All Commentary articles – Page 129
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook - Q4 2020
With a sharp market recovery since early in the pandemic, spreads on many fixed income securities have narrowed to close to pre-crisis lows. Economies are generally regaining strength, but their trajectory could be heavily influenced by the coronavirus, the potential for vaccines and political uncertainty.
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White papersThe Four U.S. Election Scenarios with Erik Knutzen
As we approach the 2020 U.S. election and its upcoming result, Erik Knutzen, CIO—Multi-Asset Class, dives into the possible scenarios and discusses the economic implications of what could happen with each hypothetical outcome.
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White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 2020
As noted in our previous reports the much-awaited global recovery from the onset of Covid-19 is facing significant headwinds. As the fallout from the crisis becomes clearer in scope and view, ensuing challenges remain daunting. The interplay between the factors will continue to evolve having an effect in the short and medium-term, the monitoring of these relationships will remain at the forefront of future communications.
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White papersReal Estate Debt: Europe’s Developing Opportunity
Barings Real Estate’s Sam Mellor describes the trends underpinning the structural growth of real estate debt in Europe, and compares and contrasts the asset class with other public and private fixed income alternatives.
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White papersWhy Tech Bubble Fears are Overdone
The tech sector’s impressive performance and increasing concentration in indexes has led to concerns of expensive valuations—with some fearing that we could be in bubble territory. In our view, such worries are not justified, and we believe tech’s outlook remains healthy.
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White papersOutlook Upgraded, But Still Not in First Class…
The IMF upgraded their 2020 growth outlook due to better-than-anticipated U.S. and euro area 2Q20 GDP, but noted a long and uneven recovery. Global flash PMIs will likely show differentiation by region next week, and Brexit negotiations are expected to continue into November.
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White papersFrom Buddha to Bagehot: how global banks are keeping the liquidity flowing
In previous editions, we have explored asset quality, the value of collateral and capital. This time, Fiorino turns his attention to another core concept of banking – liquidity – and considers how banks are keeping it plentiful amid the coronavirus-induced freeze.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2020
Developments on the virus and vaccine front and the US election are hot topics. Markets are pricing in a glass-half-full scenario, despite the still-alarming infection numbers on the virus front (second wave in Europe and record new cases globally). The interconnection of the three cycles — virus, real economy and financial — continues, but the virus transmission mechanism is changing.
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White papersBiodiversity in focus in EOS’s Q3 Public Engagement Report
The Q3 Public Engagement Report from EOS at Federated Hermes focuses on three of its expanding engagement themes for 2020 – biodiversity and sustainable land use, fast fashion, and business purpose – all issues brought to the fore by the pandemic.
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White papersLiquidity trends in the wake of Covid-19: implications for portfolio construction
The Covid-19 crisis has triggered the deepest liquidity squeeze since 2008. Unlike the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), an unprecedented real economy shock led to extremely quick deterioration of financial conditions and showed that, under extreme circumstances, liquidity may dry up not only within risk assets, but also within risk free ones.
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White papersChoosing Trump or Biden
Investors will benefit from supportive policy under either outcome, but the impact on specific industries is much harder to predict.
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White papersCredit investors: delivering into the imperatives of Paris
In this video Anna Karim, Investment Director Fixed Income, and Mitch Reznick, Head of Research and Sustainable Fixed Income, discuss how to decarbonise portfolios within fixed income and the imperative of aligning investment strategies with the Paris Agreement.
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White papersThe day after #12 - Changing shares of labour and capital incomes: what implications for investors?
The share of national income that is distributed to labour vs. capital has fallen to historically low levels in several advanced economies, such as the United States and the United Kingdom. We believe the Covid-19 crisis, along with other factors, will trigger a rebalancing in favour of labour over the next two decades. A reversion to the long-term average ratio of labour and capital in the share of income would probably enhance social and political stability, and would better fit with a consumer-driven growth model.
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White papersEMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
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White papersWhen the chips are down: the outlook for semiconductors
After a challenging 2019, the semiconductor manufacturing sector was placed under even more pressure by the exogenous shock of the coronavirus pandemic. Yet the industry has staged an impressive recovery and our Global Emerging Markets team retains a positive long-term view on the sector, arguing that technology trends will quickly reheat any cooling demand for global chips.
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White papersCoronavirus: what now for economies and markets?
It’s been a tumultuous time for investors everywhere. Momentum is the key when looking at future prospects for stock markets and employment prospects across the continent.
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White papersWhat the US election means for markets … and what it doesn’t!
While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may increase the uncertainty and anxiety for investors as we approach election day. Most recently we saw evidence of this anxiety as the market reacted to news of President Trump’s positive Covid-19 test.
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White papersHow best to approach climate change risk management?
Chris Wagstaff considers how asset owners might best approach climate change risk management by adopting a number of non-mutually exclusive mitigating actions to address transition and physical risks.
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White papersMateriality Matters
How Environmental, Social and Governance Issues Inform Long-term Growth and Sustainability of Companies
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White papersBracing for Winter, Looking Forward to Spring
“Anticipation of much lower levels of uncertainty in 12 months’ time—paired with the after-effects of unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, the potential for another fiscal boost to come, and the Federal Reserve’s new, more dovish policy framework—feed into this quarter’s changes to our asset class views.”
