All United States articles – Page 56
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White papersAmid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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White papersBiden’s infrastructure plan – A golden egg from the Easter bunny?
Valuations of clean energy stocks, as represented by the iShares Clean Energy index, (an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that we view as a proxy for the clean energy equity sector), are now up by around 16% from the lows in early March.
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White papersThe big bounce back
A high-velocity vaccine rollout, $1.9 trillion stimulus package and a year of pent-up consumerism mean the future is bright for U.S. mid-market direct lending, says Churchill Asset Management’s Randy Schwimmer.
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White papersA U.S. Treasury Bear is Born
Bear markets typically begin cloaked in a spirit of denial. Confutation can be virtuous because decline owns up to problems and making a change to solve them is often too painful. It’s human nature to seek pleasure to avoid pain. So, folks resist and hang on to their dogmas unyielding beliefs like “inflation hasn’t happened and can’t happen because demographics and technology won’t allow it to happen just look at Europe and Japan.” Certainly, an entire generation has grown to acquaint a bond bear but just for a brief “hello” and a more celebrated long “good-bye”.
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White papersIncreasing Yield with US Corporate Bonds
For 2021, with interest rates very low and spreads tight, investors are wondering where to turn in order to generate returns in the liquid fixed income universe. We will show that US credit investments offer attractive returns even after currency hedging. Due to a steep US yield curve, the expected return is higher than the current yield.
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White papersHow to Invest in the “Best of All Possible Worlds”
Markets should worry less about inflation and more about government investment that produces higher rates of sustainable growth.
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White papersThe U.S. Grabs the Global Recovery Baton…
Slow vaccination programs continue to delay the reopening of EU economies. The Fed showed that even with better growth and inflation outlooks, it remains committed to its accommodative stance. Elsewhere, China activity data so far this year shows the uneven recovery continues.
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White papersChina: Policy and investment implications under Biden
The first 100 days in power for any new presidential administration is never easy. With US-China relations at arguably their lowest point in 50 years, the administration of US President Joe Biden will have to make some difficult policy decisions that could affect the balance of the world’s two largest economies. How could the relationship evolve over the next four years?
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White papersHedging against inflation: Do you really understand inflation-linked bonds?
US inflation expectations have risen over the last year, and with the passage of an additional USD 1.9 trillion stimulus package, any investor who was not already worried about inflation is likely to have started paying attention.
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White papers1st Quarter Signals: Five questions facing markets
Markets have continued to ride their upward momentum through the first quarter of 2021,with investor optimism fueled by wider distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and expectations for the sizeable fiscal stimulus package from the Biden Administration.
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White papersThe unique time for US value: rotation from growth plus innovation, quality and ESG improvement
The rotation towards value is a key theme of our 2021 investment outlook. As the US economy moves towards reopening and a return to normalcy, we expect an overly accommodative Federal Reserve (Fed) to let the economy ‘run hot’ in the near to medium term, meaning reflation and a steeper yield curve.
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White papersWill the Energy Sector Evolve or Devolve?
Change in the White House has brought swift transformation to US environmental policies, especially those affecting the oil and gas sector. We don’t believe the beginning of the end is here for the oil and gas industry, but the energy sector faces substantial change—and companies need to adapt over time.
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White papersHow Much Further Will US Rates Rise?
US Treasury yields have surged recently, buoyed by rising optimism about economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Based on our growth forecast, longer-term rates will likely rise for the next few quarters—but more slowly. And we think the Fed is prepared to push in the other direction if rates rise too far, too fast.
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White papersGlobal Data Centers - America’s Excerpt
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the largest economic shock in generations. Significant disruption across all segments of the economy has resulted in severe recessions globally.
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White papersHow Deep Are The Scars?
What helps reconcile market euphoria with the very mixed global data is that central bankers remain concerned about the pandemic scars and have reiterated their accommodative stance.
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White papersAre Growth Stocks Attractive in a Post-Pandemic World?
The recent selloff of US growth market darlings reflects increasing questions about whether their growth potential still justifies exceptionally high valuations. Away from the froth, growth investors can still find solid return potential in quality companies with profitable, sustainable business models.
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White papersDistressed Debt: The Opportunities Surfacing in COVID’s Wake
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High provide insight into today’s distressed debt market, including their expectations for defaults, an overview of the competitive landscape, and where the next opportunities may emerge across the U.S. and Europe.
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White papersWhy we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021
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White papersBiden’s First 100 Days: The roadmap ahead for capital markets
With the Georgia run-off elections giving the Democrats narrow control of Congress and President Biden’s inauguration behind us, investors can finally set their sights on the policies of the new administration. Broadly, markets have responded favorably across most risk assets as the uncertainty surrounding the election has finally passed.
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White papersU.S. Consumers: Don’t Worry, They’re Here to Stay
Worsening U.S. consumer confidence data shows the labor market is expected to remain fragile, though spending should improve due to greater fiscal support. Eurozone inflation will likely accelerate slightly, and strong trade data from Asia shows global demand’s resiliency.
