All Commentary articles – Page 131
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Coronavirus – weekly update – 06 May 2020
As of 6 May, the global COVID-19 case-load has crossed the 3.7 million mark and the number of fatalities exceeds a quarter of a million people. Notwithstanding the usual caution around data comparisons across countries or through time, we highlight the following key features:
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Guiding Principles for an Effective Board - Insights from Engagement
Investors care deeply about how well a company board is functioning. Getting this aspect of governance right makes it more likely that material risks and opportunities will be well managed. It follows that an effective board is best placed to secure a company’s long-term success.
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Opportunities in alternatives: Don’t waste a crisis
Diversification and resilience are key investment attributes for navigating volatile markets and an uncertain economic outlook. Alternative asset classes are a rich source of both. Experts from Nuveen and its affiliates share their views on potential opportunities for institutional investors.
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Coronavirus: Latest outlook for real estate investors
Nuveen Real Estate’s market-leading global research team is working daily to understand and assess the impact of the coronavirus on real estate markets and provide regular global, regional and sector perspectives.
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Economic and Real Estate Outlook in Context of Covid-19 #4
The global economy is slowly preparing to move out of phase 1 (lockdown) towards staggered re opening of key businesses with an emphasis on social distancing measures. The extent of damage to the economy will continue to be tabulated in the coming weeks, but the estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis is real U.S. GDP decreased a whopping 4.8 percent in the first quarter of 2020 following a 2.1 percent increase in the fourth quarter of 2019.
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The day after #1 Covid-19 the invisible hand pointing investors down the road to the 70s
Without a doubt, the Covid-19 pandemic is shaking the financial industry like never before. But this is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is it the first time that public policymakers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”.
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Investing today for a better tomorrow
Bonds to help build solar energy farms or finance water reclamation projects… In today’s world, green business is good business. Why not invest where your money can make a positive impact on society and the environment?
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Will Covid-19 prove a pivotal moment for climate change?
Policymakers should use the current crisis to inject similar urgency into climate policy and accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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Impact investing: Choice precedes fate
The temporary lockdown of half of the world’s population has yielded some remarkable imagery. You may have seen satellite pictures showing a significant reduction in nitrogen dioxide emissions in the atmosphere. Natural environments appear to be enjoying some respite.
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The coronavirus and our relationship with nature
The coronavirus crisis has highlighted the importance of sustainability-focused risk management and effective stewardship activities. In this series of articles, we will explore the links between infectious diseases, environmental issues and social sustainability, alongside the role of investors and companies. In part one, Sonya Likhtman looks at how the destruction of ecosystems can increase the risk of pandemics.
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Recalibrating the rulebook: 360°, Q2 2020
What is our current view of fixed-income markets? And where do we see the best relative value? In our latest edition of 360°, Andrew ‘Jacko’ Jackson, Head of Fixed Income, and his team of specialist investors considers the areas that have the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.
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Credit: Industry Insights
As we navigate the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on the fixed-income market, we have launched a weekly video to highlight the latest industry insights from our credit analysts.
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Market weekly – Fixed income: Deflation, not inflation, is the main risk now
After a rollercoaster ride in April, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income, discuss what will matter next for developed bond markets.
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The outlook for eurozone inflation-linked bonds
A V-shape economic recovery in the eurozone looks unlikely, while member states continue their marathon search for a compromise on how to fund the reconstruction. The poor outlook for the economy and inflation, and the ECB’s asset purchases, should keep eurozone government bond yields low and cap the risk premiums on ‘peripheral’ bonds.
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Canary in the Coal Mine
The credit market has lagged while equities have rallied—is it warning investors not to get carried away?
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Economic and Property Overview: Q1 2020
The first quarter of 2020 was shaped by the coronavirus, by the end of March 2020 a total of 29,474 confirmed cases and 2,352 deaths were reported for the UK. One month after the quarter end, the number of cases and deaths surged to 194,990 and 29,427 respectively. The costs to the British economy have been considerable; government-imposed lockdown measures to slow the spread of the virus have disrupted business activity, knocked consumer confidence and reduced business confidence levels to record lows. The flash PMI’s plunged from 53.0 in February to 37.1 in March, with a figure of 50+ representing economic expansion, it is now widely anticipated that the economy will contract in March.
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COVID-19: Will credit markets remain open for business?
While concerns around credit market liquidity have been rising since the global financial crisis, the COVID-19 sell-off has highlighted how fragile liquidity can be during periods of real stress. Colin Purdie discusses the short- and long-term implications for investment grade and high yield credit globally.
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Private Equity Perspectives “Moving from Defense to Offense”
David Stonberg, Global Co-Head of Private Equity Co-Investments, provides an update on the private equity market and discusses deal activity in the Co-Investment space.
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Macroeconomic picture - May 2020
Heading towards a sharp contraction in H1; the H2 recovery is being shaped by the duration of the crisis and the effectiveness of the unprecedented policy response, once the post-containment normalization phase starts. Since the start of April, both hard and soft data have begun to show the impact on the economy. In one month, the crisis has erased almost the number of jobs added since the GFC, and unemployment moved up sharply to 4.4% from 3.5% one month earlier. Sentiment plunged across business lines, especially in service and consumer sectors. Retail sales fell the most since 1992. Inflation moderated in March.
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Thematics Views - May 2020
Over the last few weeks, significant stabilisation plans have been announced across advanced economies and in addition true stimulus plans are now under consideration. Recent empirical studies show that fiscal multipliers could be much larger in the current depressed context than during normal times. We believe this could boost the recovery path of corporate dividends going forward, in Europe in particular.