All Commentary articles – Page 2
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White papersLocked ‘n’ loaded and ready to fire: first take on China’s National People’s Congress (NPC)
Premier Li Qiang kicked off the annual meetings of the National People’s Congress (NPC) with the government’s Work Report, marking the nation’s biggest political event of the year. Besides a busy calendar of political decision-making, the NPC is also closely watched by markets as Beijing sets the course for the economy and macro policies for the remainder of 2025.
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White papersFebruary jobs report: A sanguine number… for now
The February jobs report showed a 151,000-worker increase in payrolls, broadly in line with consensus expectations, defying fears of significant cracks in the labor market. Yet, while the worst fears were not met, the report did confirm that the labor market is cooling. Furthermore, with no shortage of headwinds confronting the U.S. economy, including federal government layoffs, public spending cuts, and tariff uncertainty-related inertia, the softening trend will likely persist and potentially deepen in the coming months.
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White papersForget the Magnificent 7: Meet China’s Terrific 10
China’s top tech firms are emerging as global contenders as President Xi Jinping aims to boost innovation and revitalize his country’s economy.
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PodcastNVIDIA, DeepSeek and the Evolution of AI
As the world navigates the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, markets are adjusting to the implications of groundbreaking innovations on growth, competition, and investments. But how are market assumptions about AI shaping investor sentiment? What unique challenges and opportunities do these developments present for the semiconductor industry? And where can investors uncover growth opportunities beyond AI amidst this disruption?
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White papersGo against the tide, or with the flow? Exploring key themes and the market outlook for infrastructure investment
The macroeconomic backdrop for infrastructure is positive on most counts, including stronger than expected economic growth, above average inflation, and declining interest rates (albeit slowly). The denominator effect is behind us, after two years of strong public market performance.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2025
In February, the markets have shown that love is in the air: despite new tariff announcements, inflation risks, and the DeepSeek shakeup, positive market sentiment continues to prevail.
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White papersWhy Bother with Defensive Equities During the New Trump Era?
Following a defensive equity playbook can help investors prepare for market volatility in a year of heightened uncertainty.
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White papersThe Year of the Snake: Our outlook for China in 2025
As China enters 2025, its economic future will be influenced by market trends, policy changes, and the implications of Trump’s presidency. Hear from our China Equity team as they explore the key developments shaping markets and what investors should expect moving forward.
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White papersEverything you wanted to know about tariffs and trade finance
A new trade war between the US and China could have unexpected consequences.
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White papersIs a Functional Approach to Outsourcing the Way Forward?
CFOs and finance leaders are under growing pressure to reduce administrative costs while managing increasingly complex operations. Since 2008, the financial landscape has changed significantly. Portfolios have become more diversified, the number of funds and Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) has increased, and regulatory requirements have expanded. At the same time, investors demand greater transparency and faster reporting, while fund managers require more detailed financial projections, budgets, and scenario analyses to navigate market uncertainties.
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White papersAffordable housing: how modular construction is changing the game - Interview with Stefanie Lütteke and Simon Dietzfelbinger
The housing market is under immense pressure with skyrocketing rents, rising property prices, and a particularly tight situation in metropolitan areas and for low-income earners. How can we overcome this crisis and achieve affordable housing? Is it a matter of politics, or do technical solutions also hold the key?
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White papersBeyond DeepSeek: AI disruption and the implications for real estate
In the first instalment of our Artificial Intelligence & Real Estate Series, we introduced a framework to analyze the impact of the rising adoption of AI technologies on the commercial real estate environment. We also warned that as the AI revolution remains in its infancy, investors should brace for unanticipated breakthrough advancements that are difficult to predict and precisely time. Indeed, over the past month, a pivotal leap took place, intensifying the competition for AI industry leadership and market dominance.
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White papersDiscover our Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Capital Group’s 2025 capital market assumptions provide a favourable long-term outlook, expecting mid-to-high-single digit returns for stocks and low-to-mid-single digits for bonds. That said, these expectations are lower over a 20-year horizon compared to last year.
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WebinarGerman Election Results: Shaping Europe’s Future?
Thank you for attending our call “German Election Results: Shaping Europe’s Future?” with Anna Rosenberg, Head of Geopolitics at Amundi Investment Institute; Thomas Kruse, CIO Amundi Germany; and esteemed guest, Günther H. Oettinger, Former European Commissioner and Member of the Supervisory Board at Amundi Germany.
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White papersTRTPM monthly blog – Edition February 2025: Our monthly insights into private markets
The start to the year saw a mixed picture in interest rate policy between the US and Europe. In January, the Fed opted to pause rate cuts as it awaits further progress on inflation, whereas the ECB cut eurozone interest rates by 25bps, and in February, the Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates by 25bps. US and UK CPI inflation rose to 3% in January, driven by higher services inflation and food prices.
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White papersShaping the Future of Spanish Housing
Spain faces a housing production deficit of over 1 million homes, a gap that has been growing since 2014. By 2030, this shortfall is expected to exceed 1.7 million homes, representing more than 15 years of annual production. This structural imbalance presents a compelling opportunity for institutional and private investors looking to enter the Spanish residential market.
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White papersWhy core is back
After a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, higher debt costs and squeezed returns, we have reached a turning point in the market cycle for core real estate investment. The interest rate landscape is tilting in a more positive direction; loan margins are diverging with leverage now accretive again for lower risk high quality investments; and pricing has adjusted with limited re-pricing risk looking forward. With further interest rates cuts forecast, the outlook for yields is more stable and material recovery in real estate values is expected.
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White papersGerman Elections: Winds of Change
Germany is entering a pivotal moment in its political and economic landscape. With stagnating economic growth and pressing geopolitical challenges, the direction of its next government under Friedrich Merz is significant not only for the nation but also for Europe’s future economic and security prospects. The outcome of the weekend elections mean that a partnership between the CDU/CSU and former Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s centre-left SPD appears highly probable, with both parties aligning on key priorities like promoting more business-friendly policies.
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White papersForming coalition will be easiest of next German Chancellor’s many challenges
The centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its sister party, the Christian Socialist Union (CSU), won the German election with 28.6% of the popular vote. CDU leader Friedrich Merz is therefore set to be the next Chancellor and will lead coalition talks to form a government at a time when Europe’s biggest economy faces economic, trade and geopolitical challenges.
