All United States articles – Page 45
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White papersIG Credit: Well-positioned in a Challenging Environment
In a potential recessionary environment, robust company balance sheets and normalizing yield levels are creating a compelling case for IG corporate credit.
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White papersProspects for emerging equities are encouraging
Next year is likely to be a relatively lacklustre one for global equities. But that would still be a major improvement on the dismal 2022.
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White papersU.S. Economic & Property Market Perspective 04 2022
The Federal Reserve spent much of 2022 attempting to convince financial markets they are committed to controlling inflation, pulling forward the pace of interest rate increases and raising the expected so-called “terminal rate” for overnight borrowing at each of the last five monetary policy meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
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White papersPrivate real estate appreciation moves negative as re-valuation starts
US private real estate returns weakened considerably in 3Q 2022 as higher interest rates continued to have a major impact on market pricing and appraised values. This trend is expected to continue in the remainder of 2022 and into the opening quarters of 2023. This is leading to a dramatic slowdown in returns from the record levels seen less than a year ago.
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White papersIG Credit Outlook 2023: Adding balance to portfolios
It has been a difficult year for fixed income in general. Stocks and bonds rarely decline in tandem in a calendar year, and 2022 was the only exception in the 45-year period dating back to 1977.
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White papersWhy It’s About to Get Even More Complicated From Here
This year’s choices were hardly simple, but economic policymakers in China, Europe and the United States face much trickier decisions in 2023.
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White papersWhat Jerome Powell Really Wants for Christmas
Jerome Powell surely has a holiday wish list, especially facing a new year of slower growth, rising prices and inverted yield curves.
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White papersTreasury yields fall as the Fed hikes once more
U.S. Treasury yields fell last week. The November U.S. CPI report showed a smaller-than-expected monthly increase. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 50 bps hike as expected, but also included hawkish economic projections that called into question the future of monetary policy.
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White papersA Tale of Two Cities
Why we think the resilience of the U.S. economy is proving to be a real conundrum for investors.
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White papersFed: Staying the course until the job is done
FOMC statement and press conference: On 14 December, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed Funds Rate by 50bp to 4.25-4.50%, a step down after four consecutive 75bp rate hikes. This takes the Fed Funds Rate further into restrictive territory.
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White papersHas the dollar hit its high-water mark?
A weaking dollar raises questions on the future trajectory of Fed monetary policy.
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White papersEmerging market debt: Darkest before dawn
We expect the US dollar to peak in Q4 2022 and if and when this happens, it will mark a significant downgrade in the strength of headwinds affecting EMD.
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White papersFed hikes by a little less, but promise more to come
After hiking its policy rate by 75 basis points at each of the prior four meetings, the Fed took its foot off the brakes a bit, raising rates by only 50 basis points at its final meeting of the year. Inflation concerns remain, despite a string of softer data, but risks to higher prices and slower growth now appear more balanced than they have for several years.
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White papersU.S. markets outlook for 2023
The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst year in more than a decade in 2022, falling 13.1% through to 30 November. And investors face more market volatility in the year ahead as the macroeconomic environment poses headwinds for many companies.
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White papersLooking ahead: U.S private credit in an age of scarcity
For over a decade, including through COVID-19, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession of 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support. But as we look ahead to 2023, it is important to shift our gaze and examine the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit.
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White papersBullish on bonds in 2023
The next 12 months are poised to be a comeback year for fixed income, says Gene Tannuzzo, with a focus on quality and credit selection critical to achieving the desired outcomes.
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White papersPrivate Real Estate Investing Amid Macro Uncertainties
COVID has been a “black swan” event that severely disrupted a normal market cycle and our daily lives starting in 2020.
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White papersMacro outlook – The clouds around the inflation peak
The inflation shock has defined 2022. Not primarily because as usual, by eroding purchasing power and corporate margins it has hampered consumption and investment – private spending has been remarkably resilient actually in the developed world given the circumstances – but because it has marked the end of an era for monetary policy.
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White papers2023 Outlook: Global Real Estate - 2
In this roundtable discussion, our experts across real estate debt and equity discuss how they are navigating today’s challenges and weigh in on where investors can turn to find attractive returns.
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White papersSemiconductors: The Darkness Before the Dawn
Given the headwinds of a cyclical downturn in demand, high inventories, and rising tensions between China and the U.S., the semiconductor sector is being challenged. But there are a growing number of reasons to be optimistic about the share prices over the medium term.
