All Inflation articles
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White papers2026 Mid-year update: Inside Real Estate Outlook
Amid geopolitical volatility and shifting macro crosscurrents, the CRE recovery is intact - but uneven, with wider dispersion than headlines reveal. This creates a market that is ripe for alpha discovery through careful property, market, and fund selection.
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White papersCIO Weekly: U.S.-Iran Deal—Key Questions for Markets
The U.S.-Iran deal and possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have brought some relief to markets and policymakers, but it’s not a resolution and important questions remain.
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White papersA Sea Change for Commodity Prices: Why Markets appear to be Underpricing El Niño Risks
As El Niño’s return threatens to add food price inflation to existing supply disruptions, we see a strong case for investors to increase commodity allocations.
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WebinarInvitation | 2026 Amundi’s Mid-Year Outlook: Power of endurance
Monday, 29th June 2026 - 09:00 am BST | 10:00 am CEST | 16:00 pm HKT
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White papersECB raises rates after almost three years
“Although the ECB raised rates amid concerns that inflation will remain above target in the near term, we do not expect it to embark on a full tightening cycle. Nonetheless, the ECB would remain highly attentive to energy prices, and pressures on domestic demand.”
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White papersCIO Weekly: Can the U.S. Consumer’s Resilience Last?
With so much in geopolitics and markets to be distracted by, the importance of the U.S. consumer can be easily overlooked. In our view, it’s time the consumer came back into focus.
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White papersReasons to consider adding Real Estate Debt to your portfolio
We recommended carrying a real estate debt (RED) umbrella as it has the potential to help shelter your portfolio during investment storms. But what are some of the key factors for institutional investors to consider when adding real estate debt to their portfolios?
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White papersCan the Eurozone Tolerate Higher Rates for Long?
The market is pricing in higher euro rates through 2031. But can the region’s economy take them?
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White papersMacro outlook: Growth hinges on Iran war, AI rollout
Global economic growth is coming under pressure due to the Iran war, rising oil prices and ongoing trade disputes, but one powerful engine is more than making up for it: AI-related investment spending.
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White papersFarmland: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
As energy prices ripple through global agriculture, investors are questioning farmland’s resilience. Dan Murray, Head of Farmland, cuts through the noise, explaining why rising input costs may test farmers in the short term, but need not derail the long-term strength and value of well-structured farmland investments.
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White papersHedge funds: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
2Q26 outlook - The conflict in the Middle East and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz are shifting the global economy from a ‘goldilocks’ state (steady growth and falling inflation) towards stagflation (lower growth and rising inflation). The recent rebound in risk assets, albeit welcome, may prove short-lived; supply chain disruptions are underway as energy prices and shipping costs rise and global inventories are depleted.
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White papersPrivate equity: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Private equity returns had a strong quarter, with steady fundamental performance during a turbulent 1H26 that contained several surprises. Artificial intelligence (AI) fears weighed on software valuations in private equity (PE) portfolios, as funds scrambled to assess the threat of AI to business models. Public software valuations continue to face pressure in AI‑exposed segments, although the market is becoming more perceptive to business model differences. This repricing in public markets increases the risk of delayed spillover effects on private software valuations.
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White papersInfrastructure: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Renewables – leading the charge
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White papersMay CPI report: War impact remains contained, allowing the Fed to stay on hold
Today’s inflation report reflects ongoing price pressures tied to the Middle East conflict, though the impact remains relatively contained. Headline inflation, primarily driven by energy, rose 0.5% in May, as expected, lifting the annual rate to 4.2%, the highest in over three years. However, inflation concerns were eased by goods deflation and a lower-than-expected Core CPI reading of 0.2%. Even so, the fluid situation in the Middle East suggests the risk of higher energy prices for longer, along with second-round inflation impacts, persists.
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White papersInflation Squeezes Consumers and Producers Alike
Inflation isn’t just a headline, it’s spreading through the supply chain. Energy costs are lifting producer and import prices, increasing the risk of persistent inflation. Even if energy pressures ease, underlying inflationary momentum is likely to remain.
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White papersEconomic Update June 2026
Global markets are navigating an increasingly uneasy mix of geopolitical risk and shifting macro fundamentals. The escalation in the Middle East has reintroduced a stagflationary impulse via higher energy prices, yet risk appetite has remained resilient. Equities have pushed to new highs even as long‑end bond yields have climbed to multi‑decade levels, reflecting inflation, fiscal and policy uncertainty.
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White papersSupport Levels in Sovereign Debt Markets
Is the rise in major sovereign bond yields a temporary response to geopolitical tensions, or are markets settling into a new regime of higher rates?
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PodcastBond Market Volatility, Yield Curves & Equity Resilience - Investment views by Outerblue Convictions
Global markets are being shaped by a fast-moving geopolitical backdrop, with rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz adding to volatility across rates, credit and equities. In this episode of Outerblue Convictions, host Swaha Pattanaik speaks with Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, about how the team is interpreting the latest moves in macro and bond market volatility, and what this means for portfolio allocation.
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White papersEmerging Market Debt: Enduring Strength Outlook Holds
Emerging market debt enters the second half of 2026 on a solid footing, with local currency bonds favoured for yield, resilience, and valuation support.
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White papersDuration offers an opportunity as odds grow for Iran off-ramp
Inflation pressure, potential monetary tightening and the Iran conflict have pushed bond yields higher.
