All Inflation articles
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White papersFour for fixed income: The themes driving bond markets
Many investors entered 2026 expecting slower growth, cooling inflation, and eventual Federal Reserve rate cuts. Instead, markets have faced a more complicated reality, with geopolitical tensions rising, oil prices moving higher, rates backing up, and investors pricing a meaningful probability of additional Fed tightening. Yet the U.S. economy remains resilient, inflation has generally improved, and productivity gains driven by technology and AI continue to support growth.
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White papersFed on hold, markets in action
“As the Fed moves to reduce policy guidance, uncertainty over the short-rate path is likely to rise, creating additional volatility along the yield curve”
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VideoHow could inflation and AI shape fixed income markets?
Inflation remains an important consideration for fixed income investors, although the outlook may differ over the short and longer term. Supply pressures and investment in artificial intelligence (AI) could add to inflation in the near term, while productivity gains from AI could contribute to a more disinflationary environment over time.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook 3Q 2026: Looking to the Data When Visibility Is Low
Diverging economic growth and less visibility on policy are creating opportunities in fixed income rates and credit.
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White papersEmerging Market Debt: Established resilience
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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White papersGlobal Sovereign Bonds: Watching the new Fed Chair
This article is part of the Fixed Income Quarterly Outlook for Q3 2026, covering Emerging Market Debt, Euro Credit, Euro High Yield, Sovereign Bonds and US Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
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White papersSolving for 2026: Mid-Year Scorecard
At the halfway point of 2026, Neuberger’s investment leaders review the five key themes we identified heading into the year: what we got right, what we got wrong, and what to watch for going forward.
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White papersTensions flare amid fragile ceasefire
Tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced, underscoring the “fragile” nature of the recent de-escalation. The latest round of attacks may be tied to Iran’s effort to preserve its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Trump may become more willing to escalate tensions while oil prices remain subdued. Still, both sides have reasons to remain at the negotiation table, as the US approaches midterm elections and Iran would benefit from economic relief.
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White papersThe Search for Growth
The U.S. economy approaches midyear facing an old-fashioned potential macroeconomic spoiler: an energy price shock.
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White papersReimagining the opportunity: How Total Portfolio Approach could reshape multi asset investing
With traditional rules of thumb of investing becoming less reliable in an increasingly complex global landscape, how are investors tackling the new normal? Fabiana Fedeli, CIO Equities, Multi Asset and Sustainability, explores how large asset owners are increasingly moving towards a Total Portfolio Approach (TPA) and allocating more flexibly and dynamically across asset classes to achieve their investment objectives.
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White papersPortfolio construction in an inflationary era
We don’t expect a 2022-style inflation shock, but we recognise that 2026 is no longer a normal inflation environment. In this regime, bonds may be less reliable as an equity hedge and portfolio construction needs broader inflation protection: selective risk assets, carry over duration, real and private assets, commodities and gold.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2026
Markets are refocusing on fundamentals as geopolitical noise fades. This Q3 2026 outlook highlights resilient growth, persistent inflation and opportunities in high-quality sectors. Discover where disciplined, income-focused investors can find value.
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White papers2026 Midyear Investment Outlook
Capital Group’s 2026 Midyear Outlook report delves into many market-driving issues, including conflict, the AI rollout, inflation, high oil prices and the US midterms. It also identifies key equity and fixed income investment themes. Here we offer an overview of the opportunities as we see them. Be sure to download the full report for a deeper dive.
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White papers2026 Mid-year update: Inside Real Estate Outlook
Amid geopolitical volatility and shifting macro crosscurrents, the CRE recovery is intact - but uneven, with wider dispersion than headlines reveal. This creates a market that is ripe for alpha discovery through careful property, market, and fund selection.
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White papersCIO Weekly: U.S.-Iran Deal—Key Questions for Markets
The U.S.-Iran deal and possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have brought some relief to markets and policymakers, but it’s not a resolution and important questions remain.
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White papersBond Outlook: Strong yields offer upside as risks linger
Halfway through the year, bond markets are contending with the twists and turns of war in Iran, shifting labour market dynamics and heightened risks to economic growth.
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White papersA Sea Change for Commodity Prices: Why Markets appear to be Underpricing El Niño Risks
As El Niño’s return threatens to add food price inflation to existing supply disruptions, we see a strong case for investors to increase commodity allocations.
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WebinarInvitation | 2026 Amundi’s Mid-Year Outlook: Power of endurance
Monday, 29th June 2026 - 09:00 am BST | 10:00 am CEST | 16:00 pm HKT
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White papersJune FOMC meeting: A new era for the Fed
At its June meeting, Kevin Warsh’s first as chair, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting.
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White papersThe growing role of capex in inflation dynamics
Last week’s inflation report, and expectations of a U.S.-Iran agreement, have eased inflation concerns. However, the inflation outlook is not defined by oil dynamics alone. AI capex, combined with rising global expenditures on defense and energy security, is reinforcing demand for commodities, suggesting a durable capex cycle could lift producer costs and put upward pressure on inflation in the near term. Against this backdrop, investors can seek thematic exposure while building resilience against inflation.
