All United States articles – Page 17
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White papersUsing economic state models to assess the U.S. office outlook
Economic state models can be a valuable tool for investors seeking a framework to methodically analyze dynamics between macroeconomic indicators and local market trends, as well as anticipate changes in real estate cycles and formulate better-informed strategies.
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White papersMulti asset: what do macro and market signals tell us?
We may be in a late phase of the economic cycle and the investment backdrop remains in flux. As many children globally head ‘back-to-school’ in September, our multi-asset team drills into what the data mean and which asset classes are showing more positive signals.
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White papersIn this late-cycle phase, how high could commodity prices fly?
We are probably at the end of an economic cycle. Several quarters before some form of ’landing’, a number of market mechanisms typically activate, including the relative outperformance of emerging-market assets, a rise in long-term interest rates and an increase in commodity prices. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we focus on the future growth potential of commodity prices.
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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White papersFed Meeting Impact: Is It More Than You Realize?
This paper discusses how Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings have a significant impact on options pricing, creating risks and opportunities for investors employing options-based strategies.
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White papersFed Holds Rates—Is This It?
At its September meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), as expected, left its federal funds target rate unchanged, at 5.25%–5.50%.
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White papersThe Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra is OK for Bonds
The Federal Reserve indicated that policy rates will likely remain elevated for some time and that neutral policy may indeed be higher than previously projected at its September 20, 2023 meeting.
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Asset Manager NewsHines and The Tampa Bay Rays Announce Historic Development and Partnership
(ST. PETERSBURG) — The Tampa Bay Rays announced that a historic agreement has been reached with the City of St. Petersburg and Pinellas County to move forward with a new state-of-the-art ballpark and a transformational development by the Hines Historic Gas Plant Partnership on the 86-acre site where the team’s current stadium sits.
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White papersCommunity solar: unlocking access to clean energy in the US
We believe community solar projects are vital to expand the US renewable energy system while supporting inclusive access to clean energy and managing unintended impacts of renewables on vital ecosystems. This represents a potentially impactful and attractive opportunity for private markets investors, in our view.
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White papersWhat will pull the dollar back?
The dollar normally pulls back in these end-of-cycle phases, but not this time. The US currency has recently enjoyed eight consecutive weeks of gains. In this weekly installment of Simply put, we look at the curious trend of relative rates.
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White papersAs rate hikes near end, historic investor opportunity may begin
To say this has been an interesting year in financial markets is an understatement. Equities have been stronger than most expected, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is up 40 basis points as of 13 September. So where are we now as we head into the homestretch of 2023?
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White papersGoing global may benefit U.S. dollar investors
One might think that the diversification benefits of global investing would be minimal, as trade and financial ties bring the world closer together. However, the global economy remains far from synchronized.
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White papersNavigating by Flashes of Lightning
Central banks may be reluctant to hike further, but as long as they tie themselves to incoming data their hands may be forced.
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White papersIs the U.S. Economy Meaningfully Reaccelerating?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersStrike (Big) 3?
A potential U.S. auto strike has significant implications for the economy, earnings and inflation.
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White papersNot all yield-curve steepenings are alike
End-of-cycle periods come and go, and they all tend to resemble each other. Inflation that exceeds central-bank targets legitimises increases in short rates, leading to long rates rising in anticipation. This opens the door to the prospect of different kinds of ‘steepenings’. In this weekly instalment of Simply put, we investigate the current outlook for the yield curve.
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White papersThe Limited Impact of the U.S. Downgrade on Munis
The credit quality of states as a group is not constrained by the U.S. sovereign rating and we don’t expect the U.S. downgrade to have an outsized impact on muni bond valuations going forward.
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White papersNYC Congestion Tolling: Winners, Losers and Unintended Consequences
Investors in municipal bonds are following the NYC congestion tolling situation as the MTA is a frequent borrower in the municipal bond market, but they are not the only borrower impacted by the program.
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White papersDiversifying + Defensive Equity Approaches
In times when downside risk may lie ahead, a combination of diversifying and defensive equity approaches can potentially improve the probability of achieving positive outcomes.
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White papersWhat’s happened to the cycle?
Conventional market wisdom dictates that a slowdown normally becomes a recession, and that investors should sell equities ahead of a downturn. Additionally, higher rates should eventually lead to lower inflation, at which point investors typically favour bonds. These phenomena tend to overlap more as the threat of a recession grows.
