All Fixed Income articles – Page 58
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White papersValue Can Potentially Outperform Even if Growth Slows
We believe value is likely to outperform growth over the coming years—and threats to economic growth from inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks do not change our view.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: a lot of bad news already priced in, but the outlook is deteriorating
The second week of conflict in the Ukraine was marked by additional market volatility. Equities are down across the board. The demand for safe-haven assets temporarily pushed the 10-year Treasury down to 1.7% before it retraced to 1.9% amid rising inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, gold has remained well supported, briefly moving above $2000/ounce.
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White papersShort Duration High Yield: Replacing Rates Risk With Credit Risk
Short-duration high yield could be an under-explored option for investors who need current income to meet short-term liabilities, but cannot afford the interest rate risk that would accompany a search for yield in longer-dated bonds.
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White papersSenior Floating Rate Loans: A Low-Cost Hedge Against Inflation
Headline CPI inflation in the U.S. came in at 7.5% year-over-year in January 2022, its highest level since the mid-1980s. Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated, market participants held the view that the Federal Reserve was well behind the curve on rate hikes as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury reached a near-term peak of 2.05% on February 15.
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White papersCentral Banks on Deck to Fight Inflation
The ECB was owlish—carefully hawkish. It further reduced asset purchases for Q2 below the €40 billion previously announced and left completely open the pace of asset purchases for Q3. This leaves room for great flexibility: the ability to hike or not in Q4.
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White papersInvesting Through Climate Risk in Emerging Markets Debt
In this Q&A from the Nordic Fund Selection Journal, Kawtar Ed-Dahmani and Ashwinder Bakhshi discuss where they’re seeing the most material effects from climate change across emerging markets debt today—and what they’re anticipating going forward.
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White papersMonths When Decades Happen
Europe enters this dangerous period on solid footing. Unemployment is at record lows. Wage growth remains subdued. Russia’s war in Ukraine adds a strong inflation headwind to the ongoing expansion.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: an uncertain outcome calls for higher focus on liquidity
At the core of the crisis, Russian assets have become almost un-investible, with dramatic price action as the market attempts to grapple with uncertainty. European equities have suffered, anticipating the negative consequences of the war on corporate earnings, while also commodities trended higher with double digit rise across many commodities. A flight to safety move has benefited government bonds, with the US treasury yield and the Bund yield trending lower.
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White papersUninvestable Russia
We survey the impact on worldwide fixed income markets of the devastation in Ukraine and the sanctions against Russia, and send our thoughts to those in the heart of the conflict.
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White papersSpectrum, Q1 2022: The Great Rotation 2.0
Slower growth rates, tighter labour markets, higher inflation and normalising monetary policies provides the classic backdrop to a great rotation from growth to value stocks, as well as a change in fixed income strategy.
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White papersUK supermarkets: a sector in the eye of the storm
As the world slowly moves on from the pandemic, Eugenia Lara Armas, Credit Analyst, looks at how shifts in shopping habits will impact credit investors, with a focus on the UK supermarket sector.
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White papersThe Fog of War Clouds Economic Outlooks
The war in Ukraine continues to dominate market moves, leading to volatility in risk assets, and the safe haven bid is still in focus amid a stronger U.S. dollar and higher precious metal prices. Commodities are soaring, with BBG Commodity Index on track for the biggest gain since 1960.
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White papersPositioning Liquid Credit Portfolios For Rising Rates & Inflation
Martin Horne, Head of Global Public Fixed Income, discusses how to mitigate the risk of rising rates and inflation, touching on the potential benefits of floating rate assets and short-duration strategies.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2022
The geopolitical escalation at month’s end marks a further rise in volatility, even as the Fed and the ECB displayed hawkish overtures earlier. We suggest a more cautious stance in credit amid rising liquidity risks and a less appealing risk/return profile for credit compared with equity.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - March 2022
The Russia/Ukraine crisis is pushing the regime shift one step further with more severe economic implications for some regions, in this case Europe because of its energy dependence and geographic proximity.
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White papersThe evolution of the European mortgage market
Residential mortgage markets in the UK and Europe are undergoing a period of transformation as new funding models emerge and new players enter the mix, following in the footsteps of the Dutch mortgage market. Long-term institutional capital, in search of attractive returns and diversification potential, is playing an increasingly important role, with the entry of innovative, non-bank lending platforms helping to disrupt the status quo and create a more diversified lending landscape.
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White papersRussia’s Invasion: Eurozone Recovery Delayed but not Derailed
The economic impact of Russia’s invasion constitutes a clear negative supply shock for the euro area that creates a dilemma for policymakers. On the one hand, higher energy prices will hit economic activity, reduce confidence and damage trade and financial links. On the other hand, the conflict will raise inflation for firms and households.
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White papersVolatility, value and variants: 360°, Q1 2022
In this latest edition of 360°, Stephane Michel, Head of Fixed Income, Multi Asset Credit Solutions, and our team of specialist investors consider the likely shape of markets in a post-pandemic world.
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VideoCredit Pulse: market update – 25 February 2022
In this Credit Pulse, we use analysis from our February Credit Strategy Meeting (CSM) and discuss the challenges we see arising in the markets and how the expectations formed a few months ago are challenged in the present environment.
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White papersGauging the impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict on EM debt
The events that are unfolding in Ukraine are deeply upsetting and one cannot help but be affected by what we are reading and seeing in the news. Investing in the midst of a conflict can be difficult and bring out heightened emotions. In the context of these heightened emotions, it is helpful to stand back and assess the situation.
