All Inflation articles
-
White papersTensions flare amid fragile ceasefire
Tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced, underscoring the “fragile” nature of the recent de-escalation. The latest round of attacks may be tied to Iran’s effort to preserve its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Trump may become more willing to escalate tensions while oil prices remain subdued. Still, both sides have reasons to remain at the negotiation table, as the US approaches midterm elections and Iran would benefit from economic relief.
-
White papersThe Search for Growth
The U.S. economy approaches midyear facing an old-fashioned potential macroeconomic spoiler: an energy price shock.
-
White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2026
Markets are refocusing on fundamentals as geopolitical noise fades. This Q3 2026 outlook highlights resilient growth, persistent inflation and opportunities in high-quality sectors. Discover where disciplined, income-focused investors can find value.
-
White papers2026 Midyear Investment Outlook
Capital Group’s 2026 Midyear Outlook report delves into many market-driving issues, including conflict, the AI rollout, inflation, high oil prices and the US midterms. It also identifies key equity and fixed income investment themes. Here we offer an overview of the opportunities as we see them. Be sure to download the full report for a deeper dive.
-
White papers2026 Mid-year update: Inside Real Estate Outlook
Amid geopolitical volatility and shifting macro crosscurrents, the CRE recovery is intact - but uneven, with wider dispersion than headlines reveal. This creates a market that is ripe for alpha discovery through careful property, market, and fund selection.
-
White papersCIO Weekly: U.S.-Iran Deal—Key Questions for Markets
The U.S.-Iran deal and possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have brought some relief to markets and policymakers, but it’s not a resolution and important questions remain.
-
White papersA Sea Change for Commodity Prices: Why Markets appear to be Underpricing El Niño Risks
As El Niño’s return threatens to add food price inflation to existing supply disruptions, we see a strong case for investors to increase commodity allocations.
-
WebinarInvitation | 2026 Amundi’s Mid-Year Outlook: Power of endurance
Monday, 29th June 2026 - 09:00 am BST | 10:00 am CEST | 16:00 pm HKT
-
White papersJune FOMC meeting: A new era for the Fed
At its June meeting, Kevin Warsh’s first as chair, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting.
-
White papersThe growing role of capex in inflation dynamics
Last week’s inflation report, and expectations of a U.S.-Iran agreement, have eased inflation concerns. However, the inflation outlook is not defined by oil dynamics alone. AI capex, combined with rising global expenditures on defense and energy security, is reinforcing demand for commodities, suggesting a durable capex cycle could lift producer costs and put upward pressure on inflation in the near term. Against this backdrop, investors can seek thematic exposure while building resilience against inflation.
-
White papersPatience required: The Fed holds as inflation lingers
The Federal Reserve held rates steady in June but sent a clear hawkish signal, with nearly half of committee members now projecting a rate hike this year. Nuveen’s latest macro update breaks down what the Fed’s shift means for growth, inflation, and your clients’ portfolios, including where we see compelling opportunities in non-U.S. equities, small caps, municipal bonds, and senior loans. With markets at a pivotal moment, explore the full report to understand what the changing rate landscape could mean for portfolio positioning going forward.
-
White papersECB raises rates after almost three years
“Although the ECB raised rates amid concerns that inflation will remain above target in the near term, we do not expect it to embark on a full tightening cycle. Nonetheless, the ECB would remain highly attentive to energy prices, and pressures on domestic demand.”
-
White papersCIO Weekly: Can the U.S. Consumer’s Resilience Last?
With so much in geopolitics and markets to be distracted by, the importance of the U.S. consumer can be easily overlooked. In our view, it’s time the consumer came back into focus.
-
White papersReasons to consider adding Real Estate Debt to your portfolio
We recommended carrying a real estate debt (RED) umbrella as it has the potential to help shelter your portfolio during investment storms. But what are some of the key factors for institutional investors to consider when adding real estate debt to their portfolios?
-
White papersThe intelligence dividend: what AI means for portfolios
The AI investment boom is reshaping capital markets at a historic pace, but its effects on growth, inflation, and employment are far more nuanced than the headlines suggest. Nuveen’s latest research cuts through the noise, examining what the data actually shows about AI’s productivity payoff, its surprisingly complex inflation footprint, and what it all means for portfolio positioning today. Explore the full paper to see where the opportunities and risks may lie in navigating this evolving landscape.
-
White papersCan the Eurozone Tolerate Higher Rates for Long?
The market is pricing in higher euro rates through 2031. But can the region’s economy take them?
-
White papersMacro outlook: Growth hinges on Iran war, AI rollout
Global economic growth is coming under pressure due to the Iran war, rising oil prices and ongoing trade disputes, but one powerful engine is more than making up for it: AI-related investment spending.
-
White papersFarmland: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
As energy prices ripple through global agriculture, investors are questioning farmland’s resilience. Dan Murray, Head of Farmland, cuts through the noise, explaining why rising input costs may test farmers in the short term, but need not derail the long-term strength and value of well-structured farmland investments.
-
White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
-
White papersPrivate equity: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Private equity returns had a strong quarter, with steady fundamental performance during a turbulent 1H26 that contained several surprises. Artificial intelligence (AI) fears weighed on software valuations in private equity (PE) portfolios, as funds scrambled to assess the threat of AI to business models. Public software valuations continue to face pressure in AI‑exposed segments, although the market is becoming more perceptive to business model differences. This repricing in public markets increases the risk of delayed spillover effects on private software valuations.
