All United States articles – Page 50
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White papersUS-China trade: continuing the talks while making the war
In our opinion, investors should dismiss the idea that talks could break down, albeit uncertainties remain. Recent work has focused on details and wording, with the majority of the agreement document having been completed. However, several major issues remain, and on these it is largely up to Trump and XI to make final decisions.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
In this Q&A, David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, discusses the volatile swings in investor sentiment that high yield markets experienced over the last two quarters, and where the Barings team is seeing value today.
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Think Tank Points to U.S. Growth Slowing
Anxious about the U.S. economy? The Conference Board think tank is pointing to growth slowing to 1.5-2.0% but there are no imminent signs of a recession.
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White papersRethinking the Fed’s policy framework
The dovish turn in March 2019 is unprecedented and inconsistent with the Fed’s remit.
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White papersHigh Yield: Identifying Value Amid Shifting Sentiment
Despite the sharp turns in high yield markets over the past two quarters, companies ticked along without flinching—posting strong earnings over the course. David Mihalick, Barings’ Head of U.S. High Yield Investments, explains why.
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High Yield Bonds & Loans: Where to Next?
High yield markets roared back in the first quarter. Can market fundamentals and technicals support continued strength? And how should investors factor in risks ranging from possible recession, to ratings downgrades, to liquidity concerns? Barings’ David Mihalick weighs in.
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Fed's Five Critical Issues
The Fed is facing five issues that could play a key role in its forward guidance on monetary policy, chief among them being the trade war and the economy.
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White papersThe Case for China Logistics
China’s logistics sector is anchored by the country’s large population and economic base, and its domestic long-term fundamental growth drivers, despite the rise of global trade protectionism.
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Treasury Options Skews: Investment Signals or Noise?
Nearly all options markets exhibit some kind of natural skewness. For example, out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on equity index futures are typically cost more than OTM call options as investors typically fear a sudden fall in stock prices more than a sudden rise and, hence, are willing to pay more for protection to the downside than upside.
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Portfolios and Investing: If/When “Winter” is Coming?
Did the Fed over-tighten monetary policy with its nine rate hikes, paving the way for an investment ‘winter’ in equities and bond markets?
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White papersRedefining Bank of America: an era of responsible growth
Bank of America has slashed costs and tightened risk controls in recent years as it moves on from its crisis-era legacies. In this case study, we examine the bank’s conservative approach and our decade-long engagement with the company.
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White papersPolitical Brinkmanship
Could U.S. political brinkmanship cause a government shutdown and technical debt default, putting the economy at risk in the fourth quarter?
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White papersOur Journey to a Sustainable Future
As investors and advisors who focus on our clients’ long-term success, sustainability is central to how we assess the risks and opportunities facing our clients.
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Grain, Oilseed Prices Dance to a new Global Tune
As global crop production diversifies geographically, prices for corn, soybean and wheat are becoming more sensitive to currencies like the ruble and real.
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White papersAdvancing the human capital agenda
For too long, a company’s success has been measured purely by its financial performance. But increasingly, in a social-media world, the success of a business is aligned to the satisfaction of employees. With fewer rights granted to employees in the US than other developed nations, we explain why we are starting a dialogue on the issue of human capital.
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White papersFX Leadership
Can the U.S. dollar maintain its leadership of global currencies amid a decelerating economy and the China trade war elevating risk in the United States?
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White papersThe U.S. Yield Curve inverted, now what?
On March 22, 2019, the U.S. yield curve briefly inverted, with the difference between the three-month and 10-year yields turning negative for the first time since August 2007.
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White papersInside Real Estate: REITs provide stable growth late in the cycle
On the ground real estate fundamentals are supportive of a steady, balanced growth outlook for REIT earnings on average. Growth across sectors, countries, or companies can be quite divergent of course.
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White papersDebt Ceiling Back in Play
The twin threat of a technical debt default and potential government shutdown could resurface later this year, likely affecting equities and Treasuries.
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White papersLessons from a decade of bank bailouts
Both the US and the UK moved fast to clean up bank balance sheets – Europe, however, delayed and so will face the next downturn from a weaker position
