All Commentary articles
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White papers
The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
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White papers
A sort-of Super Tuesday
This week played host to ‘Super Tuesday’, a key date in the US presidential election calendar where key states hold their primary elections. This year’s results yielded few surprises and set up the 2024 US Presidential election to be a rematch of 2020.
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White papers
Where next for the rally?
Three key equity markets hit all-time highs this week as the risk-on mood broadened beyond the US and into Asia-Pacific (APAC) indices.
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - March 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 7 March 2024
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - March 2024
”European PMI data diverge not only in terms of sectors, but also in terms of countries and sub-components.”
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2024
“While we expect the Fed, Bank of England and ECB to start rate cuts around June, we will keep an eye on the pace of disinflation for any surprises.”
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White papers
Super Tuesday points to a super-charged battle
“A Trump-Biden rematch looks likely in November. As we move closer to the elections, market uncertainty will rise given the candidates’ divergent approach to foreign policy and geopolitics.”
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White papers
2024 Private Markets Outlook: Compelling opportunities amid a liquidity crunch
After a challenging 2023, we think that institutions who can be a provider of liquidity to others or have the flexibility to deploy additional capital will be able to take advantage of some unique and compelling risk-return opportunities in 2024.
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White papers
Identifying opportunity and creating value in a turbulent European real estate market
The European real estate market continues to recalibrate in the face of elevated interest rates, declining valuations, and economic uncertainty. Apollo is navigating this with a thematic focus, grounded in data-driven analysis and a flexible approach to tactical deployment. Here, we discuss how we’re currently engaging with the opportunities and challenges posed by the current market environment.
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Video
Unlisted infrastructure and the energy transition
In a joint interview, Michael Ryder and John Ma, Partners and Co-Heads of North America at Igneo, discuss the outlook for unlisted infrastructure and opportunities within the energy transition.
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White papers
Enter the dragon: Why China is competitively positioned
There are several reasons to remain constructive on China, in our view. We believe that pessimism about China’s fortunes and the wider economic outlook, resulting in the current idiosyncratic sell-off, presents opportunities for active investors to find great companies at very attractive valuations.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions - Global Investment Views: Market debate rages on
The last month has, to a large extent, seen a reversal in investors’ expectations for central bank actions. This has been the hot topic for financial markets over the past few weeks as these expectations filter down into financial data and continue to drive asset prices. However signs of a slowdown are appearing. What factors will be most important to judge market direction going forward?
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White papers
A Second Trump Presidency? Potential Economic Effects
President Trump could win the 2024 presidential election. When the incumbent presidential party presides over an improvement in the unemployment rate, it is likely to be returned to power. With unemployment at historic lows, unemployment is likely to get worse, creating headwinds for a Biden re-election.
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White papers
2024’s elections around the world: The who’s who and the so what…
Voters from more than 60 countries will head to the polls this year, representing almost half the world’s population. This makes 2024 perhaps the ultimate election year by historical standards. But the act of merely holding elections does not guarantee a free and fair process e.g., Russia’s March elections, nor does it imply consequential change.
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White papers
Opportunities in preferred and capital securities remain attractive
Main takeaways: the Federal Reserve (Fed) should be done raising rates; the U.S. Treasury market term premium should persist; discounted fixed-to-refixed hybrids foster an advantage of indifference to the direction of longer-term treasury rates; and relative values are attractive.
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White papers
Are We There Yet?
As the holiday travel season draws to a close, a simple question that can trigger even the most patient of parents everywhere, resonates as well with property investors across the country — “Are we there yet?”
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White papers
Quarterly fixed income perspectives 1Q 2024: A turning point for policy
Themes, outlook, and investment implications across global fixed income markets
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Podcast
Exiting Long-Term Infrastructure Investment
Since 2019 Igneo has successfully exited 9 of its European portfolio companies.
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White papers
Consider This: Indian elections 2024
India stands on the precipice of a significant election, with incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeking a third term. Kim Catechis, Investment Strategist at Franklin Templeton Institute, provides an analysis of factors that could bode well for Modi’s campaign as well as implications of potential demographic shifts in one of the world’s largest democracies.
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Video
2024 Outlook
CIO Sean Taylor shares his outlook for 2024, including his views on Japan and emerging market countries like Brazil, China and India.