All United States articles – Page 49
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White papersEquity market downturn: The path forward
In the post-Volcker era, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has typically exhibited a vigilant approach to fighting inflation. Whenever labor market tightness appeared and inflation was beginning to approach its target rate of 2% Core PCE, the Fed would often spring into action with rate hikes. This cycle, however, has been unique, with the Federal Reserve instead permitting inflation pressures to build-up rather than promptly stamping them out.
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White papersRecession Semantics
Whether the U.S. is actually in a recession is debatable, but high inflation will affect companies both positively and negatively.
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White papersJuly 26-27 FOMC Review: Maintaining a Hawkish Course
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 75bp to 2.25-2.50%, the second consecutive 75bp rate hike. The Fed rate decision was widely expected. With today’s rate hike, the fed funds rate is within the 2 to 3% range of estimates of the long-term “neutral” rate. However, as Chair Powell reminded us during his press conference, policy needs to go beyond neutral into restrictive territory this year in order to reduce inflation.
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White papersRising rents matter more to REITs than rising rates
Despite the prospect of near-term volatility, REITs are well positioned to help mitigate higher interest rates, sticky inflation and challenging economic conditions, in our opinion.
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White papersWill the Fed’s QT Trigger a Financial Crisis as Growth Slows?
The outlook for Quantitative Tightening will likely depend on the Fed’s commitment to the tool, and, at the first sign of trouble, it may be quick to course correct.
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White papersCan “Friendshoring” Replace the G-20?
Any vision of closer commercial integration among U.S. allies and partners must be as inclusive as possible.
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White papers*Mid-year outlook takeaways – Chronicle of a recession foretold*
Investor surveys, and now the US yield curve, indicate a high likelihood of a recession in the US. The question seems not whether there will be a recession, but when. Economist forecasts and earnings growth estimates, however, suggest a recession is not so certain. With growth already slowing more quickly than expected, markets are assuming central banks will not hike policy rates as much as was thought. But inflation may not fall enough to make that possible.
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White papersFarewell, Forward Guidance
The ECB went big, ending the era of negative rates by raising interest rates 50bps. The central bank is focused on ensuring an even transmission of monetary policy and unveiled its new anti-fragmentation tool.
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White papersWhiplash!
Hard economic data has remained strong, but recession risks are on the rise. Combined with limited forward guidance from Central Banks, this has left markets to have to decipher what each data print will mean for monetary policy and the path of rates.
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White papersAccelerated Migration Post-Pandemic Drives Real Estate Returns - Q2 2022
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
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White papersBraving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
Stock markets around the world have entered bear territory. The MSCI ACWI slid over 20% for the six months ended June 30, 2022. Today, many investors are focused on the likelihood of recession and more pain ahead.
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White papersEnhancing customer experience on the Indiana Toll Road and building pathways to a diverse ability talent pool
Customer and community stewardship are high on the agenda at Indiana Toll Road Concession Company (ITR), the company managing the 157-mile-long toll road stretching across Northern Indiana in the US.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition 2 - 2022
Growing economic uncertainty based on weaker consumer sentiment and inflation concerns increases the importance of focusing on durable income growth across real estate sectors, metros, and product types. Continued strong industrial and apartment return performance is anticipated, but at a lower margin than 2021, given interest rate pressures. We expect a deteriorating performance for office and a gradual strengthening in retail performance through 2022.
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White papersNCREIF review and outlook: Q1 2022
Stellar private real estate returns continue; but poised to decelerate
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VideoIntroduction to the Neuberger Berman US Real Estate Securities Fund
In this short video, Steve Shigekawa, Senior Portfolio Manager, introduces the Neuberger Berman US Real Estate Securities Fund, highlighting some of its distinctive characteristics.
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White papersFighting inflation: What the latest Fed move means for investors
The first month of summer came in hotter than expected. Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation—previously thought to be cooling—had touched a new 40-year high.
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White papers14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflation expectations
The FOMC statement was hawkish. The Fed stated the Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2% goal, signifying it is not afraid about being hawkish until inflation comes down. While the FOMC downgraded the impact from the Russia-Ukraine war on the US economy, it was more confident that this is exerting upward pressure on inflation.
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White papersReimagining Supply Chains: The Investing Challenge
From carmakers to smartphone manufacturers, companies around the world are reorganizing their supply chains amid a wave of disruptions. Equity investors will need to sharpen their analytical tools and engagement skills to determine which businesses are proactively adapting to a new reality.
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White papersThe Fed Makes Inflation Fighting Priority Number One
The Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points yesterday, to a range between 1.50% and 1.75%, and signaled stronger inflation-fighting measures ahead. We think that policy path will eventually cool inflation—but at a greater cost to economic growth than the Fed expects. And financial markets will likely stay volatile for a while.
