All United States articles – Page 49
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White papersFor the Fed, the impossible QT
The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation. However, QT is being challenged by the Fed’s new role as a counterparty of money-market funds. The process would be greatly improved if the Treasury were to announce a debt buyback financed ...
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White papers1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot
As widely expected, on 2 November, the Federal Reserve hiked the Federal Funds rate by 75bp, to 3.75-4.00%. The action marked the fourth consecutive 75bp rate hike this year. Investors initially interpreted the accompanying statement as dovish by selling the dollar and buying US Treasuries and equities.
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White papersThe great unwind: real assets acclimatise to new liquidity environment
Central banks worldwide have started the great liquidity unwind – from ultra-accommodative monetary policy to higher-for-longer interest rates in most major markets. This environment is mediated by global regions and poses divergent re-pricing risk for real assets.
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White papersIG Credit: Strong Fundamentals, But Inflationary Pressures Grow
Current yield and spread levels, coupled with companies’ durable credit profiles, suggest that IG corporate credit continues to look attractive—but a number of risks remain on the horizon.
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White papersIs This ‘Nightmare on Wall Street’ Coming to an End?
Do corporate earnings disappointments signal a weaker economy and easing inflation pressures, which could end this scary market—or are there more twists to come?
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White papersInflation still stubbornly high despite central bank hikes
Eurozone inflation reached 9.9% in September while UK consumer prices hit 10.1% amid rising food costs.
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White papersHigher Prices Haven’t Spooked U.S. Consumers Yet
Solid U.S. retail sales and better-than-feared Q3 earnings suggest slowing but still-resilient consumer spending, which should support core inflation and keep the Fed on a hawkish path. Notable U.K. leadership changes gave markets a reprieve, though policy direction is uncertain.
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White papersOpportunities in Moderate Income Rental Housing
Over the past several decades, the residential rental sector has grown from relative obscurity to become one of the largest and most important institutional investment asset classes.
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White papersU.S. Inflation Feeling Hot, Hot, Hot
Inflation rages on in the U.S. and elsewhere as the global economy faces further instability. What will this mean for central banks’ tightening efforts in the coming weeks, and are markets starting to recognize–and react–that it will take more time for prices to come down?
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White papersBe Wary of Bear Market Rallies
We may want to be optimistic about inflation and rates, but that only delays the hard questions we are likely to face as we enter the new economic era.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition September 2022
“We continue to focus our strategies on defensive positioning while economic uncertainties persist. This typically includes marginal movements around strategy targets; less leverage, lower amount of value-add activities, and a focus on increasing occupancy over rent growth in retail and office.”
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White papersToo early for a Fed pivot
The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth. The more resilient the US economy proves to interest-rate hikes, the more aggressively the Fed will have to tighten monetary policy, thereby increasing the risk of recession. We have gone from ‘bad news is good news’ to ‘good news is bad news’.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity Q3 2022 case study
ROIC is the largest publicly-traded, grocery-anchored shopping centre real estate investment trust (REIT) focused exclusively on the west coast of the US.
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White papersUnited States: a green industrial policy in the making
The US Congress’s August approval of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) came as a surprise to most observers. With the mid-term elections just months away and no majority in Congress, no one expected new legislation to be passed. Yet, the Democrats and Republicans managed to reach a compromise. We discuss below the measures announced to promote the environmental transition, which is the centrepiece of the act.
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White papersInvestment Opportunities in Private Commercial Mortgage Investments
At approximately $5.2 trillion, just over half the size of the U.S. corporate bond market, the U.S. commercial mortgage market is home to a variety of attractive investment opportunities.
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White papersExpectations of Fed pivot begin to gain traction
Central banks have tightened policy aggressively this year in a bid to quell inflation, but concerns are growing about how much further they can hike borrowing costs in the face of slowing growth.
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White papersPolicy Excesses and Market Discipline
We are seeing bond investors standing up for themselves against policymakers, and while equity investors are experiencing pain from this struggle, the end result may be a more sustainable, fundamentals-based market.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We put out a cautious Equity Market Outlook three months ago, and after a quarter of worsening economic data and inflation trends we are now even more focused on low beta and high earnings quality.
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White papersUpheaval in the global FX regime
The global FX regime of the last 20 years has been characterised by a distinct pattern of capital flows. At its core, Asian countries (mostly China) recycled their current account surpluses into USD-denominated FX reserves, in order to weaken their domestic currencies and preserve export-led economic models.
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White papersCitywatch = The top 2% most attractive to businesses and people
Our research team analyzed more than 4,000 cities and identified the top 2% we believe are most attractive to people and businesses, today and in the future. California’s Inland Empire is one of those cities.
