All Fixed Income articles – Page 60
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - April 2023
“We are moving towards a more uncertain economic backdrop, with lower visibility on central bank actions. This calls for a prudent stance on risk assets.”
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White papersWhy the Post-Pandemic Economy Will Run Hot
As the U.S. Federal Reserve wrestles inflation lower, investors wonder increasingly if its traditional target still makes sense. Should policymakers really insist on driving inflation all the way down to 2%? Haven’t pandemic and war fundamentally altered global dynamics that drove rates ever lower? Isn’t this time … different?
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White papersA global assessment of the implications of recent banking sector developments
”Due to tightening financial conditions, we expect a weaker US economic outlook, and a less aggressive Fed: a small increase in rates is still on the cards and then a pause.”
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White papersWhat the banking sector turmoil means for tech, monetary policy and investors
Markets have experienced a wave of volatility in the wake of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and UBS’ takeover of Credit Suisse. Concerns have understandably risen over the health of the wider banking and technology sectors and some commentators have drawn comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis.
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White papersFrance: The pension reform puts politics under strain, but major instability unlikely
In the National Assembly (lower house), the centrist alliance Ensemble (Renaissance, Modem, Horizons) represents 250 deputies, which is not enough to obtain an absolute majority (287). The absolute majority (289 votes in normal circumstances) is currently 287 because four seats remain unfilled.
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White papers2023 U.S. investment grade credit supply: Will there be enough bonds to go around?
The U.S. investment grade credit (IG) market’s voracious appetite for bonds may not be fully satisfied in 2023. In 2022, feast or famine punctuated the $1.22 trillion supply, as nearly 50 days featured no issuance. Corporate borrowers glommed together and found strength in numbers when they issued debt, striking when the iron was hot.
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White papersECB increases rates: the job on inflation is not done yet, but expect a softer path
The European Central Bank raised its key policy interest rates by half a percentage point, lifting the deposit rate to 3.0%. However, it did not commit to future rate hikes, Lagarde stated that “it’s not possible to determine at this point in time the future path for rates”. ...
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White papersEuropean banking sector set to withstand Credit Suisse fragility
”The Credit Suisse turmoil appears to be driven by a crisis of confidence, with markets putting banks under scrutiny following the SVB failure.”
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White papersFurther concerns, or contagion? The latest on global market volatility
Over the past week, investors have had to digest U.S. banking failures and the threatened collapse of a major European bank. This stress has finally underscored the tensions between global central banks’ efforts to tame inflation and growing concerns that further policy tightening will spark a crisis. As we all follow the latest developments, it’s important to consider each of them in context.
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White papersNo systemic risk from SVB failure, but watch out for areas of vulnerability
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a commercial bank that specialises in serving start-ups in Silicon Valley, has been shut down by regulators.
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PodcastSheltering from volatility with real estate debt
Investors combing financial markets in search of safe passage amid rising interest rates and uncertainty over the direction of economies might want to look for a harbour in real estate debt. The essential nature of the services that property provides – first and foremost shelter – and the relatively inflexible demand for space that this entails both help give this asset class resilience.
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White papersReal estate debt: Seeking risk mitigation and return potential
Real estate debt continues to demonstrate relative resilience in these volatile times, in our view. Indeed, some three years on from the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic we believe the nature of the asset class continues to offer downside protection and attractive return potential.
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White papersJittery markets fear return of bigger rate rises
Markets have begun to price in a 50bps rate rise by the Fed in March but are awaiting key economic data which will reveal if the US economy has started to slow.
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White papersThe Road to Decarbonization Is Bumpy. Carbon Allowances Can Help.
The global pursuit to limit rising temperatures has bolstered carbon allowances markets. As these instruments flourish, they’ve become a distinct asset class that offers hedging and other benefits in a portfolio.
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White papersEuropean Private Loans Benefit from Credit Crunch
With Europe’s public debt markets tightening as its corporate borrowers seek to refinance, private lenders sense an opportunity.
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White papersWhat’s in Store for US Insurers in 2023?
Insurers’ risk controls and investment skills faced stiff tests in 2022, as both inflation and interest rates skyrocketed and nearly every asset class endured a sharp selloff. With traditional diversification approaches failing, investors had nowhere to hide.
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White papers10 investment themes for 2023
Although many investors are expecting a return to normal after inflation subsides and central banks stop raising interest rates, we believe markets are undergoing significant changes and it might be necessary to reset expectations in this new environment.
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White papersIs 2023 the year of value-add?
These are, it has to be said, dramatic times. No sooner than most of the world was starting to emerge from the long shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic, it was confronted with another crisis.
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White papersUkraine: one year on but no end in sight
After 12 months of fighting further action is needed from the west to prevent a balance-of-payments crisis and to support the reconstruction costs faced by Ukraine
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White papersNew data hints rate hiking is far from over
Plans for the European Central Bank (ECB) to continue to hike interest rates gain momentum following better-than-expected economic data releases.
