All United States articles – Page 15
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White papersUnexpect the Expected – The World According to Trump
The dramatic changes to U.S. tariffs settings challenges the financial market’s Trump pro-growth market narrative which heralded the start of 2025. Instead, investors now face conditions which look likely to invoke a global economic slowdown, if not recession, with significant pressure on corporate earnings from higher costs together with unsettled consumer demand and production patterns.
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White papersNATO pledges for more defence outlay
“Renewed security challenges in a fragmented world indicate that Europe must strengthen its strategic autonomy. NATO’s latest declaration to raise defence spending may present such an opportunity for the region.”
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White papersU.S. Economic & Property Market Perspective - Q2 2025
Bookended by “Liberation Day” on April 2nd and the President signing into law the “One Big Beautiful Bill” on July 4th, the past 90+ day period is arguably the most consequential period of federal government policy change in the U.S. since the onset of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in the latter part of 2008 and early 2009.
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White papersThe great uncoupling: Is this the end of dollar domination?
Typically in times of crisis, Treasury yields fall, while the US dollar strengthens. Now, we are seeing the dollar tumble, while Treasury yields are rising – a signal that investors’ unshakeable faith in the US as a safe haven has begun to crumble. Where will investors turn in this new paradigm?
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White papersU.S. equities supported by a solid economy
U.S. equities remain near record highs, supported by strong consumer spending, tight labor markets, and healthy corporate balance sheets. These solid fundamentals help offset concerns around policy and geopolitical risks.
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White papersThe evolving Israel-Iran conflict
Over the weekend, the United States launched airstrikes on three key Iranian nuclear sites, Iran responded on Monday by launching missiles at the US’s Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. The missiles were shot down and resulted in no casualties – Trump thanked Iran ‘for giving us early notice’. Following these developments, on Monday, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran was announced, but as of now, it remains unclear if it will hold. The weakened Iranian regime faces growing pressure.
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White papers2025 Mid-year update: Inside Real Estate outlook
Commercial real estate is steadily recovering in mid-2025, supported by stronger debt markets and rising income returns. Key opportunities lie in sectors like data centers, residential, and healthcare, where fundamentals remain solid.
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White papersNil, Baby, Nil: Stagnating Oil Production Growth in the U.S.
Commodities Spotlight | June 2025
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White papersUS enters Israel-Iran conflict
Over the weekend, the United States launched airstrikes on three key Iranian nuclear sites, escalating tensions in the Middle East. While the full extent of the damage remains unclear, we expect Iran to retaliate, though likely in a manner aimed at avoiding deeper US involvement.
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White papersMiddle East Conflict: From Diplomacy to Disruption
U.S. strikes in Iran have escalated the conflict. What should investors watch for next?
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White papersThe Beige Book Goes into the Red as U.S. Growth Stalls
We remain cautious about the economic outlook. Consumer spending and the labor market remain stable in aggregate, but both qualitative and quantitative indicators related to business output and business uncertainty give us pause. Indices from the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) show weakening activity with rapidly increasing input ...
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White papersThe winners and losers of the bifurcated housing market
U.S. housing markets are becoming increasingly polarized: regions with abundant inventory face sluggish demand and price normalization, while commercial real estate benefits from attractive income-driven returns under improved financing conditions.
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White papersThe Fed’s strategic pause: the calm before the cuts
In its June meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained current interest rates, pointing to ongoing tariff-related uncertainties. Nevertheless, the Fed indicated that two rate reductions remain probable before year-end.
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White papersJune FOMC meeting: Ignore the dot plot in this uncertain environment
The Fed held rates steady at 4.25 – 4.50% in June and Chair Powell emphasized that, amid elevated uncertainty, the dot plot projections shouldn’t be taken as commitments—signaling a cautious, data-dependent pause for now.
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White papersU.S. Policy Implicates Rebuilding Costs
Elevated tariffs and tighter immigration are a key focus for today’s insurance modelers.
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White papersEurope: A strategic overweight?
After a long period of US equity outperformance relative to Europe, the short-term picture has changed. Evan Brown, Nicole Goldberger and Marco Bischoff look at whether this is a temporary anomaly or indicative of a longer-term trend.
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White papersRide the policy noise and shifts
A rewiring of the global economy is forcing investors and policymakers to proceed with caution. Such prudence is justified. There may be superficial parallels with the trade shock delivered by the pandemic, but limited lessons can be drawn from the temporary disruptions that occurred at the start of the decade. Today, the US administration’s approach to commerce, security and international relations is ushering in structural changes that will outlast its tenure.
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White papersUS inflation less than expected
“US CPI has been slowing. However, uncertainty on US tariffs and rising tensions between Israel and Iran, which could keep oil prices high, may make central banks job more difficult.”
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White papersWill the Current Economic Stalemate End in a Boom or a Bust?
U.S. consumers remain resilient, but business sentiment holds the key for the trajectory of future economic growth.
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White papersIndustrial realignment: Trade, ports, and market shifts
The U.S. industrial real estate sector is undergoing a supply-chain-driven realignment: demand remains strong in modern, urban infill warehouses and for strategic manufacturing facilities (like semiconductors and EVs), while older and coastal port-linked assets face headwinds amid trade uncertainty. Skilled, location-specific asset selection is now key to capturing upside in this evolving landscape.
