All Commentary articles – Page 8
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White papers
Exploring US Single-Family Rental Demographics
Despite being an historically important part of the US housing market, single-family rentals (SFRs) with institutional ownership are a relatively new phenomenon, coming onto the scene in a meaningful way only in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Initially, large institutional investors amassed portfolios by taking advantage of the surplus of foreclosed properties available at auction.
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White papersAsia Private Equity: Riding the ‘Three Locomotives
Broadly diversified economies and a limited private equity presence appear to be enhancing regional opportunities for private capital. Private equity is enjoying increased attention in Asia, where global investors are looking for exposure offering diversification from more established U.S. and European markets. In the latest of our interview series on The Changing Asian Landscape, Kent Chen, Head of Asia Private Equity, describes some of the virtues of investing in the “three locomotives” of Japan, China and India, and how Neuberger Berman’s broad Asia platform has enhanced our efforts to provide investors effective access to these opportunities.
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White papersPutting Put-Writing Into Perspective
When equities sputter, market volatility simmers and interest rates remain elevated, we believe underwriting market risk—by writing puts on the S&P 500 Index—can be a capital-efficient strategy for investors seeking to generate a diversified source of income in an uncertain economic environment.
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White papersGaining an Edge with ESG
In this quantitative research study, we investigate the relationship between environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors and subsequent performance. We believe a systematic approach can provide meaningful exposure to companies that deliver strong ESG performance while potentially increasing overall returns.
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White papersWhy We Believe Quality Is a Good Guide for Value Investing
Value investing involves picking stocks that are trading at attractive prices as determined by metrics such as price book and price earnings. Clients sometimes ask us why Breton Hill takes a quality approach to value investing when so many of our peers are focused on distressed value. In this note we review the history of applying quality to value investing in an effort to improve outcomes. We then conduct an out-of-sample analysis to assess whether this effect still holds in the more recent decade subsequent to the publication of well-known quality papers.
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White papersLDI: July 2024, snap elections, all change but has anything changed?
The first half of 2024 disappointed markets as the large rate cuts reflected in market pricing at the start of the year failed to realise. Central banks erred on the side of caution, reticent to commence the monetary easing cycle in response to falling inflation and slowing growth.
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White papersU.S. Election: The Policy Choice
Putting rhetoric and personality (mostly) aside, we explore key policy differences—and similarities—between the political combatants. The U.S. presidential election continues to heat up, with new surprises seemingly around every corner—from a criminal conviction to an assassination attempt to the late withdrawal of the incumbent. With a new Democratic candidate emerging, the contest has become even more volatile as a closely divided nation inches toward November.
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WebinarWebinar Replay - Road To Recession? Riding Out Tightening Credit Markets
The global economy has been resilient against a variety of headwinds, underpinning a recovery in risk assets. Despite optimism over a soft landing, the threat of recession remains in play. Elevated levels of inflation, higher interest rates and stricter lending standards are keeping up the pressure on consumers and businesses. Facing this uncertainty, investors need a playbook for riding out tightening credit markets.
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White papersCLO Equity: 101
From quarterly cashflows to compelling total return potential, CLO equity offers a number of potential benefits. But the asset class is often overlooked, due in large part to its perceived complexity relative to more traditional fixed income investments.
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White papersGen AI: The Next Wave
As artificial intelligence tools gather steam, what’s the potential impact on businesses, investors and the planet? It’s been nearly two years since the “ChatGPT moment,” when OpenAI’s flagship chatbot brought the world face-to-face with the power of generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) to gather and interpret information, and communicate its findings to users. The moment represented the culmination of years of AI research and development.
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Research ReportMarket Update second quarter 2024
Economic growth in the Netherlands is expected to rebound in 2024. Modest private consumption growth is driven by factors as, rising house prices, continuously low unemployment, increasing consumer confidence and real wage growth.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - July/August 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 24 July 2024
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White papersThe Data Center Investment Opportunity
The data center industry is experiencing explosive demand growth driven by expanding use of technology and structural shifts in how data is consumed. Developers are building but they can’t keep up with demand—driving vacancy rates to all-time historic lows and rents to rise. The amount of capital required to develop the capacity to fill forecasted demand is unprecedented in the industry.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2024
Topic of the Month: How long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
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White papersU.S. election: Policy and positioning
Heading into a contentious U.S. election season, investors need to avoid the noise and remain focused on the factors that will drive markets in the period ahead, including U.S. trade policy (particularly with China), geopolitics (particularly any impact on oil markets), and fiscal deficit management (given the CBO projection that the U.S. budget deficit is set to rise to 122.4% of GDP by 2034).
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White papers2024 U.S. election: The importance of staying invested
It can be easy for investors to let their political persuasions impact their long-term financial judgment. However, allowing the outcomes of elections, particularly ones as polarized as what investors are facing this fall, to trigger an adjustment to portfolio allocations or even a withdrawal from markets entirely, has historically ...
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe perfect storm: Deglobalisation’s headwinds
Globalisation - the rising interconnection of the world’s economies and populations, driven by international trade in technology, services, goods as well as the flow of investment and information - is facing at least five different head winds. Let me discuss them in turn and indicate how I believe they could be tackled.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – H2 24 Outlook – It’s all about confidence
A lot has happened in global economies, markets and geopolitics in the last six months. This outlook special looks back at what has happened in 2024 to date, how this has impacted markets, and what we should expect for the second half of the year. Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, discuss why they think the current environment really is “all about confidence”.
