All Fixed Income articles – Page 61
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White papersEliminating the Improbable
With a fresh surge of inflation increasingly unlikely, the market outlook is far better than it was a year ago.
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White papersNon-Investment Grade Defaults: Up From the Lows, but Contained
With defaults rising off of all-time lows, but likely remaining well below recession norms, we remain constructive on high yield and non-investment grade credit.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: What does good ESG in ABS look like?
The evolution and implementation of ESG across asset classes has not been homogenous. While there is a development of good outputs for corporates and equities, there has been less of a focus on ABS. This episode considers how ESG in ABS differs and asks: What does good look like?
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White papersWhy Securitized & Why Now: $12.5 Trillion Market Goes on Sale
Today’s securitized market presents a rare opportunity to add diversification via an asset class with the potential to provide defensive opportunities with outsized returns.
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VideoThe Credit Call: strategies update, February 2023
Fraser Lundie, CFA, Head of Fixed Income – Public Markets, Orla Garvey, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager and Anna Chong, Deputy Head of Corporate Credit Research provide an update on the current opportunity set and why current market conditions bode well for credit investors in 2023.
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White papersFixed Income Themes for 2023: The Return Of Market Discipline
We think the next 12 months are likely to see this cycle’s peaks in inflation, policy tightening, bond yields and market volatility; and troughs in GDP growth, earnings growth and market valuations. But don’t see the pendulum swinging back to the post-2008 “new normal”.
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White papersCentral Banks Tighten, Markets Loosen
While some pessimism has lifted from central bank messaging, we still think the market may be hearing only what it wants to hear.
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White papersInsurance Asset Allocation in the New Regime
After a year in which fixed income yields and capital market assumptions adjusted dramatically to a new regime, we believe it’s an opportune time to re-think insurance asset allocation.
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White papersThe More Things Change
Has recent strong data changed the fundamental economic and market outlook, or just the timeline?
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White papersItaly: where prudence meets potential
Italy’s large dependence on Russian gas and other commodity imports left it vulnerable to the war in Ukraine.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2023
We revise the probabilities of our alternative scenarios. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced in, especially by equity markets.
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White papersWhy and what if inflation falls faster than expected?
”As fiscal support should wane, this could lead to lower inflation pressures in the second half of 2023 and to a faster decline in inflation”
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White papersChina’s Reopening Bodes Well for Asian Fixed-Income Markets
Markets have responded warmly to China’s easing of its zero-COVID policy, although it’s not clear yet how quickly or smoothly the country’s economy will recover. While some bumps in the road are likely, we expect China’s reopening could lead to further gains in Asian credit and currencies in 2023.
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White papersFed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.
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White papersEuropean leveraged loans: Defensive against rising rates and uncertainty?
2022 represented the end of the more than decade-long bull run and the impact for European loans was a dislocation to yields of c.10%. For long-term investors, we believe this provides an interesting investment opportunity for a senior secured defensive asset class with typically higher risk-adjusted returns than comparable credit risk asset classes.
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White papersExtinguishing the flame: Has inflation peaked?
Despite further hikes, markets are factoring in a less hawkish approach from central banks.
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White papersHow liquid is the green bond market?
The green bond sector has grown to be a $1trn-plus investable market that has seen a sharp uptick in diversification on the credit side and an increasing number of sovereign issuers.
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White papersECB-inspired rally risks going too far
The European Central Bank raised its key policy interest rates by half a percentage point, lifting the deposit rate to 2.5%, and said it intended to deliver a similar rate rise in March because of underlying inflation pressures. It also gave details of how it will reduce its balance sheet. For corporate bonds, it plans to tilt reinvestments more strongly towards issuers with a better climate performance.
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White papersAn outlook for the sustainable bond market
After a muted year for sustainable bonds in 2022, there are indications that the outlook for 2023 is more upbeat. Malika Takhtayeva and Xuan Sheng Ou Yong discuss what the future might look like for corporate and sovereign use-of-proceeds bonds.
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White papersWhat is a CLO?
CLOs provide an efficient, scalable way of investing in floating-rate loans while offering structural protection that has historically performed well through multiple credit cycles.
