All Commentary articles – Page 134
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White papersCautious Consumers Await Fourth Fiscal Stimulus Bill
U.S. politicians will continue negotiating the next fiscal package. The July employment report will likely be weak due to rising uncertainty, cautious consumers, and greater restrictive measures. Meanwhile, next week’s BoE meeting is expected to strike a bearish tone.
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White papersVulnerability to Default in Emerging Markets
While emerging markets sovereign defaults are at levels not seen since 2001 this year, rapid policy responses are helping to avoid the worst—furthermore, we believe the corporate default rate for 2020 could be lower than in 2009 or even 2016.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity commentary: Brunswick
In April, EOS at Federated Hermes published a white paper – Investor Expectations for Global Plastic Challenges. This set out the scale and complexity of the problem and offered investors ways to engage with companies in three key sectors – chemicals, consumer goods and retail.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views – August 2020
As we enter the summer, conflicting forces in major equity markets have led to a period of temporary equilibrium between fear(risk of second wave, low bond yields, high gold prices) and greed (equities rallying as a result of economies reopening). The big question for investors now is: where do we go from here?
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White papersPublic Engagement Report Q2 2020
The Public Engagement Report highlights some of the stewardship activities undertaken by EOS at Federated Hermes on behalf of its clients over Q2 2020.
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White papersCredit investing in the coronavirus era: 360°, Q3 2020 - July 2020
What is our current view of fixed-income markets? And where do we see the best relative value? In our latest edition of 360°, Andrew ‘Jacko’ Jackson, Head of Fixed Income, and his team of specialist investors considers the areas that have the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.
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White papersThe Case for US Equities in Global Portfolios
The post-pandemic market reality accentuates the attractiveness of the US stock market. Similar to the period after the Great Financial Crisis, we believe the medium-to-long-term landscape once again favors companies with records of large-cap secular growth, stability and defensiveness. These characteristics define a much higher proportion of the US market relative to the rest of the world resulting in what we believe may be a more optimistic outlook for US equities.
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White papersActive management to find yield in fixed income
Unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures by central banks and governments have installed a low-yield/low-volatility regime in developed bond markets. As investors search hard for yield, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris discusses the prospects for fixed income markets with Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income.
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White papersInvestor Series: Private Assets for Insurers
Insurance investors face unique challenges in any environment but especially against today’s backdrop of continued low rates and a global economic slowdown. Barings’ Ann Bryant and Eric Lloyd discuss strategies for incorporating private assets as part of the solution.
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White papersPhysical Retail “Rumours of my death have been greatly exaggerated!”
The quote, attributed to Mark Twain when he read his own obituary in a newspaper, seems an appropriate comparison for media coverage of the retail sector. Whether stories about vacant shops in town centres, the death of the high street or tenants going into administration, all appears to be doom and gloom.
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White papersThe Dog That Hasn’t Barked (Yet)
As the U.S.-China relationship unravels, it’s telling that both sides are still sticking with the modest “Phase One” Deal.
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White papersAPAC Real Estate Outlook
The APAC region was the first to be affected by the COVID-19 outbreak at the start of 2020, highlighting the downside impact of the pandemic on economies, particularly tourism arrivals and manufacturing. With the outbreak having evolved into a global pandemic, a recession scenario appears likely for the five developed APAC economies this year. These markets, however, are expected to recover relatively quickly from 1H 2021 onwards (see Figure 1), benefitting from their relative preparedness in handling the pandemic and governments’ strong fiscal and monetary support. This should help bolster investment sentiment in the APAC region.
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White papersResponsible business conduct – a major pillar of sustainable investing
What should investors expect from a responsibly run company? How should companies behave when it comes to issues such as human and labour rights, protecting the environment or anti-corruption safeguards?
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White papersCovid-19 & European Real Estate Logistics: Dealing With New Market Dynamics
The lockdown measures implemented between the end of Q1 and beginning of Q2 2020 in most of the developed countries created a strong impact on consumers’ behaviors and habits that has ultimately affected the way companies run their businesses and distribute their products or services.
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White papersThe day after #10 - Rethinking the macro and cross-asset research: what we have learned from the Covid-19 crisis
Crises create disruption and Covid-19 is no exception, bringing new complexities, new opportunities and new risks to the investment landscape.
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White papersThe Circular Edition 2, 2020 - Keeping you in the sustainability loop
As the economy looks to recover, people are coming around to the idea that sustainable investing could be part of the solution. We’ve summed up our recent insights on environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing to bring you the latest edition of The Circular.
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White papersThe Changing Path to Credit Opportunities
Aggressive fiscal and monetary actions combined with better-than-expected news on the economic recovery have contributed to a narrowing of credit spreads, while central banks now appear committed to zero (or negative) rates for the foreseeable future.
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White papersHigh Yield: Liquidity Abounds, But What Lies Ahead?
Ample liquidity from central banks has driven a significant recovery across markets, including high yield. But with much uncertainty still ahead, we see benefits to moving up the capital structure and considering secured assets.
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White papersCOVID-19 Cases May Curtail Consumer Demand
U.S. retail sales rose in June to realign with pre-crisis levels, though tightening restrictions and rising COVID-19 cases following the data seem to be weighing on spending. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to improve in July, and a new trade deal is in the works.
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White papersCLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
