All United States articles – Page 56
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White papersHow Much Further Will US Rates Rise?
US Treasury yields have surged recently, buoyed by rising optimism about economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Based on our growth forecast, longer-term rates will likely rise for the next few quarters—but more slowly. And we think the Fed is prepared to push in the other direction if rates rise too far, too fast.
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White papersGlobal Data Centers - America’s Excerpt
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the largest economic shock in generations. Significant disruption across all segments of the economy has resulted in severe recessions globally.
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White papersHow Deep Are The Scars?
What helps reconcile market euphoria with the very mixed global data is that central bankers remain concerned about the pandemic scars and have reiterated their accommodative stance.
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White papersAre Growth Stocks Attractive in a Post-Pandemic World?
The recent selloff of US growth market darlings reflects increasing questions about whether their growth potential still justifies exceptionally high valuations. Away from the froth, growth investors can still find solid return potential in quality companies with profitable, sustainable business models.
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White papersDistressed Debt: The Opportunities Surfacing in COVID’s Wake
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High provide insight into today’s distressed debt market, including their expectations for defaults, an overview of the competitive landscape, and where the next opportunities may emerge across the U.S. and Europe.
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White papersWhy we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021
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White papersBiden’s First 100 Days: The roadmap ahead for capital markets
With the Georgia run-off elections giving the Democrats narrow control of Congress and President Biden’s inauguration behind us, investors can finally set their sights on the policies of the new administration. Broadly, markets have responded favorably across most risk assets as the uncertainty surrounding the election has finally passed.
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White papersU.S. Consumers: Don’t Worry, They’re Here to Stay
Worsening U.S. consumer confidence data shows the labor market is expected to remain fragile, though spending should improve due to greater fiscal support. Eurozone inflation will likely accelerate slightly, and strong trade data from Asia shows global demand’s resiliency.
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White papersThe Blue Wave & The Bond Market
The most notable event shaping the U.S. bond market to start the New Year was the outcome of the Georgia Senate races.
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White papersAn Investment Scorecard for the Biden Administration
History will judge him on many dimensions, but what can investors reasonably expect that will improve the value of USA Inc.?
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White papersUnited States: the power of Executive Orders
Following the elections in Georgia, the Democrats have a very small majority in Congress. To facilitate governance, the new administration is likely to continue to govern using Executive Orders (EOs). Their use has grown over time, and they have become a full-fledged instrument of governance.
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White papersBiden, Taxes and Your Portfolio
Higher personal taxation under a Biden administration could strengthen the case for municipal bonds and tax-managed equity strategies.
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White papersBiden and Democrats take control despite Trump protesters
The 2020 US general elections ended on 6 January 2021 with a Democratic sweep of two critical Georgia Senate seats, giving Democrats a slim majority and control of government until at least the next round of Congressional elections in two years. The stunning developments on Capitol Hill will not change the significance of the Georgia election, which will have far-reaching implications for Biden’s policy agenda and financial markets.
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White papersCurrency outlook: The trend is not your friend
Investors betting on ‘trends’ have been disappointed over the last four years. After rallying by 30% between mid-July 2014 and December 2016, the US dollar has been range-bound. It weakened in 2017, but it rebounded strongly in 2018, consolidated in 2019 and after an initial rally in 2020, it is finishing the year on the weaker side.
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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White papersA Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
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White papersUS healthcare in a post-pandemic world
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed systemic weaknesses and technological strengths and could speed the kind of progress and change needed for better quality, more accessible and more affordable care. Already, in both the healthcare and IT sectors, leaders and first movers have emerged providing solutions for the medical and social issues the crisis has brought to the fore.
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White papersThe US election and Covid-19 vaccines: implications for the economy and markets
Joe Biden has been elected 46th president of the United States, and it is likely that he will preside over a divided Congress, with the Republicans maintaining their Senate majority. US voters, like the markets, appear to prefer a balance of power. While President Trump has contested the election results in numerous states, President-elect Biden is likely to be confirmed.
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White papersCalifornia Wildfires and Credit Risk
Widespread destruction has reinforced the value of climate assessment in credit analysis.
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White papersWill Washington Deliver a Holiday Miracle?
U.S. initial claims increased amid rising COVID cases, adding more fuel to the stimulus negotiations fire growing in Congress. China activity data for November should improve, and the Bank of England is expected to remain dovish given the pandemic and Brexit.
