All United States articles – Page 53
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White papers
The Next Recession: Three Critical Warning Signs
Is the U.S. heading toward a recession? We examine three critical warning signs and conclude that the next downturn could be different from the 2008 crisis.
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Fed’s Fork in the Road: Even Higher Rates or Pause
Will the Fed raise rates seven more times through 2020? Our base scenario is for just two more due to record-high dept and the risk of a recession.
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Hedging U.S. Equities with Treasury Options
Equities might be in the late stage of a nine-year bull run, and with rising rates and a possible recession, the risks to being long-only stocks is growing.
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Trade War Costs to Consumers, Companies and Nations
The trade war between the U.S. and China is showing no sign of abating. What are the costs of the tariffs to consumers, companies and the two nations?
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Did Quantitative Easing Help Spur Growth?
As economies were struck down by the 2008 financial crisis, central banks resorted to quantitative easing to spur growth. Did the strategy succeed?
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Re-pricing of property risk
QE has ultimately kept bond yields stable and the spreads narrow, but will a re-pricing of risk lead to spreads reopening?
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Real Estate Summary: Edition 3 2018
Despite the current fundamental backdrop for real estate investment remaining supportive, risk is on the rise.
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Cash Equitization with E-mini Equity Index Futures
Take a look at how CME E-mini Equity Index futures are used to equitize cash in portfolios, including avoiding drag on performance and more.
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US equities: Mid-year Review
The US entered the year on a high, but markets were unsettled by President Trump’s bout of protectionism in announcing an initial $50 billion of tariffs.
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Enhancing Equity Index Portfolio Returns Using Select Sector Futures
A traditional sector rotation strategy takes into consideration the business cycle and where current conditions place the market within the cycle, along with which sectors might out- or under- perform others versus the broad market.1 This paper will explore how sector rotation strategy practices may be used by a risk manager to achieve enhanced performance from event-driven price action in addition to long-term cycle rotation.
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The Medical Real Estate Boom
In 2018, health care became the biggest employer in the U.S., now about 12% of the workforce, largely driven by population demographics. Millennials are the largest generation in history and over one-third of Americans are now over age 50.
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Commercial Real Estate is a Clear Winner from Tax Reform
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 is the most significant revision to the U.S. tax code since 1986. The reduction of the headline corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% makes the country significantly more competitive within the global marketplace and is already spurring domestic investment.
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Asset Manager News
GTIS Partners and Cortland Partners Form Joint Venture; Acquire 912 Multi-Family Rental Units in Texas and Florida
GTIS Partners (“GTIS”), a real estate investment firm headquartered in New York with offices in São Paulo, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Paris and Munich, and Cortland Partners, an Atlanta-based, vertically integrated multifamily investment and management firm, today announced their first joint venture. Simultaneously, the firms announced they have closed on two multi-family properties, one in Dallas and the other in Orlando.
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Portfolio strategies to cope with trade tensions
Escalating global trade tensions can affect regions and asset classes differently.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts: Q3 2018
The current global expansion is set to run until 2020, with above potential growth in most countries in 2018 and 2019. However, the global GDP growth has started to decelerate and we expect it to slow further in 2020.
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Asset Manager News
GTIS Venture Buys Two U.S. Apartment Properties for $175 Million
Real estate investment firms GTIS Partners LP and Cortland Partners LLC joined to buy two U.S. apartment properties — one in Texas and the other in Florida — for $175 million.
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White papers
2018 Midyear Outlook: (Still) Risk On
Investors are facing some pretty big questions: How long will the economy continue to expand? How will rising interest rates affect my portfolio? Will volatility continue to climb? Do geopolitics (or even just political posturing) really matter?
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Why investors are wrong about the role of the dollar
A new theory about the US dollar is challenging the way economists and markets think about currencies.
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China Assets hit by trade talks: what expect from now
The US-China relationship appears to be deteriorating. US recently published a list of an additional $200bn of Chinese products subject to 10% tariff rates that will be put forward for the public hearing process by 30 August and could possibly be implemented in September.
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Asset Manager News
Arch Street Capital and GTIS Partners sell single family rental portfolio for $268 million
Arch Street Capital Advisors, LLC (“Arch Street”), a Greenwich, Connecticut-based real estate investment advisory firm, and GTIS Partners (“GTIS”), a real estate investment firm headquartered in New York with offices in São Paulo, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Paris and Munich, today announced the sale of a portfolio of 1,830 single-family rental home properties. The homes are located across four US states and were sold on behalf of an institutional client for $268 million.