All Commentary articles – Page 5
-
White papersMacro market monitor
The Macro Dashboard provides a quantitative snapshot of the state of the U.S. economy and markets. With a consistent scorecard, investment committees can use this tool to evaluate periodic changes in conditions, prioritize research and drive dialogue that ultimately results in better informed portfolio strategy.
-
White papersUS 2024 presidential election: The potential global impact
Before the summer we reviewed the upcoming presidential election and its likely impact on the US economy. At that time, President Joe Biden had just bowed out of the race and been replaced by Vice President Kamala Harris. Former President Donald Trump initially led Harris by a modest amount in overall polling approvals, though by less than he had led Biden. Since then, Harris has seen an improvement in ratings. Rising from a deficit of 1.7 points, she now leads Trump by 2 points.
-
White papersUN antimicrobial resistance meeting to tackle superbugs
With the UN General Assembly High Level Meeting on antimicrobial resistance (AMR) taking place in New York in September, Ming Yang highlights the growing threat of superbugs, and explains how we engage with companies on this topic.
-
White papersFed’s 50 bp Cut Kickstarts Recalibration
In one of the more anticipated FOMC meetings in recent memory, the Federal Reserve kicked its easing cycle off with a 50-basis point cut which marks the recalibration of U.S. monetary policy.
-
PodcastConnecting the Dots: Misconceptions and opportunities in ABS
A misconception that asset-backed securities (ABS) is largely the experience that the US subprime market went through during the global financial crisis still exists. In this episode, Matt Wardle and Harry Bullamore dispel the misconceptions around ABS which, once cleared, pave the way for investors to allocate to it, consider the uniquely defensive aspects of the asset class and where it sits from an overall portfolio construction perspective.
-
PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Back to reality
This August financial markets went on a rollercoaster ride. Stock markets started the month with huge declines and soaring volatility, before recovering towards month end. What lessons should investors take away from this summer’s events, as the market jitters continue into September?
-
White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 5 September 2024
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2024
Topic of the Month - The JPY carry trade: what’s next?
-
White papersGlobal Equity ESG, H1 2024 Report
To make ESG investing truly effective, investors must integrate high-quality data into the investment process. For our Global Equity ESG team, the EU’s Principal Adverse Indicators (PAIs) are a useful tool to support portfolio analysis and direct engagement with companies.
-
White papersThe JPY carry trade: what’s next?
A series of weak US data in July questioned the market narrative of a soft landing and brought back fears of recession. This was the main trigger, although a hawkish surprise from the BoJ undoubtedly added fuel to what turned out to be an unusually sharp unwinding of carry trades funded in JPY. The amount of exposure of these carry trades was at an all-time high due to the low level of overall market volatility and the volatility of the JPY itself. So is it over?
-
White papersAddressing climate impacts and nature loss through real assets
The effects of climate change are a megatrend on a global scale, influencing the expected risk-return profile of real assets investments and the opportunity set for investors. The increasing frequency and severity of physical climate hazards, as well as nature loss resulting from changing ecosystems requires new ways of thinking about financial risk and return in real assets investments.
-
White papersThe rise of semi-liquid secondaries funds
The secondary market in private equity consists of transactions where investors buy and sell existing private equity fund interests. In the first half of 2024, the global secondaries market had an estimated volume of USD 68 billion, which represents a 58% increase on the previous year’s 1H volume of USD 43 billion. The market can be broadly categorized into two main segments: GP-led secondaries and LP-led secondaries.
-
Asset Manager NewsHines Opens World-Class European Headquarters in Covent Garden
Once a 19th Century Seed Warehouse, Grainhouse Has Been Transformed to Create a New European Headquarters for Hines in the Heart of London, Comprising Next-Generation Office and Retail Space
-
White papersThe U.S. Election and Energy: More Than Meets the Eye
The presidential candidates have well-known policy profiles on energy, but how could they translate in the real world? The Biden-Harris administration has staked much of its political capital on the energy transition—curbing carbon emissions and encouraging the use of electric cars and renewable energy—while former President Donald Trump is known for his support of the fossil fuel industry and streamlining energy regulation.
-
White papersBalance Is Critical for the Obstacles Ahead
Rising inflation may be behind us, but now a nervous market parses every data release for signs of recession. Regular readers know that, in early September, I hear the starting gun for the race to the end of the year. As we get back to our desks after summer breaks, focus turns to end-of-year portfolio results, and calendars fill to review the year’s achievements, lessons and progress, and to begin peering into the year to come.
-
White papersUS election debate generates more political than policy buzz
The first debate between the two candidates running in the U.S. presidential race was a fractious exchange that shed little new light on policy details but is likely to be politically consequential.
-
White papersArtificial Intelligence Insights
Artificial Intelligence (AI): what was once just a buzzword, is now reshaping industries and creating an environment ripe with investment opportunities. This transformative force is driving efficiency and innovation across industries and sectors, including real estate. We think AI has the potential to enhance investment processes and add diversity to investment strategies. Asset managers who strategically integrate AI into their operations can gain a competitive edge, and risk falling behind if they don’t.
-
PodcastNew Growth Ideas in Asia
Our portfolio managers share their key insights from recent research visits to Taiwan and South Korea. They also discuss new growth ideas in Asia in anticipation of U.S. interest rate cuts, persistent market weakness in China, and high valuations in India.
-
White papersRally broadening is underway
A mild US economic deceleration, interest rate cuts by the Fed and an improving earnings profile could further support the broadening of the rally outside the expensive US technology names.
-
White papersTime to get active: Finding opportunities in emerging-market debt
Emerging markets have remained robust amid the economic and political uncertainties of 2024, but active management will be important if debt investors are to identify standout performers over the coming months.
