All United States articles – Page 42
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White papersIncome Generator: Beyond the Inflection Point
Volatility across the banking sector will likely mark an inflection point in policymakers’ current tightening cycle. We lay out five specific themes to help fixed income investors navigate the shifting markets.
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White papersA Solid Case for IG Credit, But Caution is Required
Against a backdrop of elevated uncertainty, IG corporate credit—with healthy corporate balance sheets and a relatively attractive total return potential—looks well-positioned.
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White papersPotential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector
Despite the failure of a handful of banks in the US and one in Europe, our view is that 2023 will not present a financial crisis near the magnitude of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. The three failed US banks, Silvergate, Silicon Valley and Signature, had unique business models that proved to be meaningful weaknesses. They raised concerns about firms with close financial ties to small banks, particularly speculative technology and related stocks, such as cryptocurrencies, that unwound when they were caught in a bubble.
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White papersTrump indictment: implications for US politics and assets
”The US political environment is highly polarised on Trump’s indictment, with some seeing this as being politically motivated.”
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White papersBanking crisis
The bank liquidity crisis in the US and decline of Credit Suisse in Europe have created market uncertainty which could reduce availability of credit for the real estate sector.
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White papersEmerging market equities – navigating a bumpy but attractive route
In 1990, developed markets accounted for just over 60% of global GDP and emerging markets for just under 40%.
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White papersAs Credit Goes, So Goes the Economy
Credit is the lifeblood of the economy, and the credit system just had a heart murmur.
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White papersStrong income and appreciation gains for U.S. timberland in 2022
U.S. private timberland property investments returned 12.9% during calendar year 2022, with annual gains in both income and capital appreciation.
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White papersHigh Yield: Charting a Steady Course Through Roiling Seas
Banking stresses added volatility to first-quarter markets already coping with rising rates and recession fears. Still, with corporate fundamentals sound, high yield investors and issuers are more cautious than fearful.
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White papersFourth quarter private real estate returns move negative
US private real estate returns went negative in Q4 2022 as the impact of higher interest rates continued to ripple through to market pricing and appraised values. This trend is expected to continue through the first half of 2023 with stability projected to return later in the year.
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White papersA tale of two markets: Contrasting the fortunes of European and US High Yield
The European High Yield (HY) market has outperformed the US market over the last five, 10 and 20 years. We compare the trends in charts and ask: Will this continue and what are the main similarities and differences between the US and European markets?
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - April 2023
”The tightening in credit conditions should reduce core inflationary pressures, partly replacing the need for monetary policy action.”
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White papersFinancial stability concerns to tip the balance towards a US recession
Recent stress in parts of the banking sector will raise funding costs and reduce lending to many sectors. Now we expect the US economy to shrink by - 1.1% in 2023, driven by a contraction in domestic demand. Eurozone growth should stagnate amid inflation remaining high.
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White papersLiquidity, logistics and living: What next for real estate equity? - Aviva Investors
Opportunities are emerging across real estate markets in the UK and Europe, but investors will have to be nimble and discerning in their asset selection, say Imogen Ebbs and George Fraser-Harding.
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White papersLow volatility equities: the bursting of a bubble or just interest rate exposure?
The MSCI World Minimum Volatility Index has had a very poor run of performance recently. In absolute terms the index generated a negative cumulative performance of minus 5.7% for the period from 1 July 2016 through 30 November 2016. Over the same period the MSCI World Index generated a positive return of 4.3%.
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White papersPrivate Credit: An All-Weather Asset Class
As private-credit markets continue to expand in size, choice and sophistication, we believe they should play an important role in well-diversified investment portfolios.
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White papersHow vulnerable is EM debt to volatility spillovers?
At the beginning of the year, the three major factors driving emerging market (EM) debt were US financial conditions, the dollar and global growth. All three look likely to have been changed by the current shock to the banking sector.
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White papersFrom Anomaly to Opportunity: High Yields on Short Bonds
Stock and bond markets were shaken by the recent banking crisis in the US and Europe. Although both US and European authorities took prompt action to prevent damage to the financial system and dampen market volatility, these episodes highlight the importance of risk management and the worth of proven investment strategies that can both mitigate risk and generate worthwhile returns.
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White papersThe More Things Change, Part II
Banking stresses may have tightened conditions enough for policymakers to pause their hiking cycles indefinitely.
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White papersWhy the Post-Pandemic Economy Will Run Hot
As the U.S. Federal Reserve wrestles inflation lower, investors wonder increasingly if its traditional target still makes sense. Should policymakers really insist on driving inflation all the way down to 2%? Haven’t pandemic and war fundamentally altered global dynamics that drove rates ever lower? Isn’t this time … different?
