All United States articles – Page 49
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White papersInfrastructure – rising rates and the “natural hedge”
Inflation has accelerated globally as a result of consumer demand, fuelled by fiscal policy, pushing into supply constraints due to COVID-19 and geopolitical upheaval. US inflation is running at 40-year highs and other advanced economies are at or near similar extremes.
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White papersThe wages of fear
With new US regulations and EU due diligence rules coming down the track, companies will need to work harder at identifying human rights risks in their supply chains. How do we engage with companies on this challenging issue?
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White papersESG Materiality, Q3 2022
Tough new US and EU regulations, and pressures related to the cost of living and the Covid-19 pandemic, are forcing companies to scrutinise their supply chains. In the latest ESG Materiality newsletter, we look at the implications for emerging markets.
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White papersAMN Healthcare: Engagement commentary
As the leading healthcare staffing company in the US, AMN has the ability to lead the healthcare industry on the issue of gender pay.
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White papersEmerging market debt: Looking for opportunities in challenging circumstances
Persistently high global inflation has forced the world’s leading central banks to start tightening monetary policy. However, the prices of many of the most vulnerable emerging market bond issuers are now quoted close to – and in some cases lower – than their expected recovery value.
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PodcastSDGs: A Framework for Investing
Since the inception of the United Nations’ 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in 2015, there has been a universal call to action to ensure peace and prosperity across the UN’s 193 member states by 2030.
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White papersEquity market downturn: The path forward
In the post-Volcker era, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has typically exhibited a vigilant approach to fighting inflation. Whenever labor market tightness appeared and inflation was beginning to approach its target rate of 2% Core PCE, the Fed would often spring into action with rate hikes. This cycle, however, has been unique, with the Federal Reserve instead permitting inflation pressures to build-up rather than promptly stamping them out.
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White papersRecession Semantics
Whether the U.S. is actually in a recession is debatable, but high inflation will affect companies both positively and negatively.
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White papersJuly 26-27 FOMC Review: Maintaining a Hawkish Course
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 75bp to 2.25-2.50%, the second consecutive 75bp rate hike. The Fed rate decision was widely expected. With today’s rate hike, the fed funds rate is within the 2 to 3% range of estimates of the long-term “neutral” rate. However, as Chair Powell reminded us during his press conference, policy needs to go beyond neutral into restrictive territory this year in order to reduce inflation.
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White papersRising rents matter more to REITs than rising rates
Despite the prospect of near-term volatility, REITs are well positioned to help mitigate higher interest rates, sticky inflation and challenging economic conditions, in our opinion.
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White papersWill the Fed’s QT Trigger a Financial Crisis as Growth Slows?
The outlook for Quantitative Tightening will likely depend on the Fed’s commitment to the tool, and, at the first sign of trouble, it may be quick to course correct.
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White papersCan “Friendshoring” Replace the G-20?
Any vision of closer commercial integration among U.S. allies and partners must be as inclusive as possible.
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White papers*Mid-year outlook takeaways – Chronicle of a recession foretold*
Investor surveys, and now the US yield curve, indicate a high likelihood of a recession in the US. The question seems not whether there will be a recession, but when. Economist forecasts and earnings growth estimates, however, suggest a recession is not so certain. With growth already slowing more quickly than expected, markets are assuming central banks will not hike policy rates as much as was thought. But inflation may not fall enough to make that possible.
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White papersFarewell, Forward Guidance
The ECB went big, ending the era of negative rates by raising interest rates 50bps. The central bank is focused on ensuring an even transmission of monetary policy and unveiled its new anti-fragmentation tool.
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White papersWhiplash!
Hard economic data has remained strong, but recession risks are on the rise. Combined with limited forward guidance from Central Banks, this has left markets to have to decipher what each data print will mean for monetary policy and the path of rates.
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White papersAccelerated Migration Post-Pandemic Drives Real Estate Returns - Q2 2022
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
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White papersBraving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
Stock markets around the world have entered bear territory. The MSCI ACWI slid over 20% for the six months ended June 30, 2022. Today, many investors are focused on the likelihood of recession and more pain ahead.
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White papersEnhancing customer experience on the Indiana Toll Road and building pathways to a diverse ability talent pool
Customer and community stewardship are high on the agenda at Indiana Toll Road Concession Company (ITR), the company managing the 157-mile-long toll road stretching across Northern Indiana in the US.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition 2 - 2022
Growing economic uncertainty based on weaker consumer sentiment and inflation concerns increases the importance of focusing on durable income growth across real estate sectors, metros, and product types. Continued strong industrial and apartment return performance is anticipated, but at a lower margin than 2021, given interest rate pressures. We expect a deteriorating performance for office and a gradual strengthening in retail performance through 2022.
