All United States articles – Page 40
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White papersISA Outlook 2024: North America – healing … gradually
In the North America chapter of ISA Outlook 2024, we discuss how our key global themes apply in the context of the United States and Canada. Property markets in both countries spent much – if not most – of 2023 wondering when the US and Canada would hit their peak rates. At the time of writing, the answer to that question remains uncertain.
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White papersIs Too Much Riding on the Tech Titans?
U.S. tech is “Magnificent” in many ways, but it cannot lead the market forever—investors may want to seek performance elsewhere.
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White papersWhatever happened to the recession - and does it matter for bonds?
Despite interest rates being hiked to their highest level since the mid-2000s and a mini crisis in the US banking sector, the US and other developed market economies remain in relatively robust health. A recession has, so far, been avoided.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2023
Look out for growth, but with an eye on inflation
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White papersIPM monthly blog – Edition October 2023: Our monthly insights into private markets
US interest rate expectations have moved higher as the economy has remained robust, leading to the possibility of another interest rate rise and a likelihood that rates will show only small (if any) cuts in 2024. Higher-for-longer rates would be a headwind for real estate markets, though a strong economy is positive for occupier demand.
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersQuarterly fixed income perspectives 4Q 2023: Recession takeoff delayed but not canceled
While the timing of a recession remains uncertain, unique opportunities exist for fixed income investors as we head into the final quarter of 2023.
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White papersLimited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
The impact of energy on the US economy has declined over the last three decades, but a series of shocks since the pandemic and a +30% price surge since July has brought the topic back to light. We find that it would take a material rise in energy prices and a combination of negative factors for households before there is a visible toll on overall spending. We’re not there yet and anticipate only a marginal impact on consumption at this stage
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2023
Topic of the Month: Limited hit from energy price rise on US consumption so far
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White papersUsing economic state models to assess the U.S. office outlook
Economic state models can be a valuable tool for investors seeking a framework to methodically analyze dynamics between macroeconomic indicators and local market trends, as well as anticipate changes in real estate cycles and formulate better-informed strategies.
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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Asset Manager NewsHines and The Tampa Bay Rays Announce Historic Development and Partnership
(ST. PETERSBURG) — The Tampa Bay Rays announced that a historic agreement has been reached with the City of St. Petersburg and Pinellas County to move forward with a new state-of-the-art ballpark and a transformational development by the Hines Historic Gas Plant Partnership on the 86-acre site where the team’s current stadium sits.
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White papersDara to Know
Dara Friedman is on the defensive, and that’s intentional. BGO’s Core Plus manager talks about fighting back against market uncertainty.
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White papersAs rate hikes near end, historic investor opportunity may begin
To say this has been an interesting year in financial markets is an understatement. Equities have been stronger than most expected, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is up 40 basis points as of 13 September. So where are we now as we head into the homestretch of 2023?
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White papersGoing global may benefit U.S. dollar investors
One might think that the diversification benefits of global investing would be minimal, as trade and financial ties bring the world closer together. However, the global economy remains far from synchronized.
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White papersNavigating by Flashes of Lightning
Central banks may be reluctant to hike further, but as long as they tie themselves to incoming data their hands may be forced.
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White papersStrike (Big) 3?
A potential U.S. auto strike has significant implications for the economy, earnings and inflation.
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White papersHousehold loans – Offering predictable performance, even in tough times
As growth in developed economies slows and higher central bank rates start to bite, investors looking for portfolio diversification and attractive returns could consider a relatively little-known, but high-quality asset class: Household loans. Tonko Gast explains.
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White papersFiorino: Can US consumers stretch debt reality?
String theory – which contends matter is made of tiny vibrating strings – offers lessons on the capacity of credit markets to adapt to slowing growth and recession risk.
