All United States articles – Page 46
-
White papersWhat Jerome Powell Really Wants for Christmas
Jerome Powell surely has a holiday wish list, especially facing a new year of slower growth, rising prices and inverted yield curves.
-
White papersTreasury yields fall as the Fed hikes once more
U.S. Treasury yields fell last week. The November U.S. CPI report showed a smaller-than-expected monthly increase. The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a 50 bps hike as expected, but also included hawkish economic projections that called into question the future of monetary policy.
-
White papersA Tale of Two Cities
Why we think the resilience of the U.S. economy is proving to be a real conundrum for investors.
-
White papersFed: Staying the course until the job is done
FOMC statement and press conference: On 14 December, the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked the Fed Funds Rate by 50bp to 4.25-4.50%, a step down after four consecutive 75bp rate hikes. This takes the Fed Funds Rate further into restrictive territory.
-
White papersHas the dollar hit its high-water mark?
A weaking dollar raises questions on the future trajectory of Fed monetary policy.
-
White papersEmerging market debt: Darkest before dawn
We expect the US dollar to peak in Q4 2022 and if and when this happens, it will mark a significant downgrade in the strength of headwinds affecting EMD.
-
White papersFed hikes by a little less, but promise more to come
After hiking its policy rate by 75 basis points at each of the prior four meetings, the Fed took its foot off the brakes a bit, raising rates by only 50 basis points at its final meeting of the year. Inflation concerns remain, despite a string of softer data, but risks to higher prices and slower growth now appear more balanced than they have for several years.
-
White papersU.S. markets outlook for 2023
The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst year in more than a decade in 2022, falling 13.1% through to 30 November. And investors face more market volatility in the year ahead as the macroeconomic environment poses headwinds for many companies.
-
White papersLooking ahead: U.S private credit in an age of scarcity
For over a decade, including through COVID-19, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession of 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support. But as we look ahead to 2023, it is important to shift our gaze and examine the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit.
-
White papersBullish on bonds in 2023
The next 12 months are poised to be a comeback year for fixed income, says Gene Tannuzzo, with a focus on quality and credit selection critical to achieving the desired outcomes.
-
White papersPrivate Real Estate Investing Amid Macro Uncertainties
COVID has been a “black swan” event that severely disrupted a normal market cycle and our daily lives starting in 2020.
-
White papersMacro outlook – The clouds around the inflation peak
The inflation shock has defined 2022. Not primarily because as usual, by eroding purchasing power and corporate margins it has hampered consumption and investment – private spending has been remarkably resilient actually in the developed world given the circumstances – but because it has marked the end of an era for monetary policy.
-
White papers2023 Outlook: Global Real Estate - 2
In this roundtable discussion, our experts across real estate debt and equity discuss how they are navigating today’s challenges and weigh in on where investors can turn to find attractive returns.
-
White papersSemiconductors: The Darkness Before the Dawn
Given the headwinds of a cyclical downturn in demand, high inventories, and rising tensions between China and the U.S., the semiconductor sector is being challenged. But there are a growing number of reasons to be optimistic about the share prices over the medium term.
-
White papersPensions Watch | Issue 22: What’s been happening and what’s on the horizon in the world of pensions
Given the ever-greater regularity of unanticipated impactful events with equally unpredictable tipping points, we look at the importance to pension scheme fiduciaries of risk management. In particular, we consider the need for both more inventive scenario analysis and stress testing of schemes’ resilience against a multitude of ever-present and emerging risks allied to more nimble governance.
-
White papersDivergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
-
White papersMarkets bounce on hopes US inflation has peaked
The US inflation rate cooled to 7.7% in October, weaker than many forecasts, to hit its lowest level since January.
-
White papers‘Tis the season to be jolly? The retail outlook says otherwise
The economic outlook looks neither calm nor bright for UK and US non-food retailers this Christmas amid weak consumer confidence across the sector.
-
White papersCentral banks ramp up rates in shadow of recession
US Federal Reserve raised rates by 75bps for fourth time in a row this week, while the Bank of England’s 75bps hike was its largest for three decades.
-
White papersUS Inflation Reduction Act: a strong force to accelerate energy transition technologies
In August, the US passed a major milestone in climate policy with the introduction of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). As the largest piece of federal legislation ever to address climate change, we believe it will have a profound effect across industries for decades to come.
