All United States articles – Page 14
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White papers
A Rangebound Study in Long U.S. Corporates
At this point in the market cycle, we see the long corporate sector as a fitting example of the rangebound conditions that ebb and flow.
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White papers
Can the banks deliver for investors in 2024?
Today, with the exception of the US regional banks, fundamentals across the banking sector are the strongest they have been in decades.
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Angling for Growth Potential and Income? US Markets Offer Multi-Asset Investors Both
The US can be an expansive single source of long-term growth potential and income.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions - Global Investment Views: Central banks still centre stage
We may only be a few weeks into 2024, but the markets have been anything but quiet. After a rocky period at the end of the year, bonds and equities eventually returned to positive territory in January, with the notable exception of China. Central banks remain centre stage, as markets continue to speculate over their next steps.
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White papers
US SMID: Seven questions answered
After a bumpy 2023, small- and medium-sized US companies are now in a good place to outperform in 2024, argues fund manager Mark Sherlock.
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Where are the best opportunities at the short end of the curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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Podcast
The Future of Renewables
We consider continued renewables expansion in developed markets and explore the themes of repowering, overpowering, co-location and grid capacity constraints
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White papers
U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook: Lifting Fog
At the start of 2023, economists believed there was a 63% probability that a recession would occur during the year (many estimated that the U.S. was already in a recession). The path of inflation was uncertain, as was the impact of higher interest rates on consumers and U.S. businesses. The war in Ukraine was also relatively new, causing heightened geopolitical uncertainty and energy market volatility, further pressuring economic growth.
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White papers
Is the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
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White papers
The Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
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White papers
Now may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
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White papers
Jobs and inflation on market’s radar
Like in 2023, inflation figures will remain, in 2024, an important driver of market’s expectations regarding Fed rates decisions. Inflation has come down by a lot, but it is still above 2% and the latest reading shows a slowdown in the disinflationary trend.
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White papers
Plus ça change… The outlook for infrastructure debt in 2024
Infrastructure demonstrated characteristic resilience in 2023 in the face of significant macroeconomic headwinds. Darryl Murphy from our infrastructure team explains why he expects current themes to persist in 2024.
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White papers
The eagle has landed: Art installation creates a buzz in Potsdam
As part of PATRIZIA’s mission to ‘build communities and sustainable futures’, the company seeks to enhance the quality of life for future generations and transform cities into vibrant, community-focused spaces.
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White papers
EMD outlook 2024: Navigating a bifurcated universe
In this outlook, we outline the global backdrop that emerging markets (EMs) can expect in 2024, including a more dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed), a more supportive backdrop for EM currencies and weak global growth.
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White papers
U.S. Commercial Real Estate Debt: Discovering beneficial routes of exposure
Investors are increasingly viewing Commercial Real Estate (CRE) debt as a benefit to the CRE market, which was already the case prior to elevated interest rates. Global AUM of debt funds has been increased 22% per year since 2019 and 62% of global institutional CRE investors were looking to increase their allocation to CRE debt in 2023
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White papers
Resilient private credit fills a growing need across U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and European private credit markets have been a significant success story of asset management for the last decade.
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White papers
Rate cuts: are they justified by employment data?
The resilience of the labour market, evidenced by low unemployment and solid job growth, is seen as a key driver of the US economy’s strength. But in 2023, the trend of robust job creation shown in the previous two years began to deteriorate as the pace of newly created roles slowed down.
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White papers
An Alternative Outlook Note for the Season
Headlines remain dominated by highly negative news flow, a tough geopolitical landscape and the prospect of a divisive US election campaign. With a nod to the season, rather than writing a traditional pre-year-end outlook, our final note to clients this year is a short commentary on what might be a more positive prognosis for the future. We will follow with a note early in the New Year featuring key themes for 2024.
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White papers
Dovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.