All United States articles – Page 52
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Unique Disruptions, Exceptional Measures
As we argued in our previous piece detailing the Fed’s 100bps cut and increased asset purchases, although the Fed had unloaded countless rounds of ammunition, additional firepower remained.
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US Economic Scenarios in Context of Covid-19
Given the fluid and fast-moving nature of the pandemic, calculating the impact to growth is challenging, but global agencies, including the IMF, are increasingly concerned that the world is likely to face a recession.
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Beyond the CBD: Sweet Spots In the Urban Fringe & Suburbs
The COVID-19 pandemic is unexpected and still rapidly developing globally which will impact the U.S economy and commercial real estate investments. The duration, scale and severity of the outbreak are still unknown. This report represents the views of Clarion Partners as of March 2020 and does not address any impact or potential impact of the pandemic.
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Emergency Landing to the Zero Bound
Two weeks after reducing its policy rate by 50 bps to 1.25%, the Federal Reserve met Sunday in lieu of its scheduled meeting on March 18th and cut rates by a further 100 bps, effectively returning to the zero lower bound. The central bank also announced a host of other measures aimed at supporting the financial markets, and by extension, the real economy.
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Novel coronavirus impact on U.S. commercial real estate
As a leading investor in all four quadrants of commercial real estate, Principal Real Estate Investors is uniquely positioned to assess relative value across the market. With heightening concerns regarding the spread of the novel coronavirus, we wanted to share our current thoughts on the potential impact on U.S. commercial real estate markets. The story is continuing to evolve.
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US Equity Valuations Rebooted by Coronavirus
After recent sharp declines, US stock valuations look more attractive, especially compared with bonds. While the current volatility is unsettling, heightened uncertainty over earnings because of the coronavirus crisis could create opportunities for long-term investors who distinguish between winners and losers from the shock.
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Fed May Cut Rates Further to Counter Coronavirus Headwinds
This week’s Fed rate cut helped steady financial markets reeling from the expected impact of the coronavirus on the US economy, and we think more cuts are coming—in March and beyond. The economy should rebound in the second half of the year, though at a lower full-year pace.
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Super Tuesday: Why It Is Important And What To Expect For Us Assets
On 3 March, 14 US states will hold primaries for the Democratic presidential nomination. Following Senator Bernie Sander’s good start and Senator Joe Biden’s landslide win on 29 February, the field is now narrowed to a two-person race.
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Checking in on BBBs
Improved credit conditions are reflected in spreads, but volatility may create opportunities.
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Focal Point US outlook: a soft landing supported by the Fed
We expect the US economy to cool this year. Growth will likely ease from 2.2% to 1.6% because of the full effect of tariffs becoming effective during the first half of the year. The lagged impact of the 2019 rate cuts and that of the additional reduction we expect for Q2 will engineer a soft landing of the economy, despite still substantial headwinds. The Fed will take big steps to adapt its monetary policy strategy to a low-inflation, low-interest rates world. The broad view of this strategy should be clearer by summer, but the dovish bias it will most likely produce will be welcomed by markets.
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Asset Manager News
Greystar Announces First Ground-Up Development Project in Boston
Acquisition of 212 Stuart Street Development Expands Greystar’s Northeast Presence Brings Unique and Luxurious Multifamily Design to Prestigious Urban Neighborhood
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Spectrum Asset Management Outlook for 2020
Some macro risks—such as Brexit—appear to be de-escalating, but uncertainties continue; trade war negotiations are likely to overhang sentiment into the United States election.
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Economic Resilience, Fed And Elections To Drive Us Markets In 2020
2019 proved a strong year for US assets, with US equity markets recording the strongest annual total return since 2013 and the US aggregate bond index up almost 9.0%. In addition, the past decade proved the best ever for the S&P 500 index, which returned 256% overall, well above its historical average. It was also the decade when US equities dominated other markets, with an outperformance of more than 90% versus the MSCI World index.
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Trump’s Trade Triumphs May Not Settle Markets for Long
Trade truce does not necessarily mean trade peace. Despite recent agreements by the U.S. with China and its North American partners, we’re still a long way away from what was recently considered normal, and the risk remains all-too clear at this week’s Davos “After-Party.”
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Blog: China themes for 2020 – trade war developments (1/2)
What are the key themes to watch for economic superpower China in 2020? In part 1 of this two-part series, senior economist Chi Lo discusses the outlook for the trade relationship with the US, China’s tactics and the consequences for world supply chains.
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A U.S.-China Trade Deal Looms While Oil Prices Boomerang
Tensions are high around the world, global growth is low, while oil prices boomerang amidst the Iran clash.
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REITs: Quality Growth and Defense for an Uncertain Marketplace
Late-cycle investing is often a challenging time for investors and asset allocators. As the longest U.S. business cycle on record marches ahead, many investors wonder how best to position their portfolios for optimal outcomes. In this brief, we offer both tactical and strategic reasons for an allocation to REITs to capitalize on the steady growth, diversification and defensive attributes they offer in today’s uncertain market.
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2020 Outlook For The Us 10-Year Treasury Bond
In 2019, 10-year US Treasury bonds traded in a range of 1.46-2.78%, the fourth-widest range since 2010.
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Comeback Time for International Equities?
Because the U.S. equity market is broad and deep, there will almost always be opportunities—but in aggregate, we think international equity markets may be more compelling over the next year.