All Commentary articles
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White papersMidyear macro outlook: A new dawn of uncertainty
Geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainty and global economic slowdown look set to define the second half of 2025. Our global CIO looks at why active management and research-led investing are the way to navigate this global complexity.
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White papersConfidence up for May but what comes next?
US consumer confidence index rose sharply, and above expectations, in May to 98.0, mainly due to a temporary trade truce between the US and China on tariffs. Expectations about the near future also improved.
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White papersThe Consumer Hangs In
Amid changing policy dynamics, fluctuating markets and swings in sentiment, the U.S. consumer has, so far, remained surprisingly resilient.
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White papersWill Smart Glasses Replace Smart Phones?
AI-powered eyewear offers a glimpse into the (not-so-distant) future. Growth investors, take heed.
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White papersConfusing Correlations: What’s Really Behind Them?
In recent weeks we’ve witnessed extreme (and at times, puzzling) correlations among asset classes. In this paper, we break down the potentially misunderstood drivers of these strange dynamics and their implications for investors.
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BlogCombining Profit and Purpose: How Real Estate Drives Social Impact
A profound shift has been taking place across the real estate industry in recent years. Success is no longer measured purely by financial return – it’s also about creating places that have a positive social impact and improve people’s lives.
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White papersWhy investors need private markets
The 60-40 approach to portfolio diversification is being challenged, as traditional asset class correlations weaken. Can private markets be an alternative diversifier and should investors consider an allocation?
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White papersThe ECB’s road ahead: navigating the certain uncertainties
Europe’s economic backdrop is brimming with competing dynamics that have made the ECB’s principal mandate for ‘price stability’ more challenging than ever.
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White papersOil prices stop making sense
For the past few years, the expanded group of oil producers known as OPEC+ have tried collectively to stabilise crude prices by lowering production in order to dampen price volatility to the downside. But because several members of the wider cartel have different and conflicting fiscal and external financing priorities, efforts to limit output have not only failed, current production has increased. This would be newsworthy by itself, but is even more puzzling considering the potential impact of tariffs on global demand.
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PodcastTalking Heads – It’s a match: infrastructure investing and Europe’s new focus
As investors shift away from US investments and eye opportunities for yield and growth elsewhere, it makes sense that Europe comes to mind. This is especially so now that the ‘old continent’ has kicked off a revitalisation drive to target new sources of growth and trim its dependence on the resources of other countries.
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White papersFrom Liberation Day to Independence Day
Business confidence needs to improve to restart U.S. investment and growth—could the forthcoming tax bill provide the impetus?
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions - Global Investment Views - Trade wars continue to complicate policy decisions
The spring meetings in Washington are a useful platform to gauge opinion of policymakers, economists, bankers and investors from around the world. In this latest edition of our monthly investment views podcast, Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, catches up with Swaha Pattanaik on her return from the US to share Amundi’s latest investment views and talk about the mood in Washington, and what this might mean for the markets.
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White papersChina in the race to technological leadership
With its rapid advancements in critical technologies, today, China is a formidable competitor to the developed West for global technology leadership. Innovation can take many forms, including process innovation – in which China excels – leveraging its large and dynamic manufacturing base. However, this is not enough.
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White papersUS and China: balancing the decoupling
“Impacts of the trade war are just about to unfold, and some are not erasable by whimsical policy changes. It is complacent to assume there will be no structural consequence.”
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White papersTesting US exceptionalism? What markets have learned from Trump’s first 100 days
What were markets and investors anticipating from the first 100 days of US President Donald Trump’s leadership – and what’s been the reality? Click the link to read views from Fabiana Fedeli, CIO for Equities, Multi Asset and Sustainability.
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VideoInvesting in a post ‘Liberation Day’ era
One month on from the introduction of US President Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs, investors are weighing the real impact on markets. In this video, Saker Nusseibeh, CBE – CEO of Federated Hermes Limited, shares his view on what it means looking forward.
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White papersTailoring real and alternative assets to illiquidity appetite
“Real and alternative assets are key to enhancing risk-adjusted returns. Private equity and debt are appealing in the search for higher return potential.”
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White papersBuilding the future of innovation
Selecting cities for life sciences real estate in Europe
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White papersThe forces reshaping China’s labour market
Few things define a nation’s economic story as clearly as its labour market. In China’s case, that story is one of staggering scale, deep-rooted divisions, and rapid transformation. With the largest workforce in the world, China’s labour market should be one of the most closely analysed. Yet opaque information and complexities obstruct conventional analysis.
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White papersThe End of American Exceptionalism?
The rest of the world is due some cyclical catch-up with the U.S., but talk of a structural change in the global economic ecosystem is premature.
