All Commentary articles
-
White papersGCC Banks: A Five-Layer Defense for the Current Environment
A combination of strong fundamentals and sovereign support should help key financial institutions weather the storm.
-
White papersConsensus Indicators signal a K-shaped recovery in both Europe and the U.S.
InREV, the European Association for Investors in Non-Listed Real Estate Vehicles, recently published their Consensus Indicator for March 2026, revealing that sentiment remains positive but is moderating amid rising geopolitical and interest rate pressures.
-
White papersFactory Reset: U.S. Manufacturing Turns Up
The manufacturing industry has been struggling since the pandemic. Various metrics, including industrial production and the ISM Manufacturing index, have been in contraction or decline for years.
-
White papersQ1 2026 Short Duration Commentary
Geopolitical and macro risks dominated headlines and the market landscape as the first quarter ended, driven by the Israeli and U.S attacks on Iran and their aftermath, including Iran’s response and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the…
-
WebinarWebinar: AI bulls versus bears
In this webinar, equity portfolio manager Chris Buchbinder and economist Jared Franz examine the bull and bear cases for AI: bubble risk, productivity signals and when profitability may show up.
-
Podcast2026: A Mega-Cap IPO Odyssey? SpaceX, OpenAI, and What’s Next in the Private-to-Public Pipeline
For years, some of the most consequential companies in technology have stayed private far longer than historical norms — growing to public-company scale without ever listing a share.
-
White papersREITs at new highs: Early expansion, not the end of the cycle
New market highs are often mistaken for late-cycle signals, but history suggests they more often mark the end of the beginning, not the beginning of the end. And in real estate market cycles, highs tend to occur not when risk is peaking, but when a prior valuation reset, early recovery dynamics, and strengthening fundamentals start to align.
-
White papersWhere real estate meets infrastructure: The evolution of data center investing
Discover our examination of how data centers have evolved from a niche real estate sector into a critical, infrastructure‑like asset class, driven by cloud computing, AI, and global digitalization. Our analysis highlights the structural demand tailwinds, power and supply constraints, and investment implications shaping data center markets today.
-
White papersCapital Market Assumptions 2026
The global economy is moving through a structural regime shift characterised by geo-economic fragmentation, climate risks from a delayed energy transition, and the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI). Countries are increasingly pivoting towards strategic autonomy to adapt to this new regime.
-
White papersGlobal uncertainty gives way to opportunity in bond and equity markets
At the start of 2026, most investors held an optimistic view of the global economic outlook, anticipating stable growth supported by increased spending on artificial intelligence.
-
White papersFixed Income Outlook 2Q 2026: Steering Through the Turn
Markets experienced a sharp change in direction during the first quarter, but despite reasons for caution, we see paths to opportunity as well.
-
White papersCIO Weekly: ECB—Hold or Hike?
Among the major central bank meetings next week, the European Central Bank’s is the most in focus and consequential—especially if a policy mistake happens.
-
White papersEquity Outlook 2Q 2026: Global Growth Holds Firm As Geopolitical Risk Simmers
Persistent macro tailwinds and broadening earnings growth keep us constructive on risk assets through the fog of war.
-
White papersAnalyzing the wall of maturities: The plural of anecdotes is not data
The so-called “wall of maturities” is a perennial source of investor anxiety: will refinancing risk create a wave of defaults? Given nearly $900bn of loans maturing in 2026 and more than $2tn coming due over the next three years, that concern is understandable. However, the experience of recent maturities suggests outcomes have been far less dire than feared and offers a useful roadmap for what lies ahead.
-
White papersFour lasting impacts of the Iran war
When I served as a United States diplomat, we often said that war is the failure of diplomacy. The inconclusiveness of initial negotiations in Islamabad underscores just how fragile diplomacy can be.
-
White papersBack to those other bricks
With Middle East peace in sight, the S&P 500 should resume its path to 7,500.
-
White papersAI Boom or Bubble? Lessons from the Dot-Com Period
The rapid growth of artificial intelligence has led investors to question whether the recent rally in AI-related stocks is a sign of a speculative bubble. This paper compares the current AI driven market to the dot-com boom of the late 1990s.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2026
Topic of the month - Asia and the energy shock
-
White papersAsia and the energy shock
Asia is exposed to the Middle East conflict and the resulting rise in oil and gas prices. Most countries in the region are net energy importers (Malaysia is a notable exception). Even if the pass‑through to headline inflation remains limited, sustaining cost‑of‑living support to shield household purchasing power will be expensive for governments.
-
White papersGold: a correction driven by positioning, not fundamentals
Gold has undergone a meaningful sell-off in recent weeks, but we believe the move has been driven more by a repricing of short-term macro fears than by any deterioration in the metal’s medium-term fundamentals.
