All Commentary articles
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White papersInvestment View for Q4: Liquidity is confidence
‘Investment View’ provides our quarterly macro & market outlook and investment recommendations
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White papers2026 Full Year Results
We use our expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity to create value and generate superior returns for our investor customers
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White papersHealthy Labor Market in the Face of AI
Despite ongoing concerns around inflation, tariffs, geopolitical tensions and AI-related disruption, the U.S. labor market remains more resilient than many expected. Our latest Macro Strategy outlook explores several underappreciated trends shaping employment today and what they could mean for growth, inflation and markets going forward.
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White papersTechnology outlook: Balancing rapid growth with long-term valuations
Technological innovations are disrupting virtually every part of the global economy – from consumption, financial transactions, manufacturing, energy and more.
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White papersFed rate hike: Three views on what’s next
The US Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point this month marks a significant shift in monetary policy as the central bank seeks to dampen war-induced inflationary pressures. Although it is the first time the Fed has hiked rates since July 2023, in some respects it represents a return to normal after many years of artificially low borrowing costs.
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White papersMarkets look past the noise
The investment environment in 2026 continues to be shaped by geopolitical uncertainty, evolving inflation dynamics and the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence (AI). Renewed tensions in the Middle East have reintroduced inflation risks through higher energy prices, while AI-related spending is creating upward pressure on inflation in some sectors. As a result, central banks are expected to maintain restrictive policy settings for longer than previously anticipated.
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PodcastGoing the distance - Market perspectives into autumn - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
After an eventful summer for the markets and policymakers, particularly in the bond markets, our podcast series regulars reunite to recap the major movements in the markets over the past few weeks. Listen further to discover what these market events mean for investors and our own investment views.
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White papersResearch spotlight on AI
As the artificial intelligence (Al) boom reshapes many parts of the investment landscape, it features prominently in many aspects of our ongoing research. Below, we showcase some of our latest Al-related thinking.
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BlogA warming planet hits our economy harder than a blocked strait
Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz dominate headlines, particularly the economic impact. European Commission (EC) analysis forecasts oil and gas prices will still be 20% higher by the end of 2027.
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VideoNeuberger Private Markets: Q2 2026 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
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White papersFrance’s fiscal policy in focus
We expect France’s GDP to grow by 0.6% in 2026 and around 1.0% in 2027, in line with Eurozone growth. While higher inflation and elevated policy uncertainty, both domestic and external, are likely to weigh on demand in 2026, the economy should retain some underlying resilience, helped by a gradual recovery in private domestic demand, particularly household consumption and business investment moving into 2027.
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PodcastA New Growth Plane for Japanese Equities
Japanese equities have undergone one of the most significant re-ratings in the developed world — but the story is evolving. The early phase was about leaner balance sheets and better capital management.
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White papersCapturing the Energy Opportunity Downstream
Crude looks well supplied—but the fuels we actually burn tell a different story. Diesel, gasoline and jet fuel inventories remain near 2022-crisis lows, as disruptions to Hormuz shipping, Russian refining and Middle East exports keep the squeeze downstream. The real energy opportunity isn’t in the barrel of crude—it’s in the barrel you burn.
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White papersCutting through the noise: Why lower and core middle market direct lending still delivers value in clients’ portfolios
Private credit has become one of the most discussed corners of institutional investing — and one of the most misunderstood. Daily headlines about troubled borrowers, struggling business development companies (BDCs), redemption pressure, and concentrated software exposure have created the impression of a market under stress. But beneath the noise, the lower and core middle market direct lending segment that has historically powered investor outcomes is performing well, behaving as designed, and, in our view, is about to deliver one of its most attractive vintages in years.
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VideoGlobal REITs Update – Q2 2026
In our video update for the 2nd quarter of the 2026 calendar year, Chief Investment Officer, Andrew Parsons covers key developments in the Global REIT sector and market insights.
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White papersThe mid-market advantage in infrastructure investing
Private infrastructure fundraising surpassed the high watermark years of 2021-22 and reached nearly US$300 billion in 20251. This record milestone reflects robust institutional investor confidence and increasing allocations to infrastructure as an asset class.
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PodcastThe impact of AI on the media and advertising industries
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is impacting the media and advertising industries, triggering a pivot away from simply generating billable hours towards the production of higher value-added content. It is also reducing the need for human intervention and discernment. Developments are apparent in the hyper-personalisation of content, raising new issues for regulators.
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White papersMacro brief: AI in Europe – implications for productivity
With US hyperscalers driving the AI boom, Europe has so far been broadly absent from the excitement surrounding this technology. But the lesson from past technological revolutions is that the ultimate prize – stronger productivity growth – will depend less on where the technology is developed than on how effectively it is deployed.
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White papersPrivate Equity: Distributions Are Bouncing Back
Global private equity exits are on track for yet another robust year, potentially extending the year-on-year recovery in divestment activity and investor distributions since 2024. While sales to strategic or corporate buyers and sponsor to sponsor deals continue to dominate…
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White papersMulti-Asset Investments Views: You spin me round
The re-escalation of Middle East hostilities has effectively buried the Memorandum of Understanding between the US and Iran.
