All Commentary articles
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White papersThe forces reshaping China’s labour market
Few things define a nation’s economic story as clearly as its labour market. In China’s case, that story is one of staggering scale, deep-rooted divisions, and rapid transformation. With the largest workforce in the world, China’s labour market should be one of the most closely analysed. Yet opaque information and complexities obstruct conventional analysis.
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White papersFour scenarios for uncertain markets
There are no facts about the future — this much is certain.
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White papersWhy Australian office: Perception, reality and the great opportunity
Over the past four years, the performance of the office market was dominated by the uncertainty cast by the pandemic-induced lockdowns and the largest interest rate cycle in decades. The consequential unknowns over workplace strategies, the economy, and adjustment to higher rates contributed to the largest valuation repricing since the GFC.
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White papersTariffs: What comes next for stocks, bonds and the dollar?
Given uncertainty around tariff policy, markets will likely continue to gyrate based on the developments of negotiations, along with the evolution of US monetary and fiscal policy.
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White papers2025 Half Year Results
We use our expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity to create value and generate superior returns for our investor customers
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VideoInvestment outlook – Waiting for the moment
With the waters in financial markets stirred and the amplitude of the ripples still unclear, a cautious attitude to asset allocation looks to be smart. Questions abound: will US import tariffs sap business models and profit margins? What do they mean for inflation and growth? Are the effects the same in the US and Europe?
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White papersGlobalisation isn’t dead. It’s changing.
The latest round of tariffs launched by the US government in early April prompted a wave of criticism from world leaders, including some who say globalisation is now dead. As a global investor for over four decades, I respectfully disagree. Globalisation isn’t dead. It is, however, changing in a significant way.
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WebinarWebinar: Tariff impacts on global markets
Tariffs levied by the Trump administration have sent global markets reeling. Watch portfolio managers Jody Jonsson and Chitrang Purani assess the implications for stocks and bonds.
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White papersDeglobalization. What’s Next?
We believe the Post-World War II, U.S.-dominated world order of globalization is quickly coming to an end. Between the possibilities of diversification, division, and disengagement that we discussed in our piece on globalization several years ago, the Trump Administration appears to be pursuing a disengagement strategy. Everyone— domestic players in the U.S. included—is now working to accommodate a less globally engaged U.S.
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White papersWorld markets review — First quarter 2025
Returns for US equities diverged from regional markets as investors weighed the implications of a potential trade war, waning consumer confidence and high valuations in the technology sector. After two years in a row of 20%-plus gains, US stocks entered correction territory, falling roughly 10% in mid-March before recovering some of the losses. European stocks rallied as investors rotated into value-oriented areas of the market.
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White papersFive charts that put market volatility in perspective
President Trump’s tariffs have put market volatility back in the spotlight.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q2 2025
Investors started this year thinking that corporates and governments were better prepared for a Trump 2.0 trade war. That proved not to be the case, so how should they be positioning amid the turmoil? Find out more in the latest Quarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook: ‘Dispersing the herd’.
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Research ReportReal Estate House Views H1 2025
Explore our collection of in-depth outlooks on real estate investing globally.
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White papersDiversification in times of uncertain markets
Over the past week, markets have experienced extreme uncertainty caused by US policy gyrations on tariffs. This uncertainty has started to weigh on US assets, including the dollar and US Treasuries. Despite the 90-day pause announced on 9 April, the US average tariff rate remains at a 100-year high, with rising US tariffs on China triggering retaliation from the latter.
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White papersThe world turned upside down - Global Market Perspectives, 2Q 2025
Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papersQuick take on Trump’s tariff pause
President Trump has announced a 90-day truce with most of the international community, reducing tariffs to the baseline rate of 10% for the European Union (EU), Asia (excluding China) and South Africa, among other countries. This is a positive development. Most other major economies, including Latin America, Canada, the UK, and Australia, were already subject to baseline rate tariffs or lower.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 2Q 2025
While surging tariffs and a hard sell-off have sown uncertainty, we expect negotiations to bring some relief on initial tariff proposals, and that sharply slower growth seems more likely than a U.S. recession. We also believe stimulus in Europe and China may rejuvenate global industrial activity (albeit at a slower pace), and recommend styles, sectors and regions that are most geared to it.
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WebinarWhat’s Next for Europe and the World
Against a backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions and a shifting transatlantic relationship, our panel of experts - Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute & Chief Strategist; Amaury D’Orsay, Head of Fixed Income; and Barry Glavin, Head of Equity - share their initial assessments of recent trade tariffs and their implications for the global economy and markets, with a special focus on Europe.
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White papersAdapting to Uncertainty
In an era characterized by complexity and unpredictability, we believe it is crucial to enhance portfolio resilience for the long term.
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White papersTrump’s tariffs – A paradigm change
In the absence of major revisions, the latest US import tariffs are a stagflationary shock for the US economy, potentially derailing growth and raising recession risks. A major risk-off move is now underway as financial markets move to a completely new interpretation of ‘US exceptionalism’.
