expected, and has begun to weigh on sentiment for consumers, corporates and investors.
-
PodcastTalking Heads – Generating income, protecting capital in bonds
Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, sits down with Olivier De Larouziere, CIO of Fixed Income, to discuss some of the recent moves in global bond markets.
-
White papersWorld markets review — First quarter 2025
Returns for US equities diverged from regional markets as investors weighed the implications of a potential trade war, waning consumer confidence and high valuations in the technology sector. After two years in a row of 20%-plus gains, US stocks entered correction territory, falling roughly 10% in mid-March before recovering some of the losses. European stocks rallied as investors rotated into value-oriented areas of the market.
-
White papersTreasury market turmoil: How might the Fed react?
The US Treasury market has come under pressure after President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcements triggered a widespread sell-off in bonds. As policy decisions with deep financial implications are rapidly made and reversed, it is understandable that holders of US assets might feel a sense of unease.
-
White papersBuried Treasuries
Why U.S. government bonds had a scare, what calmed them down, and what all that suggests for the next few months.
