All Commentary articles
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White papersFed and ECB cut rates, BoJ and BOE on hold
“The Fed’s hawkish tone signals that the Central Bank is incorporating a more uncertain outlook. This calls for keeping a tactical approach to bond investing.”
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PodcastSolving for 2025
Looking for insights on the key themes poised to shape the financial markets in the coming year? Hear from Anu Rajakumar, Erik Knutzen, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Multi-Asset, and Shannon Saccocia, Chief Investment Officer of Private Wealth, as they discuss pivotal macroeconomic and capital markets observations from our annual outlook, “Solving for 2025”, where they evaluate the forces that may shape portfolios in the coming year.
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White papersGermany’s path ahead
In Germany, the poor economic performance of the last two years has taken centre stage.
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White papersKey Investment Themes 2025
The global economy avoided recession for a second year. Inflation began to cool and the major central banks embarked on a new cycle of interest rate cuts. However, geopolitical risk rose against the backdrop of a particularly busy election calendar around the world.
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White papersClosing Bell 2024 : ‘Immaculate disinflation’ and the ‘Magnificent Seven’
2024 was another good year for tech stocks and equities overall
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White papers2025 Outlook: We have seen this movie before
As we head into 2025, it is hard not to notice several parallels with the past; it feels like we have seen this movie before.
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White papersAllview: Market Risk Monitor - December 2024
Each month, Allspring’s Investment Analytics team assembles a top 10 list of market risks that it believes have the potential to influence investment portfolios.
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PodcastOuterblue Research – Looking for clues ahead of a second Trump presidency
After a campaign full of twists and turns, November saw the re-election of Donald Trump for a second term as US president. In this edition, we take a look at the geopolitical and economic ramifications of a new Trump presidency.
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White papersVarious tailwinds support private markets
In our Private Markets Outlook 2025, we outline why we expect direct lending and real estate debt to perform strongly; while in the UK, the new government’s Autumn Budget contained positive signals for infrastructure development.
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White papersWill the equities rally continue in 2025?
Our Equities Outlook 2025 outlines why the Republican sweep in the US election could have wide-reaching implications for stock markets, currencies, commodities and foreign countries.
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White papersAnother banner year for liquidity?
Investors won’t forget near-zero yields in a hurry. Liquidity – and the healthy returns on offer – will remain king in the coming year.
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White papersThe Chief Economist view: Divergence
2025 may be characterised by divergence across the world’s main economic regions, around three dimensions: underlying growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
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White papersOutlook 2025: Highlights and investment implications
Two major uncertainties lie at the heart of the global economic and investment outlook - to what extent will US President-elect Donald Trump translate campaign promises into policy and how successful will China be in reigniting its economy?
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White papersWhat is in store for tech?
The tech sector continued to outperform in 2024, with a YTD performance of +34% versus a +25% for the S&P 500 Index. Over the past two year, the tech sector’s outperformance has been driven by superior earnings growth, expectations of lower US interest rates and the start of a cycle of investment in AI technologies.
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Video2024 Barings 360° Private Markets Conference
We hosted Barings 360°, our flagship private markets conference, November 18-20, 2024 in Boston. The conference included annual investor meetings, dedicated BDC, Real Estate, and Global Private Finance tracks, as well as thought-provoking breakout sessions on the biggest challenges and opportunities in private markets.
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PodcastOuterblue Talks Research – The Artificial Intelligence revolution
This episode returns to the topic of artificial intelligence. Since we last covered this topic earlier in the year, there have been even more advances in what generative AI can do and ever increasing interest in how AI can be used across the corporate value chain.
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VideoNeuberger Berman Private Markets: Q3 2024 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
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PodcastDisruptive Forces Election Special: Trump’s Cabinet
President-Elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20, 2025, after a whirlwind election season. But how could this term differ from his first? How will Trump’s cabinet be shaped, and what directions could this take the markets?
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White papers2025 outlook: private markets shine bright
Against a backdrop of mildly decelerating economic growth, weakening domestic demand, and interest rate cut expectations, the private market and real estate asset classes can offer relatively attractive investment opportunities as well as risk and return diversification.
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White papersQT or Not QT?
Against the aggressive expansion of the balance sheet in response to the COVID pandemic, the Federal Reserve expanded its balance sheet from $4.1 trillion, or 18.8% of GDP, to a peak of $9.0 trillion, or 35.6% of GDP, in Q1 2022. This is nearly double the pre-COVID level, which was already elevated relative to the balance sheet seen in the wake of the Great Financial Crisis.
