All Commentary articles – Page 6
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White papersTariff fallout milder than feared, for now
In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2%. Global trade and financial conditions have proven resilient, helped by trade deals between the US and some of its trading partners. We believe the global trading system is bruised but not broken: roughly 70% of trade is flowing as before. An artificial intelligence–driven (AI) productivity upswing has also supported prospects for global growth.
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White papersInvesting in unstoppable trends
Early in my career as an equity analyst covering newspapers and the Internet, I learned a valuable lesson.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 4Q 2025
In spite of concerns about AI-related valuations, we believe a strong economy—with monetary stimulus in the pipeline and still more to come—has set the stage for stronger equity performance in 2026.
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White papersAmerica First policies: What are the global implications?
Through its tariff policy, the US administration is attempting to correct fundamental trade imbalances with the rest of the world. The US has the largest current account deficit globally, while countries such as China, Germany, and Japan boast meaningful surpluses.
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White papersHow much could AI drive future productivity?
It goes without saying that the US has been a dominant force in the global economy. The structural foundations of its long-term economic growth included a winning combination of superior productivity, a culture of innovation and risk-taking, and a stable, predictable regulatory framework.
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White papersAn introduction to back leverage in real estate debt funds
Back leverage has become an increasingly common feature of real estate debt (or “RED”) fund strategies, enabling funds to expand their lending capacity, participate in a wider range of investment opportunities and drive enhanced returns for investors.
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White papersIn conversation with Daniel Sachs
Daniel Sachs is an established figure within the Swedish investment community. For the last 20 years, Daniel has led P Capital Partners (PCP), a provider of private credit solutions to entrepreneurs and family-owned businesses. With M&G Investments recently acquiring a majority stake in this business, Daniel spoke with Simon Sharp about his business career and why he thinks the opportunities within non-sponsored private credit are only set to accelerate.
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White papersFrom electrons to photons: The next great compute transition
Computing has evolved through significant shifts in the medium and mechanisms of processing information, leading to transformative impacts on industries and economies. Carl Vine, Co-Head of Asia Pacific Equities, argues that another such change is happening now, with the use of photons. He explores what the transition from electrons to photons might mean for today’s dominant technology firms and who could win in the new photonics age.
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White papersHome away from home? Europe and APAC living sectors’ appeal amid US uncertainty
Amid economic fluctuations and fraying geopolitical ties, investors are reassessing their reliance on US assets. The unfolding ‘great rotation’ shifts attention toward Europe and Asia-Pacific, where the resilient residential or ‘living’ sectors within the real estate market present appealing returns in uncertain times. With secular tailwinds in housing supply and student mobility, Noura Tan asks, can these markets lead the way toward future growth?
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White papersEXPO REAL 2025
Dave White recently spoke with Commercial Real Estate Media Europe when attending EXPO REAL 2025 about several key factors shaping real estate debt markets right now.
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White papersU.S.-China trade tensions: From complacency to concern
From complacency to concern: Recent escalations in tariffs and export controls between the U.S. and China have jolted market complacency, bringing trade risk back into focus as a potential headwind for growth and tech-heavy portfolios.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2025
Topic of the month - Gold beyond records
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White papersBuilding the future: Advances in AI infrastructure for autonomous agents
The evolution of AI infrastructure for autonomous agents is reminiscent of the transformative impact that Transmission Control Protocols (TCPs) and other foundational protocols had on the early internet. Just as TCP/IP provided the essential framework for reliable data transmission and communication across diverse networks, modern AI infrastructure is laying the groundwork for autonomous agents to operate seamlessly and efficiently in complex environments.
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White papersBond markets prove resilient amid systemic shifts
The U.S. economy has undergone major changes in 2025, including stimulative fiscal policy, tariff uncertainty, declining labor force growth and increased AI adoption. These systemic shifts create both opportunities and challenges, accompanied by significant uncertainty. Despite this fluid environment, fixed income markets have delivered strong performance across all major sectors, with many exceeding 6% year-to-date returns. Active management and diversified portfolios with moderate risk posture, emphasizing higher-yielding sectors, may help capitalize on historically attractive yields and emerging opportunities while navigating tremendous change.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q4 2025
The recent flurry of AI deals, creating increasing interdependencies among some of the world’s largest AI players, is bringing back memories of the dot.com bubble. The key question in investors’ minds is whether we are now facing an AI bubble. The second derivative of the same question is whether we have reached a peak in equity markets overall, after a remarkable run. In our opinion, as is often the case, the answer’s not straightforward.
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White papersJapanese politics: Brinkmanship or break-up?
The Komeito Party’s announcement of its withdrawal from its 25-year coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has caused political uncertainty in Japan. Carl Vine, Co-Head of Asia Pacific Equities, explores historical precedents and considers the potential political and market implications of this split.
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White papersCapital Market Assumptions
Why a new economic regime calls for a reassessment of risk and rewards
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White papersThe rise of Green Loans in European real estate debt
While European real estate lending volumes have been relatively subdued in recent years due to a slowdown in transaction activity, green lending has emerged as a notable exception to this trend.
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White papersWhat’s the Fed watching in CRE? (September Minutes Update)
U.S. commercial real estate remains under the Fed’s watch as delinquency rates rise in CMBS loans, but liquidity across CRE credit markets stays broadly stable, supported by disciplined lending and resilient fundamentals.
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White papersAI In Investment Management: The Advancement Of Learning
At Amundi, we have previously explored NLP approaches but were disappointed by their instability - small changes in input words or word order often led to significant shifts in interpretation.
