All Commentary articles – Page 11
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White papersU.S. Federal Reserve policy decision: securing a soft landing
The Fed’s aggressive 50 basis point rate cut, while unconventional, reflects a proactive approach to stave off any potential economic weakness. Despite associations of such large cuts with crises, today’s economic backdrop remains resilient. With recession risks receding and a favorable historical pattern during non-recessionary rate cutting periods, investors have reasons to remain cautiously optimistic about the market’s near-term outlook.
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White papersAll to Play for in 2024
In this PDI Q&A, Bryan High discusses the trends and dynamics likely to shape direct lending through the remainder of 2024.
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White papersHigh Yield: Scaling the Maturity Wall
The maturity wall facing high yield bond issuers has garnered much attention. But given the market’s short duration profile, lower prices and higher-quality relative to history, the reality facing issuers is less daunting.
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White papersThe Fifth Stage of Pocketbook Grief
Economic data has been resilient, but everyone seems unhappy—will the consumer cheer up in time to avoid triggering a recession?
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White papersTechnology Runs Through Asia
Across the “Golden Triangle” and beyond, Asian companies are forming a foundation for global technological growth and development.
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White papersMacro market monitor
The Macro Dashboard provides a quantitative snapshot of the state of the U.S. economy and markets. With a consistent scorecard, investment committees can use this tool to evaluate periodic changes in conditions, prioritize research and drive dialogue that ultimately results in better informed portfolio strategy.
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White papersUS 2024 presidential election: The potential global impact
Before the summer we reviewed the upcoming presidential election and its likely impact on the US economy. At that time, President Joe Biden had just bowed out of the race and been replaced by Vice President Kamala Harris. Former President Donald Trump initially led Harris by a modest amount in overall polling approvals, though by less than he had led Biden. Since then, Harris has seen an improvement in ratings. Rising from a deficit of 1.7 points, she now leads Trump by 2 points.
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White papersUN antimicrobial resistance meeting to tackle superbugs
With the UN General Assembly High Level Meeting on antimicrobial resistance (AMR) taking place in New York in September, Ming Yang highlights the growing threat of superbugs, and explains how we engage with companies on this topic.
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White papersFed’s 50 bp Cut Kickstarts Recalibration
In one of the more anticipated FOMC meetings in recent memory, the Federal Reserve kicked its easing cycle off with a 50-basis point cut which marks the recalibration of U.S. monetary policy.
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PodcastConnecting the Dots: Misconceptions and opportunities in ABS
A misconception that asset-backed securities (ABS) is largely the experience that the US subprime market went through during the global financial crisis still exists. In this episode, Matt Wardle and Harry Bullamore dispel the misconceptions around ABS which, once cleared, pave the way for investors to allocate to it, consider the uniquely defensive aspects of the asset class and where it sits from an overall portfolio construction perspective.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Back to reality
This August financial markets went on a rollercoaster ride. Stock markets started the month with huge declines and soaring volatility, before recovering towards month end. What lessons should investors take away from this summer’s events, as the market jitters continue into September?
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 5 September 2024
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2024
Topic of the Month - The JPY carry trade: what’s next?
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White papersGlobal Equity ESG, H1 2024 Report
To make ESG investing truly effective, investors must integrate high-quality data into the investment process. For our Global Equity ESG team, the EU’s Principal Adverse Indicators (PAIs) are a useful tool to support portfolio analysis and direct engagement with companies.
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White papersThe JPY carry trade: what’s next?
A series of weak US data in July questioned the market narrative of a soft landing and brought back fears of recession. This was the main trigger, although a hawkish surprise from the BoJ undoubtedly added fuel to what turned out to be an unusually sharp unwinding of carry trades funded in JPY. The amount of exposure of these carry trades was at an all-time high due to the low level of overall market volatility and the volatility of the JPY itself. So is it over?
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White papersAddressing climate impacts and nature loss through real assets
The effects of climate change are a megatrend on a global scale, influencing the expected risk-return profile of real assets investments and the opportunity set for investors. The increasing frequency and severity of physical climate hazards, as well as nature loss resulting from changing ecosystems requires new ways of thinking about financial risk and return in real assets investments.
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White papersAddressing climate impacts and nature loss through real assets
The effects of climate change are a megatrend on a global scale, influencing the expected risk-return profile of real assets investments and the opportunity set for investors. The increasing frequency and severity of physical climate hazards, as well as nature loss resulting from changing ecosystems requires new ways of thinking about financial risk and return in real assets investments.
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White papersThe rise of semi-liquid secondaries funds
The secondary market in private equity consists of transactions where investors buy and sell existing private equity fund interests. In the first half of 2024, the global secondaries market had an estimated volume of USD 68 billion, which represents a 58% increase on the previous year’s 1H volume of USD 43 billion. The market can be broadly categorized into two main segments: GP-led secondaries and LP-led secondaries.
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Asset Manager NewsHines Opens World-Class European Headquarters in Covent Garden
Once a 19th Century Seed Warehouse, Grainhouse Has Been Transformed to Create a New European Headquarters for Hines in the Heart of London, Comprising Next-Generation Office and Retail Space
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White papersThe U.S. Election and Energy: More Than Meets the Eye
The presidential candidates have well-known policy profiles on energy, but how could they translate in the real world? The Biden-Harris administration has staked much of its political capital on the energy transition—curbing carbon emissions and encouraging the use of electric cars and renewable energy—while former President Donald Trump is known for his support of the fossil fuel industry and streamlining energy regulation.
