All Commentary articles – Page 134
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White papersGlobal Macro Shifts: The Post-Pandemic World
Where will we be post-crisis? This Global Macro Shifts covers why a gradual recovery is most likely and the investment implications.
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White papersForecasting the Next Decade: Navigating Uncharted Waters
Barings Multi Asset Group combines the underlying factors that will drive markets over the long term with today’s valuations to produce total return forecasts for major asset classes over the next ten years.
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White papersVolatility, Tech & ESG: COVID’s Impact on Global Equities
COVID-19 has proved challenging for businesses—but opportunities have emerged, particularly for companies with business models built to capitalize on long-term structural trends. Dr. Ghadir Cooper shares her views on equity markets today and what to expect going forward.
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White papersPrognosis Negative Amid Trade Tension Remission
Further criticism of China’s initial virus response may threaten additional tariffs and trade deals going forward. The E.U. appears to be a step closer to a common-issue coronabond and, U.S. high frequency data is pointing to some improvement in May.
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White papersFiorino: in this pandemic, asset quality is key to banks’ health
In this launch issue of Fiorino, our blog focused on deciphering complexity in global financials, we assess how banks are preparing for corporate defaults resulting from lockdowns across economies worldwide.
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White papersCoronavirus – weekly update – 20 May 2020
Exists from lockdown proceed with no major mishaps, leading the stock markets to still trade sideways. Progress towards implementing budget support is slow, which constitutes a potential risk and a source of volatility.
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White papersMarket Risk Insights: portfolio triage
In the Q2 2020 issue of Market Risk Insights, we provide our latest analysis of six key risk factors – volatility, correlation, stretch, liquidity, event and environmental, social and governance (ESG) – in order to help investors navigate the coronavirus sell-off.
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White papersA decade of change in global high yield
Globalisation and the rise of new instruments, credit quality and sustainability made the last decade one of significant evolution for the high-yield market – and for our team investing in this asset class.
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White papersA look at why insurance-linked securities are largely immune to the Covid-19 volatility
Insurance-linked securities have been almost unaffected by the market turmoil linked to coronavirus. We look into the mechanisms that make them more resilient.
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White papersAssessing the Known Unknowns
While the list of worries is long, we will focus on three key uncertainties that, if known, should give us more clarity about the direction of markets. As some of these unknowns are coming into view, each of them creates unknowns of their own.
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White papersFocus on Italy: macroeconomic and fixed income scenario
If we wanted to characterise the contraction and recovery pattern, we would probably describe it as a ‘long U-shaped’ recovery; in other words, as a gradual normalisation which will take some time before seeing a return to pre-crisis levels. In Italy, the government is estimating an 8% GDP contraction this year, followed by a 4.7% YoY rebound in 2021. In our analysis, we consider two possible reference scenarios for 2020 growth: -8.0% YoY (as per the government scenario) and -12.0% YoY.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts & Views - Market dislocation creating long-term opportunities
Two major drivers are shaping the landscape for EM countries: Covid-19 and oil dynamics. We are mindful that current events will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlook for EM this year, leading many countries into recession.
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White papersFranklin Emerging Market Debt Opportunities Team: Market Update – Emerging From the Crisis
Perspective from Franklin Emerging Market Debt Opportunities team.
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White papersA letter from Asia
As the initial epicentre of the coronavirus, many lessons can be learnt from China: For example, the importance a swift government response (resting on lessons learnt during the SARS outbreak in 2002-2003) with total or partial lockdowns across many cities alongside other mobility restrictions and intensified health screening.
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White papersTransparency boots real estate investment in Asia Pacific
LaSalle Head of Asia Pacific Research Elysia Tse explains for increased transparency has been a boon for institutional investment into Asia.
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White papersMulti-Asset Allocation Views: Hold the Course
As the world adjusts to life with the specter of COVID-19, it is increasingly clear that much has changed. We have become used to social distancing and unimaginably weak economic data. However, although we have become familiar with these new features of our lives, we hope that they will not be with us for too long!
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2020
In our latest analysis released at the beginning of the year, we had laid out our medium-term outlook as a correction of the business cycle, including an economic slowdown, yield curve inversion, a return to lower bound policy rates, and subdued inflation prints. The global shocks resulting from the eruption of the coronavirus pandemic have significantly altered the sequence of economic and financial phases, shortened the timeframe and expanded the scale of the ripple effect.
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White papersMarket weekly – Riding the digital transformation with US equities
Lockdowns around the world have boosted the uptake of new technologies, speeding us into an even more digital-centric future. US equity markets offer investors access to such disruptive technology. To hear more about the opportunities, Daniel Morris, our senior investment strategist, catches up with Pam Hegarty, senior portfolio manager and equity analyst for US equities in our Boston office.
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White papersThe day after #3 - ESG Resilience During the Covid Crisis: Is Green the New Gold?
Without a doubt, the coronavirus is shaking the financial industry like never before. This is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is the first time that policy makers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”
