All Fixed Income articles – Page 56
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White papersPotential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector
Despite the failure of a handful of banks in the US and one in Europe, our view is that 2023 will not present a financial crisis near the magnitude of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. The three failed US banks, Silvergate, Silicon Valley and Signature, had unique business models that proved to be meaningful weaknesses. They raised concerns about firms with close financial ties to small banks, particularly speculative technology and related stocks, such as cryptocurrencies, that unwound when they were caught in a bubble.
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White papers*The resilience and diversity of infrastructure debt*
For investors eyeing stable long-term income from a broad and diverse asset class, European infrastructure debt can be a resilient solution. It has been as robust in times of crisis – witness its performance during the pandemic – as it has been across economic cycles. What is its secret? Infrastructure provides services that are in demand whatever the economic climate.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - Second Quarter 2023
Besides inflation and tight monetary policy, a banking crisis has added to investor anxieties. The bank turmoil won’t likely be a drag to global financial markets. But it does argue for caution when combined with our broader expectations of a sustained period of below-trend growth.
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White papersAs Credit Goes, So Goes the Economy
Credit is the lifeblood of the economy, and the credit system just had a heart murmur.
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White papersState of the Market: A Turn for the Better, but Struggles Persist
In this piece from Private Debt Investor, Stuart Mathieson, Head of Investments in Barings’ Capital Solutions group, discusses the growing opportunity set for lenders who can provide financing solutions for companies facing market stress and volatility.
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White papersHigh Yield: Charting a Steady Course Through Roiling Seas
Banking stresses added volatility to first-quarter markets already coping with rising rates and recession fears. Still, with corporate fundamentals sound, high yield investors and issuers are more cautious than fearful.
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White papersA tale of two markets: Contrasting the fortunes of European and US High Yield
The European High Yield (HY) market has outperformed the US market over the last five, 10 and 20 years. We compare the trends in charts and ask: Will this continue and what are the main similarities and differences between the US and European markets?
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023
”The tightening in credit conditions should reduce core inflationary pressures, partly replacing the need for monetary policy action.”
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White papersFinancial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession
Recent stress in parts of the banking sector will raise funding costs and reduce lending to many sectors. Now we expect the US economy to shrink by - 1.1% in 2023, driven by a contraction in domestic demand. Eurozone growth should stagnate amid inflation remaining high.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2023
Financial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession.
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White papersSolving for the Climate Transition in High Yield
A holistic approach to climate considerations can offer an opportunity to invest in a diversified portfolio of high yield issuers that are committed to reducing or maintaining a low carbon footprint, while also targeting high current income and capital appreciation.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook: Getting a Grip in Slippery Markets
Market twists and turns challenged fixed-income investors in the first quarter, as markets responded to swings in economic and inflation data and central banks struggled to control the wheel. Then, in March, the collapse of two large commercial banks triggered a significant repricing of risk and sent markets into a skid. Below are our key takeaways, as well as strategies for gaining traction in uncertain conditions.
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White papersPrivate Credit: An All-Weather Asset Class
As private-credit markets continue to expand in size, choice and sophistication, we believe they should play an important role in well-diversified investment portfolios.
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White papersEmerging markets debt: Clouds of political uncertainty set to lift
After a positive start to 2023, emerging market debt investors should keep an eye on four key elections this year, which may create further opportunities in the asset class.
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White papersBanking woes take centre stage
We reflect on a tumultuous week in the banking sector as markets take stock of UBS’s bailout of Credit Suisse. Amid echoes of the past, our experts ask: is there more to come?
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White papersMarkets take a breath after a week of turmoil
Markets stepped back from the brink this week, following intense stress engulfing Credit Suisse and European banks.
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White papersSystematic Fixed-Income Investing Comes of Age
Bond investors have been challenged by heightened volatility and big drawdowns in the aftermath of the pandemic. In response, investors are increasingly seeking systematic strategies, which can generate active returns while mitigating risk and charging competitive fees. In this paper, we explore the principles, processes and benefits of a systematic fixed-income strategy, an investment approach whose time has come.
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White papersCrunch Time
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersEuropean market outlook: Clouds on the horizon
After a decade of ultra-loose monetary policy, we are starting to see the intended and unintended consequences of one of the most aggressive periods of monetary policy tightening in history.
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White papersHow vulnerable is EM debt to volatility spillovers?
At the beginning of the year, the three major factors driving emerging market (EM) debt were US financial conditions, the dollar and global growth. All three look likely to have been changed by the current shock to the banking sector.
