All Inflation articles
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White papersGold Market Commentary - Offsetting inflation and a stronger dollar kept gold little changed in November
Gold rose 2% in November based on the LBMA reference price, rallying early in the month before giving up most of those gains in the following weeks.1 Gold’s performance came against a backdrop of weaker equities and commodities, lower yields, and US dollar strength. The path of the gold price in November was marked by several key moves:
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White papers
Blog | Russell 1000 dodges the worst of the Omicron meltdown
The discovery of a new Covid-19 variant in late-November ratcheted up already high anxieties about renewed lockdowns across Europe, worsening inflation and central-bank tightening, triggering a panic sell off that left few of the world’s equity markets and stock sectors unscathed.
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White papers
Fed officials’ discomfort is growing with the inflation overshoot: why it will remain cautious
US consumer prices jumped by 6.2% in October, their highest level in 30 years! Deteriorating inflation data have pushed markets towards forecasting a faster pace of tapering and a more rapid removal of accommodation in 2022. We expect the Fed to act gradually as Covid remains a major risk and as the Fed would like to see a higher participation rate.
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Research Report
Real Estate Outlook – Edition 4: Inflation winds blowing
The economy slowed in the third quarter while inflation is proving higher and more persistent than originally expected.
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White papers
DB plans in their End Game in the post-pandemic era
An inopportune toxic confluence of three unrelated forces has badly undermined the finances of employer-sponsored defined benefit pension plans, in which employers bear most of the risks involved in providing decent retirement pensions to their employees.
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White papers
Growth, Inflation, and ESG: Economic Trends and Investment Themes for 2022 and Beyond
Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team recently brought together experts from across Franklin Templeton’s various investment groups for their third annual Investment Symposium event.
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Video
Macro Perspectives
In this short video, Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer of our Multi-Asset Class Platform discusses some of the macroeconomic themes we’ve identified and outlines the impact of these on our asset class views.
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White papers
2022 Public & Private Credit Market Outlook
Barings’ credit market experts weigh in on the future prospects for asset classes ranging from high yield and emerging markets debt to CLOs and private credit. From interest rates and inflation, to supply chains and COVID, the group discusses the risks and opportunities ahead.
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White papers
Risk and opportunity in Asia credit: Chinese property, regulatory shifts, inflation
We believe at the point of Evergrande default, the contagion are, less financial and more real economy in nature. This is because the overall exposure of the financial system to Evergrande from a top-down perspective is much more manageable albeit there are risks around selected financial institutions with higher exposures to Evergrande.
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Video
Solving for 2022
The heads of our investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipate will guide investment decisions in 2022.
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White papers
Macro Views: Central Bank Surprise is positive for the short term only
Central banks have returned to centre stage over the past few weeks as inflation expectations have continued to rise sharply and investors have started pricing in swifter adjustments to monetary policies.
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White papers
UK Equities: Attractive Relative Valuations, Despite Relatively Unattractive Macro Signals
While UK equities have faced a number of headwinds in 2021, there are reasons to be optimistic about the year ahead, according to Ben Russon and Will Bradwell of our Franklin UK Equity team.
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Podcast
The Investment Podcast: Is the inflation genie out of the bottle?
With higher inflation now a global phenomenon, the extent of its pick-up varies from country to country. David Parsons and Miles Tym from M&G Investments, explore the localised responses, whether Gen X will be Gen debt and above all – whether inflation is here to stay.
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White papers
Rising Yields Present a Familiar Challenge in a New Era
Bond yields are rising again, which suggests that investors are bracing themselves for higher inflation and rising interest rates. Interestingly, inflation protected government bonds have even outperformed high yield bonds over the past two years. This implies a sustained shift in the economic and market environment.
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White papers
Global real estate outlook - Finding value in a new era
Global economies are showing signs of recovery as people adapt to living alongside COVID-19, and attention is turning to what our post-pandemic world looks like. M&G’s latest Global Real Estate Outlook highlights the challenges and opportunities that real estate investors may need to consider.
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White papers
Is the U.K. the Newest Leading Indicator?
An upside surprise in U.K. inflation and improving employment trends reinforced markets pricing a 10–15 bps rate hike by the BoE in December, while energy prices eased following the announcements from China, which could provide downside pressure to market inflation expectations.
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White papers
2022 Investment Outlook - Investing in the great transformation
As the global economy recovers from its pandemic scars and inflation makes its first comeback in decades, the world is preparing to face its greatest ever challenges: the energy transition to fight the inexorable climate crisis and the development of an inclusive growth model.
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White papers
Growth or Value? For Active Managers It Can Be Both
In this Equity Markets, five of our equity teams offer their views that the traditional growth or value distinction for stocks based on index construction could be misleading.
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White papers
Allocation views: Which way next?
Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team comment on how inflationary pressures continue to build as markets wrestle with the easing of the pace of growth.
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White papers
Fed tapering begins: mission accomplished
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) appears to have struck a neutral balance in its November 3 meeting statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. The Fed was careful to differentiate the formal start to monthly tapering of the asset purchase programme with future adjustments to the Federal Funds Rate. The Fed maintained the transitory inflation language, but specifically pointed to inflation “factors that are expected to be transitory” rather than inflation as a whole.
