All Commentary articles – Page 5
-
White papersCan AI continue to power U.S. exceptionalism?
As AI demand drives technology stocks to record highs, investors question whether extraordinary capital spending will deliver sustainable returns and if the Magnificent 7’s market dominance can continue. Discover why U.S. tech leadership may face new challenges, how market concentration creates both opportunities and risks, and what the competitive threat from emerging markets like China means for long-term investment strategy.
-
White papersOil and gas: The case for higher returns
Oil and gas companies have historically delivered modest returns despite a favorable environment – averaging just 10% over 30 years. Now, rising political volatility, climate litigation, and competition from clean technologies have increased the risks for the sector. Yet, companies are targeting the same returns. Investors must demand more.
-
White papersPlatform wars: How competition could reshape China’s gig worker economy
China’s vast army of gig workers is the backbone of the country’s digital economy, powering consumption and logistics infrastructure. Despite offering flexibility and opportunity, the gig economy also presents challenges such as weak labour protection and income insecurity.
-
White papersConstructing the Future: Building Resilient Portfolios With Infrastructure
Private infrastructure stands out in an uncertain world.
-
White papersA 20,000-Foot Perspective: Can Bonds and Equities Both be Right?
The combination of stagflation concerns from macro data and robust corporate earnings in the last week have helped bolster the case for a striking gap between fixed income and equity premia persisting, highlighting the complex and finely balanced growth outlook.
-
PodcastA World of Opportunity in the Space Economy
The space economy is quickly moving from science fiction to investable reality, reshaping industries far beyond rockets and satellites. But with hype and misconceptions clouding the landscape, how can investors separate signal from noise and identify the true drivers of value in this rapidly expanding market?
-
White papersMacro brief: Tariff clarity for Japan but political uncertainty remains
Japan watchers have seen the country strike a solid trade deal with the US in recent weeks, bringing much-needed certainty to a country still dependent on nascent reflation. At the same time, however, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)/Komeito coalition’s failure to secure a majority in Upper House elections has intensified calls for new political leadership.
-
White papers“US(D) exceptionalism” is not going away
Although equity investors have been adjusting their regional allocations away from the US dollar in recent months, there is little sign this is happening in bond markets, where yields remain high and alternatives to the dollar are limited.
-
White papersAsset Class Returns H1 2025
Improved growth/inflation mix: Our long-term model assumptions anticipate a fragmented and even more delayed energy transition, incorporating secular trends and uncertainties that impact price dynamics and volatility. Compared to last year, the growth/inflation outlook appears less penalised by a restrictive regulatory framework around the energy transition, but the uncertainty around inflation has increased.
-
White papersCross-border capital investment across global commercial real estate markets
While the majority of global real estate transactions in the most liquid real estate markets are by domestic investors, cross-border capital flows where the capital source isn’t the same country as the asset purchased, are also significant. Due to the recent shift in US tariff policy, cross-border investments into the US are being delayed or deferred. Since the US is the largest global commercial real estate (CRE) market, accounting for 38% of global transaction activity in the past 10 years, if capital flows are reallocated away from the US, how might this impact other key global real estate markets? (We also look at the implications on US commercial real estate liquidity and pricing in our companion piece, “Cross-border capital investment in U.S. commercial real estate”.)
-
White papersEuropean real estate market commentary: July 2025
The Eurozone economy has shown resilience, but the outlook is clouded by geopolitical risks and fragile sentiment. Real estate markets remain supported by tight supply and there are immediate opportunities following the market correction, although negative sentiment currently weighs on activity.
-
White papersMid-year investment update – Through the rapids
Markets have faced no shortage of challenges over the last quarter, most notably the threat of US import tariffs after ‘Liberation Day’, but also the prospect of a surge in oil prices stemming from the conflict in the Middle East and a sell-off in US Treasury yields following an expansionary budget bill in the US.
-
White papersUK real estate market commentary: July 2025
The UK economy continues its slow and uneven recovery in the face of fiscal challenges, uncertainty over geopolitical events and shifting global trade policy, while the UK real estate market continues its own uneven recovery following a significant correction.
-
White papersHealthcare Pipelines and Paychecks: A Formula for Assessing Executive Pay
Our research suggests that firms with sound executive pay practices yield healthier returns.
-
White papersWhy security is a durable investment theme
Against a backdrop of war in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as a global trade war, nations are redefining their relationships with allies, rivals and trading partners to bolster their national security.
-
White papersRenewed threats to the Fed’s independence
Political pressure now threatens the Fed’s operational independence, prompting sharp market reactions—including a surge in long-term yields, a weaker dollar, and elevated volatility—which underscores the crucial role of central bank autonomy in maintaining market confidence and stability.
-
PodcastFrom Forecasts to Facts: Revisiting 2025’s Investment Themes
With 2025 marked by heightened uncertainty, shifting fiscal policies, and volatile market swings, investors are eager to understand which trends have held up—and which have not. As we cross the year’s midpoint, Neuberger Berman’s senior investment leaders reconvene to assess the predictions made in our annual “Solving for 2025” outlook.
-
Research ReportPrivate Insights #8 - Navigating the Trade Tariffs Conundrum
“Over the past 25 years, Mapletree has built up a geographically diversified, multi-sector real estate portfolio with strong on-the-ground presence, which positions us well to ride out current macroeconomic volatility. Our quality asset base, operational efficiency and financial discipline provide the resilience and adaptability needed in today’s markets, amid rapidly evolving dynamics due to trade tariffs and shifts in tenantneeds and preferences.” - Mr Hiew Yoon Khong, Group CEO
-
White papersGlobal Risks 2025 Midyear Update
In our Global Risks 2025 Midyear Update, our Macro Strategy team outlines four key topics that could shape investment conditions ahead—from tariffs and trade tensions to monetary policy shifts and the U.S.-China relationship. The update provides key macroeconomic forecasts across the U.S., Eurozone, UK, Japan and China—plus timely insights on fiscal stimulus, inflation risks and geopolitical fragilities.
-
White papersChina’s growth set to hit target in 2025
“Resilient China’s growth highlights the economy’s ongoing efforts to adjust trade partnerships and manage tariff-related challenges, keeping it on track to reach its growth target for 2025.”
